YORK Dante Meeting
Could be the key factor over the three days. Right up there with Jockeyship and Luck!
LATEST 4pm Tuesday. 0.5mms rain since it started at lunchtime @yorkracecourse Going remains Good to Firm. Rain 4cast to clear early hours Wed morning, then dry
Going Report yorkracecourse.co.uk Going Report Last Updated: 10th May 2016 7:49am
Going Good to Firm, Going stick; tba @ 8.30am Overall – 8.1 Home straight; Far Side – 8.1 Centre – 8.1 Near side -8.0
Clerk’s Comments WEDNESDAY
Stalls positions for Wednesday May 11th; 5f – Stands side, 6f & 1m4f – Centre, Remainder – Inside rail
Wednesday rail alignment around home bend has the following impact on race distance:
Race 1 and 4 over 1m2f:- reduced by 42 yards; Race 7 over 1m4f:- reduced by 42 yards;
All other race distances as advertised.
Experience has told me to totally ignore it! Concentrate instead on where the PACE is. York suits the prominent racers, not the make all merchants or the hold-up Henry’s. If you’re good enough you can win ridden any old how but York suits the prominent racers.
Wednesday May 11th
2.10 888 Sport C2 10½F Hcp 86-100 4yo+
The likes of Hit the Jackpot, Master of Finance, Awake my Soul, Silvery Moon etc. have all been here before and have the T Shirt but I would prefer to look at a less raced potential improver.
Pacify has gone up 11lbs without winning, was fourth over C&D in this Grade but off old mark. Spanish Squeeze has gone up 10lbs without winning, his debut third at Newmarket was in a warm maiden and has only run on sand since. Trainer Hugo Palmer said on-line “Spanish Squeeze has never been the easiest horse to train but it has been a series of little problems rather than a major one, and we have always liked him. He has been working well – he was going nicely with Covert Love last month before her setback – and I’d like to think that he can be competitive off a mark of 98 on only his second start on turf.” Erik the Red took six goes to win his maiden but is two from three handicapping. Should be OK back at 10F, looks an improver but my two concerns are, Is he good enough to win a C2 off OR93 and his hold up style of running? The pace collapsed in his last race and he barged his way through.
So I will play these two against the field.
Lord Ben Stack is/was highly regarded by Karl Burke to the point that he had a Derby entry last season and ran in the Dante at this meeting twelve months ago. Now gelded this looks a more realistic level. Clearly talented he was made favourite on his first run this season but was too keen on the heavy ground and didn’t get home. If Dougie Costello could get him to settle he is a major player. OK draw, ridden prominently, lightly raced 4yo are all plusses but the trainer and jockey could do with a winner.
York is not a course I associate the Hannon’s with but their Nayel is worth a second look. Firstly he has no weight and with Tom Marquand’s three pound claim he carries just 8st 4lbs. Secondly he was progressive as a three year old last season and his win at Nottingham over 8½F has been seriously franked. He steps up two grades and he may well need Firm in the going somewhere to be at his best.
Lord Ben Stack is a two star** win @ 9/1 with PP (just 6/1 with WH?).
Nayel is a one star* win @ 14/1 with WH.
2.40 Infinity Tyres C2 6F Hcp 86-105 4yo+
Let’s be fair they could all win!! Five go to post who are on my radar to win a race of this nature and three of them are trained by #FantasticMrFahey.
Tatlisu Whilst rated OR100+ he will struggle to win one of these and is at times too consistent for his own good! Twelve months ago Ryan Moore partnered Tatlisu in this race, they were made 4/1 favourites and finished a keeping on fourth. Indeed Tatlisu’s York record of 5344 suggests he is a viable each way candidate.
George Bowen My notes say “Hugely likeable 6F sprinter who went from winning a C3 handicap at Wolverhampton off 85 to running second in the Ayr Silver Cup off 96, winning at Newmarket and the Curragh on the way. The Ayr Gold Cup would seem a logical target and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him tried over further. He appreciates Soft ground and I expect him to land a C2 handicap pot and possibly a Listed race and even Group level towards the end of the season.” Ground is key. The more rain the stronger his chance.
Canyari Genuine 6F sprinter at C3 level when there is Soft in the going. Even with SammyJo Bell’s 3lb claim and just eight stone in the saddle he has to be a Watching Brief.
The other two are also trained in Yorkshire which is a key stat for this race. 9 out of the last 10!
