#startracking Thursday June 30th 11am

The racing may be poor but it can’t be any worse than the dreadful football we all suffered for two hours last Monday night! Even with Newbury and Haydock hosting midweek meetings there is very little quality to get stuck into so I thought I would profile twenty notebook/radar horses who have entries at the weekend and could pick up a decent race or two before the hedgehoppers take over!

No apologies for featuring #SuperStoute,Sir Michael Stoute’s good year—he’s trained 44 winners so far, which bodes well considering he saddled 79 in the whole of 2015 and 81 in 2014—shows no signs of stopping and most of his runners this week will be worth considering. Among them is Third Rock who promises to take plenty of beating as a lightly-raced three-year-old against older handicappers at Windsor on Monday. Third Rock doesn’t yet look the finished article but improved in a first-time visor over a two-furlong longer trip when second in a Salisbury minor event last time and is likely to have even more to come in time given his connections. (Won 13/8) Fellow three-year-old Yangtze is also still a maiden after five starts but he caught the eye when three and a half lengths fourth of 12 to Dal Harraild in a competitive three-year-old handicap over the extended mile and a half at Musselburgh last time, caught further back than ideal, and looks sure to be suited by the extra distance in a similar race at Bath on Wednesday. It would be no surprise to see the Stoute stable saddled several winners this week before Cannock Chase lines up in the Eclipse Stakes at Sandown on Saturday.” Timeform — published 25th June 2016

 

(OR= Official Rating i.e Handicap Mark, Peak= Peak OR, LWM= Last Winning OR, RPR=Racing Post Rating)

ABINGDON                 (Sir Michael Stoute)        OR 100                  Peak 100              LWM —                 RPR 98

Ballymacoll Stud homebred filly by Street Cry out of a Galileo mare. Already guaranteed her place in the paddocks and simply could be anything. A filly with a future in middle distance + events, probably at Group level, the likes of the Yorkshire Oaks etc. She is a big girl who has stamina in spades outstaying a field of maidens over 10F at Ascot and then in a Listed race over the same trip at Newbury Abingdon put her size to good use and outstayed them aided by the jolly running a stinker. Both races were on Good to Firm and Soft ground could be an issue however frequent positive gallop reports suggest she works well and I’m happy to back this filly until she is beaten.

Entry – 2Jul16  2:15  (Overnight) at Haydock, bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) 

Entry – 18Aug16  3:40  (Early closer) at York, Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) 

CANYARI                     (Richard Fahey)                OR 78                    Peak 88                 LWM 85               RPR 95

Turn can’t be far away with Doncaster the likely venue? OR86 85 82 80 78 Possibilities of C3 and even C4? Now down to seven pounds below last winning mark. Tactically he is flexible. When he hacked up in C4 under Ryan Moore he was held up, in C3 at Doncaster SammyJo Bell made every yard, ground doesn’t seem to be an issue but a flat track helps. Last time out he finished last of 19 in a C4 6F handicap at York but ran under the un-favoured stand rail on a course when low numbers dominated. May need a senior jockey. Probably best when prominent as he finds a bit at the finish. Key could be C3 or below, struggles in C2, Doncaster a bonus.

DARK DEVIL                (Richard Fahey)                OR 86                    Peak 86                LWM —                 RPR 85

Grey £70K son of Dark Angel out of a Barathea mareTwo promising seconds in C4 maidens before narrowly getting home in a C5 maiden over 7F at Redcar. Dark Devil travelled strongly in a prominent position throughout and ground out victory. When asked to quicken his action looked unco-ordinated. Built like a novice chaser he could have a future as he strengthens up. Probably won’t get more than a mile. Travels well and looks a trier. He has already been gelded and 3yo mile handicaps look to be his bag.

Opened his 3yo campaign at Chester in a C2 7½F handicap with Paul Hanagan on board. 3rd          7/1 Some late market support. On toes, jig-jogging. Out last, taken to rail from wide draw, dropped in. 3F out chose to take the brave man’s route up the inside and kept on for third without really threatening. OR86. Surprised to see him step up 2½F at Epsom in another C2 handicap on Softish ground. #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com  “Dark Devil steps up in trip for the Investec Private Banking Stakes which we think will suit, even though his pedigree would suggest otherwise. He’s a galloper who ran well from the back at Chester on his reappearance. He needs to be on his ‘A’ game here to be competitive and could have been better drawn in nine.” 11th     11/1 Rear, hardly passed a horse, never competitive! Did he handle the ground, the course or the trip? That’ll be a possibly, a probably and don’t know! Annoyingly the handicapper has cut him no slack at all, even one pound would be handy. I am convinced there is plenty more to come from Dark Devil over 8/10F, C2/3, Good to Soft or better ground, MacNamara’s seven five pounds (claim reduced 27th July)?

Entry – 2Jul16  1:45 at Haydock, Soft, bet365 Handicap  3yo C3 10½F 0-95 Andrea Atzeni

DARSHINI                    (Sir Michael Stoute)        OR 90                    Peak 91                 LWM 87               RPR 97

Another of Sir Michael Stoute’s who as a 3yo did the 57SimpleSimonSays… Master List a few favours last season and I’m delighted to see him remain in training as a 4yo. Starts off at 10F on the sand at Chelmsford for his seasonal debut. 1st  6/4Fav “On rail, travelled in 3rd, pulled three wide off final bend, stayed on well” in this C3 10F handicap off OR87.