Flaming Spear Won his 2yo maiden here which prompted Qatar Racing to get their cheque book out. He struggled through his three year old season with injury and he was sent to the H-I-T Sales where Kevin Ryan bought him back for £125K and he is now owned by Brighton and Hove Albion Chairman, Tony Bloom. In his one run at Newmarket this season he was backed as though defeat was out of the question in a C2 7F Soft ground handicap and it was only Accession who picked him up in the final furlong. Quicker ground will help and he has enough speed for 6F although I think 7F will be his optimum distance. He wears first time cheekpieces to help him concentrate and this gelded son of Lope de Vega is ridden by Robert Winston and is drawn towards the stands side in stall 16.
Gamesome The current owners paid £75K to get this classy 6F sprinter from the Olly Stevens yard. Came to my attention when desperately unlucky in last year’s Stewards Cup. Like the present owners I am optimistic Gamesome can land one of these big 6F sprints this summer. 6F is the trip and Good to Firm is ideal but what he does need is a clear run and a dollop of luck! His current trainer, Paul Midgley, is O from 40 on turf this season and Tom Queally is 1 from 30, which is not great!!
Of the others surely Hoof It and Hawkeyethenoo are past their best, the handicapper has George Dryden, Highland Acclaim and Glen Moss are simply out of form, See the Sun struggles in C2 and the only other to catch my eye is Kevin Ryan’s Bogart who was a close up sixth in this race last year off 6lbs more and the trainer is a dab hand with these sprinters.
I am just putting up the one, get as many places as you can for ¼ the odds. Gamesome is a one star* each way selection @ 25/1 with PP and WH ¼ 1,2,3,4.
3.15 Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes G2 6F 4yo+
None of this field have beaten Twilight Son, indeed only last season’s Champion sprinter Muhaarar has! But the question is, can he give them all five pounds first time up? Trainer Henry Candy is bullish.
RP 30th March “A return to the Knavesmire beckons for the four-year-old, as Candy added: “He’ll go to York in May, for the Duke Of York Stakes. It’s the obvious starting point. I’m really happy with both of them, touch wood, and at the moment I’d be confident of getting both of them there fit and ready to go.”
ATR today May 10th “Henry Candy accepts Twilight Son may need the outing, but is looking forward to getting him started. “He has done very, very well through the winter – probably too well,” said the Wantage handler. “He might need his first run and giving 5lb to some of these, I would think might prove too much for him. But he is in need of a run and loves York, so it’s a great place to start. He doesn’t show a lot in his work, he is quite lazy. But I think once he has got a race under his belt and he’s back on level terms and not giving weight away, hopefully we will have some fun. He is one who does like to get his toe in a little bit, so I would prefer a bit of give in the ground.” A return to the Knavesmire beckons for the four-year-old, as Candy added: “He’ll go to York in May, for the Duke Of York Stakes. It’s the obvious starting point.”
Magical Memory, already a winner this season, and Danzeno, has a weight advantage, would seem the obvious dangers. So for me it is either back Twilight Son to win or look for a big each way shot. Mattmu and Tupi have chances but the odds are too short.
Twice in the last three years the G1 penalty has been defied and twice in the last five years the race has been won by a seasonal debutant so at the prices Twilight Son is a one star* win selection @ 4/1 general.
3.45 Tattersalls Musidora Stakes G3 10½F 3yo fillies
A recognised Oaks trial and can it produce some serious opposition to Minding and the Ballydoyle battalions? With just seven runners and an odds on favourite in Da Re Mi, the winner of the twice franked Epsom Derby trial no less, the race has little appeal as a betting medium. I’ll Pass and just watch.
4.20 Conundrum HR Consulting C3 7F Hcp 76-95 3yo
Probably the hardest race of the day to solve, indeed a real Conundrum! I love my 3yo’s and your #startracker should have thrown up a few here!
From my Craven report;
Castle Harbour. “The winner of this C4 7F maiden, Castle Harbour for John Gosden, looked a proper racehorse, nicely balanced and there could be more to come especially as he was keen early and made all. Owners Bermuda Thoroughbred Racing through Highclere Racing put on-line “Castle Harbour made all to make an impressive winning debut at Newmarket on Tuesday in The Alex Scott Maiden Stakes. It was an eye-catching performance from a debutant running against more experienced rivals and the Racing Post commented that he “stayed on well to assert well inside final furlong”. He is an imposing colt by Kyllachy out of the Trade Fair mare Gypsy Carnival and John Gosden who was also impressed with what he saw dropped hints that a trip to Royal Ascot could possibly be on the cards later this summer!”