Next time out he ran at the Chester Cup Meeting. I am not sure he is a Chester horse. He’ll come from off the pace and needs to wind up. He is up 4lbs and up in grade, stall 5 is fine and the drying ground is a bonus it’s just that he doesn’t do anything quickly! 10th              4/1Fav Wore cheek-pieces, pushed to get prominent. One out and back (been listening to too damned much of that Australian Trotting!) but in the box seat. Asked three out, not a lot, impeded 1F out, heavily eased. Get back on a galloping track! OR91

Don’t quite know where we are with this chap? Notes say “drying ground is a bonus it’s just that he doesn’t do anything quickly!” and “Get back on a galloping track!” I have written before “I am not sure he is a Chester horse. He’ll come from off the pace and needs to wind up.” Which worries me round the idiosyncratic Epsom. 7th 10/1 Wore cheek-pieces, four wide, no cover, rear, keen, lost position, never competitive. Ryan Moore chose to ride an Ed Dunlop horse. OR91

2nd          10/1 at Pontefract when he couldn’t get to Luca Cumani’s well-in Banksea over 10F on Good to firm ground in a C3 handicap. 0R90 It is the ground and the grade that hold the key to this horse. No Soft in the going, Class 3. On fast ground he could well have a York/Ascot C2 10F handicap in him?

2Jul16  2:50  Haydock, Soft, bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap)  C2 11½F 4yo+

ECCLESTON                (David O’Meara)              OR 91                    Peak 96                 LWM 91               RPR 104

Here is one of the horses David Armstrong has moved from #FantasticMrFahey. This one made the same move last season! Not an easy horse to win with but my notes say “Could easily land one of these C2 6F sprints but probably not a big one. Ayr Bronze, Great St.Wilfred Consolation etc.etc. 18/05/16 Got dropped 1lb OR93”. Drops to C3, a grade he won twice at last season and over 6F at that level has form of 817510, and is back down to his last winning mark OR91. However his form at Ripon is 54990 which makes me wonder if the courses undulations suit him. As a hold up horse he needs some cover and the breaks at the right time. He ran well last time out and his turn could be imminent. 6F C3 not Ripon, bit of give in the ground, Good to Soft would be ideal. A senior jockey would help make his mind up for him.

GEORGE BOWEN        (Richard Fahey)                OR 97                    Peak 100              LWM 91               RPR 104

Hugely likeable 6F sprinter who went from winning a C3 handicap at Wolverhampton off 85 to running second in the Ayr Silver Cup off 96, winning at Newmarket and the Curragh on the way. The Ayr Gold Cup would seem a logical target and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him tried over further. He appreciates Soft ground and I expect him to land a C2 handicap pot and possibly a Listed race and even Group level towards the end of the season.

Things just haven’t happened for him yet this season. First time up he was 10th                 10/1 in a York C2 6F handicap off OR99 beaten just five lengths when the ground was probably a bit too quick. Then he went to Epsom off OR98. Could be a major player in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot in a fortnight’s time but is he a trier here? Spencer is on board and gets on well with him but come from behind at Epsom is fraught with dangers. The pot is worthwhile and I think they’ll give it a go. #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com “George Bowen is our other runner but he’s out in stall 11 which may not help. The more rain the better for him and if it’s soft ground I’d give him a big chance.” 6th 6/1CF.

OR97 Little surprised to see him at Newcastle for his third outing as I thought the Tapeta was the quickest of the artificial surfaces. Mind you he has won on the surface at Wolverhampton over this trip and he has slipped 3lb down the handicap. #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com “Things didn’t pan out right for George Bowen at Epsom last time, where through nobody’s fault he became detached and couldn’t get into it. If he acts on the track here I’d expect a big run as he’s right on his A-game.” 8th 11/2JF Just didn’t/couldn’t pick up!

OR95 Can win off this mark and this wet summer should be helping. Ayr must be a big target and/or wouldn’t be surprised if he went back to Ireland. Soft Ground, 6F and a bit of luck! Ground is key. The more rain the stronger his chance.

Entry – 2Jul16  3:25  Haydock, Soft, Cash Out At bet365 Handicap  C2 6F 0-100 3yo+

Entry – 9Jul16  5:10  (Early closer) at Newmarket (july), bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap)  C2 7F

Entry – 30Jul16  3:45  (Early closer) at Goodwood, Qatar Stewards’ Cup (Heritage Handicap)  C2 6F

GERSHWIN                 (David Lanigan)                                 OR 91                    Peak 91                LWM 83               RPR 96

Trainer David Lanigan has always been bullish about this son of Shamardal and put on his website after he won his 2yo maiden at Haydock, “Gershwin, a beautifully-bred son of Shamardal broke his maiden in impressive fashion at Haydock today. Jockey George Baker poised him behind the leaders in the early stages of the race before making his move about two furlongs from home. He took up the lead with ease over a furlong out and maintained control holding off newcomer Baydar in the closing stages. Following the race, trainer David Lanigan said, “I’ve always liked Gershwin, but I perhaps ran him a month too soon. He’s going to be a mile, mile-and-a-quarter horse for next season.”

He didn’t get a clear run on seasonal debut when a well-supported sixth to Stargazer in a hot 10F handicap at Sandown. Prior to winning at Leicester, 1st   10/3, I noted that he still has entries in the Derby, Irish Derby, Eclipse and the more realistic Edward VII at Royal Ascot and if he was to take up any of those this race would have to be a formality off OR83 and winning jockey George Baker returning to the saddle. None of those fancy entries were taken up and although put up ten pounds by the handicapper to OR93 Gershwin continues on the handicap path although he has entries now for the King George, the Juddmonte International and the Irish Champion Stakes, all Group 1!!.

GIDDY                          (Richard Fahey)                OR 78                    Peak 81                 LWM —                 RPR 81

She’s a big girl and she’s quick and a flat 6F with a bit of room to manoeuvre is going to be right up her street. “Readily” won her 5F C5 maiden at Beverley as a 2yo, this Cheveley Park Stud home-bred filly by Kylacchy should be quick. Her only other run was in the C2 nursery at Ayr when she went off 5/2F but was a disappointing 12th behind stable mate and future Group 1 winner, Donjuan Triumphant. My notes said “Big type”, “athletic” and on her maiden win, “Well away from inside, galloped all over these. Quickened at 1F pole. Rest may be trees but professional and couldn’t have done much more.” #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com on Sept. 15th, “Giddy is a filly we like a lot. I’d contemplated putting her in the Group Three here but she’s been given a mark which means the nursery route opened up. I’m looking forward to running her.”  The connections and the handicap mark are the attractions.

First time as a 3yo at Ripon 2nd    10/3. She never got a run in this C4 6F handicap, being buffeted about among horses in midfield and was unsuited by the Ripon undulations but when she did see some space she flew up the rail in the final furlong. Giddy was taken out at Haydock 27th May (Going-Good to Soft). Taken out of Haydock yesterday because of Good to Soft ground she runs against her own sex here. It is that “bit of room to manoeuvre” that bothers me, something that is normally at a premium around Chester. I don’t doubt she can win a race of this nature but Chester, I’m not sure. 3rd  7/2 Out OK, third, two wide, almost led 1F out, faded, third. OR77 79

OR79 81 Next stop was York for a C2 6F Fillies handicap. #FantasticMrFahey to sportinglife.comGiddy who has been a little disappointing as I thought she was extremely well handicapped at the start of the season. She’s yet to win but has run some good races in defeat and we retain the faith. We’re running from 2lb out of the handicap which isn’t ideal but I’m happy to let her take her chance. She came to win the race at Chester the last day and didn’t do a lot wrong so I think she’ll run well again.“ 9th  15/2 Well beaten by impressive stable mate Mayfair Lady.

OR81 78 0-80, C3 or less, stiff 5F/easy 6F but on Good or better ground.

MUTAMAKKIN           (Sir Michael Stoute)        OR 96                    Peak 96                LWM 91               RPR 101

$875K son of War Front has been gelded. Here’s what I put in my Craven review “However the real eye-catcher was that man Stoute’s Mutamakkin. He had been off the course for almost a year and has been gelded but was totally outpaced for five furlongs then flew home from the Dip onwards without having much thrown at him. Currently OR92 he is my first name on Ascot Hunt Cup “possibles” list.” That was sixteen days ago and the handicapper has left him on the same mark. I can’t see the extra furlong as being anything but a bonus and you can’t fault the form of Sir Michael Stoute or Paul Hanagan. 8th  9/2JF Travelled found nothing. Proverbial “bounce”? Better ground? Stiff mile? Turned up at Sandown off OR91 in a C2 8F handicap on Good to Firm with Ryan Moore in the saddle. Hamdam-al-Maktoum likes his horses ridden prominently. Moore had this one stone cold last all the way to the 2F pole and then powered home, in the end just winning but with a bit in hand! Has been put up five pounds but if switched off and ridden with balls Mutamakkin can go places. OR96

Entry – 2Jul16  2:35  Sandown, Good to Soft, Coral Challenge (Handicap)  3yo+ 8F C2

Entry – 29Jul16  3:10  (Early closer) at Goodwood, Betfred Mile (Heritage Handicap) 8F

NUNO TRISTAN          (Richard Fahey)                OR 93                    Peak 93                LWM 87               RPR 98

No idea what to make of him! Bought out of the William Jarvis yard at the turn of the year for £45K he has an OR90. He’s won a couple of times on the AW and run down the field in four 6F Newmarket handicaps C2 and C4. Now owned by Nick Bradley Racing (Middleham Park manager) who know the time of day. So he starts his turf career with #FantasticMrFahey in a C3 0-90 at York over 7F off OR90 with Adam MacNamara taking seven pounds off. #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com Nuno Tristan is working very well … and we’re very happy with him. This is only his second run over seven furlongs and he has to give weight all round so clearly will need to at his very best but he goes there in top form.” 6th of 18                20/1 Steady progress from the rear without getting competitive.