Monteverdi “…..and Monteverdi are a couple of sharp 3yo sprinters. The latter took time to organise himself and a flat track may help….”
From Musley Bank and the #FantasticMrFahey,
Constantino My notes say ““Sir Robert Ogden’s homebred son of Danehill Dancer debuted in the C2 Convivial maiden at York’s Ebor meeting suggesting he had been showing a bit at home. Sent off at just 8/1 he was beaten less than five lengths in ninth, doing all his best work at the finish. Paul Hanagan rode him at Ayr in a C4 7f maiden and bounced him out, making all, albeit narrowly from Weekend Offender who had finished in front of him at York. Weekend Offender was then a well beaten 7/2 shot back at York in a C3 maiden where the #amazingMrFahey had the 1-2 in Garcia and Prying Pandora. Constantino should find a mile ideal and that opening mark of OR80 looks a gimme!”
Hugely impressive last season,
Chief Whip My notes say “US bred son of Giants Causeway cost Messrs Magnier, Tabor and Smith $250K and is not at Coolmore but with Richard Hannon. Only ran the once as a 2yo but couldn’t have been much more impressive. Out OK, travelled well but had to sit and suffer just behind the leaders waiting for a gap but when he did get daylight he really quickened up in the style of a good horse. The 2nd and 3rd have both won since suggesting Chief Whip is an OR95+ horse and possibly a Group contender. He has an entry in the Irish 2000 Guineas. That run was at the end of July and he had plenty of entries later but never appeared, which suggests an issue or two? Reappeared as Sandown as a 3yo, midfield, held up, Ryan Moore pulled him out to challenge 2F out, just about led 1½F out, one pace third. Better ground may bring improvement and Richard Hannon Jnr is of the opinion that “mine have needed a run”.”
It has to be two against the field. Only Sky Bet and Bet 365 priced up at time of posting.
Chief Whip is a two star win selection (8/1+) Constantino is a one star* win selection (10/1+)
4.50 EBF Novice Stakes C3 5F 2yo colts & geldings
I only watch the 2yo’s until Royal Ascot but I was not the only one to make a note of #FantasticMrFahey’s newcomer In First Place. From the first crop of Bated Breath he is bred to be quick. This looks a hot heat.
In First Place April 23, Doncaster, 3rd “The front pair pulled clear in this race for newcomers, but this son of Bated Breath shaped promisingly. Trainer Richard Fahey has said his juveniles have been needing the experience, and having travelled well, In First Place looked a little lost when asked for his effort. He should do better when next seen.”
4.20 Constant Security C4 12F Hcp 71-85 3yo
This race is long on quantity, twenty runners, and all the quality is latent. Supposedly we are looking for a 4yo rated OR79 or higher with some proven ability. I may add, races prominently, form preferably on Good ground or better and a yard in form.
When I saw the five day entries Alan Swinbank’s Busy Street stood out. This gelded son of Champs Elysses was bred by Juddmonte Farms Ltd, but sold for £18K, started out in a NH bumper, won a real egg and spoon maiden on the sand and on only his fourth start was chinned by Alphabetical Order at Beveley over this trip in this grade. Sadly the mighty Guru, Richard Birch, made the same observation in today’s Racing Post.
Appeared is by Dubawi out of a Galileo mare and is home bred by Darley. Shouldn’t be in a C4 handicap so has clearly had problems. Ran twice for John Oxx as a 2yo, was with Luca Cumani as a 3yo and he was one of the 30 odd that the owner moved to Roger Varian. First run for them he won an egg and spoon maiden at Wolverhampton in February. His most recent run at Chelmsford saw Atzeni get boxed up and not willing to “make” a gap 1F out had to pull round and finished a running on third.
Multellie’s two wins came in C5 over 12F and the trainer does well in this race but Multellie does look to need assistance from the handicapper. Surprised that Tim Easterby hasn’t put a claimer on.
Yorkidding is a very experienced young lady who has mixed it at C2 level To get there she won two races back to back on good to Firm ground at the start of last season including this one when SDS gave her a peach of a hold up ride winning by nearly 4L. She runs here off twelve pounds higher but SDS is back in the saddle. Worryingly she pulled up last time, BHA Stewards “Franny Norton, the rider of YORKIDDING, which was pulled up, reported that the filly stopped quickly, in the straight, as though something was amiss. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the filly during routine testing failed to reveal any abnormalities.”
We will stick with Busy Hill and make him a one star* each way selection tomorrow morning where you can get 8/1+, ¼ the odds and at least 4 places. Shop around.