Next time out #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com Nuno Tristan is in good form and ran very well at York on Saturday. The handicapper has probably got him where he wants right now but he’s capable of running well.”  So of course he hacked up in a C3 7F Redcar Saturday handicap 1st       7/1 under Tony Hamilton. Enjoyed 7F, quickened up well on softest ground he had encountered. Now OR93 and probably worth a crack at a C2 prize over 7F, may even get an easy mile.

Entry – 23Jul16  3:20  (Early closer) at Ascot, Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap)  C2 7F

Entry – 30Jul16  3:45  (Early closer) at Goodwood, Qatar Stewards’ Cup (Heritage Handicap)  C2 6F

SHARAAKAH               (Ed Dunlop)                        OR 97                    Peak 97                 LWM —                 RPR 100           

Ed Dunlop Blog June 15th Sharaakah ran very well on her seasonal debut in the Sandringham yesterday. She was unlucky not to finish second and I think she will improve on this run which is encouraging for the rest of the season.”

No surprise as after winning her maiden as a 2yo the trainer had enthusedMon 20 July 2015 The horse might be different but the result remains the same. Twelve months on from Arethusa’s success in the fillies’ maiden auction at Newmarket last Saturday, Sharaakah kept the race in the yard when quickening past Puzzle Look to score by half a length. Fourth on debut at Lingfield having missed a beat at the start and run green throughout, Sharaakah left that form well behind in the hands of Joe Fanning. She travelled sweetly on the heels of the leaders before switching to the outside passing the furlong pole, and Joe only had to give her a solitary smack to readily land the spoils, with the front two pulling an encouraging four lengths clear of the remainder. Congratulations to her owner, Mohammed Jaber, who collects a Plus 10 bonus for the victory of this Goffs yearling purchase. Her pedigree suggests the best is yet to come, too, her being by first-season sire Roderic O’Connor, who landed the Irish 2,000 Guineas at three.

This was our second juvenile winner of the year and we will probably aim this filly towards nurseries now. It will be interesting to note how the handicapper rates her, with the race having appeared no better than average on paper although her performance in winning was quite striking.”

Has an entry on Saturday 2Jul16  3:10  at Sandown, Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies)” Looks right up her street.

SPRING OFFENSIVE    (Richard Fahey)                OR 90                    Peak 91                LWM 88               RPR 96

Difficult to catch right, is it a smaller field, never won with more than nine opponents? Only been ridden by a claimer three times and those are the only three career races he has won! He has run well at flat tracks such as Redcar and especially Musselburgh where the longer straights help him organise his powerful finish. C3 8F with some guaranteed pace would be ideal but he could be competitive up in grade and maybe even 9/10F. Good ground is ideal. A likeable horse who has already won twice this season and his mark has gone up seven pounds and back one! OR83 87 88 91 90 Knows how to win and seems to get on well with Adam MacNamara.

Entry – 3Jul16  4:35  Ayr, Good,  totepool Supporting Scottish Racing Handicap  C3 3yo+ 10F 0-95

Entry – 9Jul16  4:15  (Early closer) at York, 57th John Smith’s Cup (Heritage Handicap)  10F

Entry – 29Jul16  3:10  (Early closer) at Goodwood, Betfred Mile (Heritage Handicap) 8F

STAMP HILL                (Richard Fahey)                OR 90                    Peak 90                 LWM 82               RPR 93

I really fancy this horse who ran a cracker at Goodwood last time from a dreadful draw. Notes say “Acquired in Ireland from Johnny Murtagh/Andrew Tinkler in the middle of last season and he runs in the colours of the “Merchants and Missionaries”. A new syndicate to me but they have some very nice horses and I am currently trying to find out who exactly are the Merchants and Missionaries? Since joining Fahey Stamp Hill was second in a C4 maiden at Thirsk , then got up in the shadow of the post in a 6F C4 maiden on soft ground at Chester. This gelded son of Zoffany should pay his way in 6/7F handicaps. C2 7F 3yo should be fine.” #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com  “Stamp Hill ran well form a bad draw on his latest start at Goodwood. He could never slot in that day but stayed on well. I’d have thought he’d have a solid each-way chance in the closing Investec Specialist Bank Handicap.”

2nd          7/2 Just went too well and couldn’t get a lead for long enough and Chaloner had to kick 2F out and Stamp Hill idled and looked around and got chinned. Up four pounds to OR90. Has a nice C2 pot in him somewhere!

STAR BLAZE                (Mick Channon)                OR 82                    Peak 82                 LWM —                 RPR 84

Unraced as a 2yo this homebred son of Shamardal out of a Galileo mare was all at sea on his debut at Windsor but rattled home over a mile at Newmarket on Good to Firm ground to win a warm maiden. Mick Channon could have a nice colt on his hand here, especially over 10F+, and it will be interesting to see where he turns up next. Ran in a hot 3yo 9F C3 handicap at Sandown 7th          9/2CF Travelled, outpaced 4F out, short of room two out, needs further?

OR 82 I think this colt has a decent C3/2, 10/12F handicap+ in his scope.

TATLISU                      (Richard Fahey)                OR 99                    Peak 103              LWM 97               RPR 97

#FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com  Tatlisu is going to need a lifetime best to win this off 102 but does handle the track and Ripon can be a case of horses for courses.” Ripon 6F handicap form 63330.

Whilst rated OR100+ Tatlisu will struggle to win one of these C2 handicaps and is at times too consistent for his own good! Twelve months ago Ryan Moore partnered Tatlisu at York, they were made 4/1 favourites and finished a keeping on fourth. Indeed Tatlisu’s York record of 53440 suggests he is a viable each way candidate.

Ryan Moore on TatlisuThis 6f on good ground are his conditions…” Betfair Blog

Tatlisu is down to OR99, now he just needs 6F and good ground on a Flat track or Ripon. Will probably run in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood but simply has to be on your short list for Ripon’s Great St. Wilfred mid-August where Good ground and Jack Garrity would be plusses.

Entry – 2Jul16  3:25  Haydock, Soft, Cash Out At bet365 Handicap  C2 6F 0-100 3yo+

Entry – 30Jul16  3:45  (Early closer) at Goodwood, Qatar Stewards’ Cup (Heritage Handicap) 

UNDER ATTACK          (Sir Michael Stoute)        OR 80                    Peak 80                LWM –                  RPR 83 

He made an eye catching debut in June 2015 when 4th to Ibn Malik in a C4 7F maiden at Newmarket, easily outrunning his odds of 33/1. Sent off 5/2JF a month later for a similar contest at Sandown he displayed some “attitude” as the Racing Post recorded “Unseated rider before entering stalls, held up in 8th, dropped to last and urged along 2f out, kept on final furlong”. He has since been gelded and connections will be hoping for a more mature performance from this Dubawi colt. His breeding suggests he will need at least 10F as his mum was a OR100 rated middle distance filly. So we will watch on Thursday 5.50 Chelmsford, and then see how he gets on down the handicap route? Sent off an unfancied 10/1 shot he was unruly in the stalls and slowly away. Pushed to get a racing position on rails, midfield. Came four wide into the straight and kept on well to grab second behind Murad Khan. Has been given OR80 which is surely workable stepping up in trip.

He neither steps up in trip nor goes in a handicap but runs in this C4 10F maiden in what looks a match with Victory Bond unless the Hugo Palmer newcomer Zorlu gets involved. 2nd  10/3 Kept away from the others on the way to and at the start in case he boiled over which suggests he is a nervous type. Took trail from winner, came to challenge 2F out but his bigger opponent just kicked and was gone. Under Attack has the attitude of a trier and surely this gelded son of Dubawi can pick up a C4+ handicap off OR80 10/12F?

Eyecatchers Alan Thomson ATR Tuesday 26 AprilAnother Stoute three-year-old and the master trainer knows this family well as he trained Under Attack’s dam, Ship’s Biscuit, a 100-rated handicapper up to 1m 6f. Under Attack, a son of Dubawi, caught a tartar in William Haggas’s much-touted Victory Bond but finished well clear of the rest in this 1m 2f maiden. He showed promise in both his juvenile maidens behind smart sorts Cymric and Ibn Malik respectively, and made a satisfactory return at Chelmsford behind Hugo Palmer’s Murad Khan. Under Attack can be placed to advantage off this 80 handicap mark.”

VALLEY OF FIRE          (William Haggas)               OR 88                    Peak 96                 LWM —                 RPR 97

Lightly raced, 4yo gelded son of Firebreak. Won his 2yo maiden at York over 6F and was 3rd in the big Sales race at the Ebor meeting. Finished his 2yo campaign off with a last of eight in the G3 Tattersalls Somerville Stakes but sent off 4/1 third favourite. Only two runs as a 3yo, both over 6F and both at Newmarket in July 2015. Reappeared as a 4yo when unsighted in the Victoria Cup off OR 96 at Ascot a fortnight ago. Prior to that race trainer William Haggas had told the RP his horses “.. are a bit short of work and will come on for the run.” Currently has an OR93 and C2/3, 6/7F probably York very much on the agenda. Failed to see the 7F out last time at York so strange he steps up to a mile here at Chester. I am going to wait until he is down to OR90 in a C3 over 7F. They then stepped him down to 6F at Epsom in rain softened ground and no show 10th              16/1. Then he went to York over 7F in a C3 handicap off OR86 and he ran a solid second at 16/1. Up just 2lbs to OR88 and surely a winner wait to happen.

Entry – 2Jul16  2:40  Leicester, Soft, H.A.C. Pipeline Supplies Ltd Handicap  C3 7F 0-95 3yo+

Entry – 2Jul16  3:25  Haydock, Soft, Cash Out At bet365 Handicap  C2 6F 0-100 3yo+

Entry – 23Jul16  3:20  Ascot, Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap)    

WAR STORY                (Luca Cumani)                   OR 86                    Peak 86                 LWM —                 RPR 89

Came to my attention when giving a hiding to a #SuperStoute filly, Aristocratic, I fancied at Chelmsford. OR85 could seriously underestimate his talent. Ears prick up when Cumani is asking about a handicap mark! Luca Cumani Website 26th April “We have liked War Story for a while and it will be interesting to see what handicap mark he is given.”

Alan Thomson Eyecatchers ATR WAR STORY (Newmarket, 21 May) Brought some useful all-weather form into this competitive one-mile handicap and looked perfectly at home on turf. Racing keenly and wide, War Story struck the front coming out of the Dip but faded quite tamely into sixth place behind well-backed Chelsea Lad. It would come as no surprise to see Luca Cumani dropping his three-year-old back in trip, although the lack of cover probably contributed to his capitulation.”

OR85 First run on turf at Newmarket over 8F on Good to Firm ground over a mile C3 saw him lead in The Dip but not get home. 6th 4/1 OR85 Next time out same grade at Sandown over a furlong shorter, despite showing signs of greenness, he finished strongly and was beaten just a head and half a length and goes up a pound . OR85 86 His astute trainer will place him shrewdly and this could win a big race at nice price before the season ends.

Entry – 2Jul16  1:25  Sandown, Good to soft, coral.co.uk Handicap  3yo 7F 0-90

WILD HACKED                        (Marco Botti)                     OR 84                    Peak 84                 LWM —                 RPR 88

On my radar last season when on debut at 40/1 he was the only horse to give the much touted Royal Artillery a race. Won his 3yo C5 maiden over a mile at Windsor in workmanlike manner and then was 5th to Garcia in the ultra-competitive Haydock Silver Bowl. OR82 Drawn 3 on the inside he was slow into stride, trapped on a rail with a wall of horses in front of him as they turned for home, then Luke Morris did too much too quickly to the two pole and one paced at the end. Again ran in a hot heat at Sandown, 3yo C3 9F, OR82 where he led at the furlong pole having travelled, if a bit keen, fourth on the rail. Now up two pounds OR84 and this Moyglare Stud US bred son of Lemon Drop Kid must surely improve over 10F if not 12F.

Entry – 2Jul16  1:45 at Haydock, Soft, bet365 Handicap  3yo C3 10½F 0-95 Andrea Atzeni

YANGTZE                    (Sir Michael Stoute)        OR 74                    Peak 74                LWM –                  RPR 77 

In that ridiculous maiden at Leicester when Ulysses was second to Imperial Aviator with Ulysses second and UAE Prince back in third Stoutes other pair Yangtze and Autocratic both kept on well without ever being competitive in 4th and 5th. Yangtze made his handicap debut OR71 over 10F in a C3 event won by Primitivo, who went on to win the Duke of Edingburgh at Royal Ascot. Yangtze travelled well, outpaced 3F out but kept on strongly in the final furlong for 3rd. Put up 2lbs to OR73 and prior to his next run in the C3 12½F Edingburgh Cup at Musselburgh I blogged Ran on in eye-catching fashion in his last run. Well weighted, obvious improver and #SuperStoute sends one horse to Scotland, well drawn in 3, Stevie Donohoe rides.” Again he ran on late having dwelt at the start and was out of his ground when the race took shape. Put up another pound to OR74. A 12F+ C3+ handicap is his for the taking if ridden more prominently or piloted by the unequalled Ryan Moore!

“Fellow three-year-old Yangtze is also still a maiden after five starts but he caught the eye when three and a half lengths fourth of 12 to Dal Harraild in a competitive three-year-old handicap over the extended mile and a half at Musselburgh last time, caught further back than ideal, and looks sure to be suited by the extra distance in a similar race at Bath on Wednesday.” Timeform — published 25th June 2016

Entry – 30Jun16  7:30  at Newbury, Pelican Handicap  3yo C4 12F Ryan Moore

#startracking Monday 27th June 1.30pm

#FantasticMrFahey had three winners from his 25 runners on Saturday. Pleased to see Gabrial get his head back in front as he continues to rack up the earnings! Powerallied (9/2 into 15/8!) was a certainty once Franny Norton pinged him out of a low stall and travelled in the third place box seat. Powerallied could possibly win a 6F C2 at Chester, low draw, bit of cut and a slice of luck. Growl was a surprise as he had given no indication he would act on Soft ground but he is in fine fettle galloping all over this field and there is talk of stepping up to 7F for the Bunbury Cup?

The Musley Bank maestro runs eleven today.

Three are 2yo’s.

Pontefract 2.35          SCOFFLAW £60K purchase at Tatt’s Book 2. Son of promising Australian sire Foxwedge. Despite being friendless in the market on debut in a 6F C4 Chester maiden he scooted in at 20/1 with my notes saying “Looks OK. Out OK, travelled, challenged inside final furlong, professional.” Steps up to C2 for this conditions race but there are only four runners. Least fancied this morning of the three at the head of the market and I was sufficiently impressed on his debut to make him a two star** selection @ 2/1 with Betfred.

Musselburgh 6.40      HEATONGRAD 65K euros son of Kodiac who could appreciate the trip up to 7F. Looks like one for nurseries further down the line. Watching Brief.

Musselburgh 7.40      SAMRAN SAYS Another in the yard owned by a Nick Bradley syndicate. Disappointing to see this £24K daughter of Dark Angel drop to C5 selling company on only her third start. Watching Brief.

Three are in the “NotWithMyMoney” category

Pontefract 2.00          BELLE TRAVERS  Here’s what I posted prior to her penultimate run when sent off 15/8Fav and she was a one paced fourth, “Put in as big as 6/1 last night she has halved in price to 11/4 tops. She won on debut as a 2yo but hasn’t won since in eight attempts. She has been beaten over this trip, in this grade and off this mark. She looks like another of those dodgy Fahey homebred fillies to me! Led out of the sales ring unsold at £95K so someone thinks she has talent! Pass.” My opinion hasn’t changed!” Pass. 11th 8/1 No surprise there then! OR74 73

Musselburgh 8.40      PUSHKIN MUSEUM Low grade regressive sprinter. Since the start of the 2014 turf season his mark has come down fourteen pounds OR82 68 as he has won once in fourteen runs. C5 is fine but Soft in the going won’t help. An honest trier who has forgotten how to win.

Musselburgh 9.10      FRAP With a silent C! Think Dr. K has bought a rabbit here and I’m sure I can hear the Hannons chuckling. Either never quite gets there or weakens in final furlong if he does! NWMM. Having said that OR58 is heading to a plater’s mark! Despite Rachel Richardson performing miracles to get him home in a C5 8F handicap at Carlisle I am still quite happy to let him go unbacked! OR58 62 Watching Brief.

The other fiveare of interest to varying degrees…

Wolverhampton 2.15 SHOWBIZZY Catches the eye with the booking of Jamie Spencer. Failed to win in four races as a 2yo although was sent off favourite for a C5 nursery at Windsor on the last of them. This daughter of Showcasing goes 3yo handicapping off OR65 in a C5 5F sprint on the Tapeta. No idea. No show in two starts this season, no morning money, steps up a furlong, has to be a Watching Brief.

Pontefract 3.40          ZAINA RIZEENA Solid form in three runs as a 2yo and this daughter of Shamardal, a Rabbah Bloodstock home bred, goes handicapping off a mark of OR80. Third on debut, she won a C4 7½F maiden at Beverley before pulling too hard in an Ayr nursery and was last of six having been eased off. She looks a nice type but this is a hot C4 8F handicap at HQ. Finished 7th at Nemarket, then 6th at Carlisle when dropping to 7F. Goes up a Grade to C3 here and reverts to sprinting. Bonus having Hanagan on board and a moderate draw in 7. Mark has slipped OR80 74 but too many question marks. Watching Brief.

Pontefract 5.10          ENERGIA FLAVIO Owned by Dr Marwan Koukash. Won twice in his native Brazil and even finished 8th in their 2000 Guineas but hasn’t won in sixteen starts in this country and his mark has dropped from OR100 to OR79. Now there’s interesting!

OR7977 Although he continues to slide down the handicap and this was a more promising run, he doesn’t have a preferred trip and he has to be Only If… Wolverhampton C4, probably 8½F and even then only to small stakes! Hasn’t won in 24 starts in the UK and his mark has come down 25lbs. OR100 75 Has to be a Watching Brief.

Musselburgh 7.10      GABRIAL THE TERROR My notes say At Wolverhampton, 12F+ on the Tapeta, yes. On the Turf, no.” This time last year he was competing in C3 events off OR81, this is a C6 handicap off OR65 with Adam MacNamara taking 7lbs off! Drawn 12 doesn’t help and the ground could be quicker but the 11/1 is very tempting! But has to be Watching Brief.

Musselburgh 8.10      DESIRE Two runs ago I blogged ”Daughter of Kylachhy has won over this trip in this grade off just 2lb lower and Adam MacNamara takes off 7lb. Races prominently, won making all, drawn in stall 1, why not?” #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com “Desire runs in the racinguk.com Handicap at Musselburgh and was entitled to need her first run back at Hamilton. She’s well drawn in one here has the ability to run a big race.” She kept on well for second without troubling the winner and has since finished midfield on the Soft at Chester. Back at Musselburgh over the same 7F, she goes up a grade and up 2lbs but is well housed in 4. The more the ground dries out the better and she is worth a one star* win wager @ 8/1 with Ladbrokes.

#startracking Friday June 23rd 5pm

As a blogger who is meant to be keeping a close eye on horses trained by #FantasticMrFahey it is my duty to have an in depth look at his twenty six runners this Saturday scattered around the country. I will start each profile with what #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com in his weekly columns (bold italics) which may be slightly more relevant than my opinions that follow!!

#FantasticMrFahey Saturday Summary-Play, Lay or Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 1:55      Champion Harbour Definite Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 2:30      Mr Lupton                       I can’t let him go unbacked, one star* win @ 5/1 with PP.

NEWCASTLE 3:05      Arctic Feeling                                Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 3:05      George Bowen              I can’t let him go unbacked, one star* win @ 7/1 with WH.

NEWCASTLE 3:40      Gabrial’s Star                                 Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 3:40      Gabrial’s King                Watching Brief but “..it wouldn’t totally surprise me if he ran well.”

NEWCASTLE 4:15      Gabrial The Hero         One star* each way selection @ 12/1 with WH 1,2,3,4 ¼

NEWCASTLE 4:15      Angel Gabrial                One star* each way selection @ 25/1 with WH 1,2,3,4 ¼

CHESTER 1:50            Megan Lily                      Watching Brief.

CHESTER 1:50            Atteq                                  Very interested Watching Brief.

CHESTER 2:20            Billy Slater                       Watching Brief.

CHESTER 2:55           Gallipoli                            Two star** win selection @ 11/2 with WH.

CHESTER 2:55           Penwortham                 Watching Brief.

CHESTER 3:30           Bayan Kasirga               Watching Brief.

CHESTER 3:30           Perrault                            Watching Brief.

CHESTER 4:00            Lexi’s Hero                        One star* win @ 11/2 general.

CHESTER 4:00           Powerallied                    One star* win @ 9/2 with Ladbrokes.

CHESTER   4:35         Ballesteros                      Watching Brief or lay!

CHESTER 5:10           Gabrial The Duke        Watching Brief.

WINDSOR 3:15         English Summer           Watching Brief.

WINDSOR 3:50            Growl                                     Watching Brief.

WINDSOR 4:20         Gabrial                               One star* win @ 11/2 with Ladbrokes.

NEWMARKET 3:20   Marie Of Lyon               One star* win @ 7/2 general.

NEWMARKET 3:55    Birchwood                      One star* win @ 15/2 with WH.

DONCASTER 7:25     Hyland Heather           Watching Brief.

DONCASTER 8:55     Gin In The Inn               One star* each way @ 14/1 general.

and here is why…..

CHESTER GOOD TO SOFT (Good in places; GoingStick 6.9)GOOD TO SOFT (Good in places; GoingStick 6.9)

CHESTER 1:50            Megan Lily                      C4 2yo 5F Malibu Coconut Cup Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race)

“Megan Lilly showed quite a bit of speed at York on debut so the track should suit her here and she’d have a chance.” 2yo daughter of Dragon Pulse owned by the astute Nick Bradley Racing, she was second to the much vaunted Broken Stones then out of her depth in a Listed event at the Curragh! This a more likely level. Drawn 8 out of 10 doesn’t help so Watching Brief.

CHESTER 1:50            Atteq                                  C4 2yo 5F Malibu Coconut Cup Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race)

“So would Atteq on debut. He’s quite a nice colt, and one we like a lot. Whether he’ll know enough to win around here first time I don’t know as he’s laid back at home but it’s a great place to run a nice horse as they learn so much. He has a good draw and will have a good education – if he can win too that would be great but we have two with chances.” OMG he cost Al Shaqab Racing £310K! Son of Invincible Spirit bred by the Cumani’s at Fittocks Stud. Very interested Watching Brief.

CHESTER 2:20            Billy Slater                       C4 7½F Franklin And Sons Soft Drinks Maiden Stakes

“There doesn’t look to be a lot of strength in depth to the Franklin And Sons Soft Drinks Maiden Stakes. We run Billy Slater who needs to improve on what he’s been doing of late but he’s been placed around here and is a horse who’s needed to get racing. We’re managing to do that with him right now.”

I will repeat what I said prior to his last run “Very lightly raced 4yo owned by Dr. K that #FantasticMrFahey tells us “has had a few problems over the years and isn’t a good work horse at home so it’s hard to gauge where we are with him ahead of the Stellar Group Maiden Stakes. It’s a watching brief at this stage.” Personally at the start of last season I thought “A ?-80 8F 3yo handicap with a bit of cut in the ground would seem to fit the bill. SimpleSimonSays…Fahey 3yo’s April 16th 2015”. So today the trip, ground and probably the course are fine but 10st in a maiden, No. I have to agree with the boss, Watching Brief.”

CHESTER 2:55           Gallipoli                            C2 3yo 7F 0-100 Coca Cola Zero Sugar Handicap

“Gallipoli is a horse we really like but he’s still a bit backward and weak. He’s not yet the finished article but I’d still like to see him run well in the Coca Cola Zero Sugar Handicap. I was a bit disappointed he didn’t win at Pontefract last time but we go up in trip here and this is a horse who at some stage is going to win plenty of races.”

Back up to OR87. I’m with #FantasticMrFahey on this colt. Notes say “This son of Dandy Man looks every inch a sprinter and won well, if a little wayward, on debut over 5F on Town Moor before running on well to be 4th in a C2 novice stakes around a tricky Beverley in late May. Not seen since, #amazingMrFahey reasoning “He has always been a big horse and we’ve given him time to fill into his frame. Gallipoli is a work in progress but he has done very well over the winter.” Fahey has his string firing and his depth of 3yo’s means he should know where he stands. Any bet now on Gallipoli is surely at worse only money lent. Gallipoli has run well without much luck in both his starts this season. First time at Doncaster, on ground probably too soft for him, Tony Hamilton had a game of find the “cul-de-sac” and was a staying on seventh and at Newmarket in a hot C2 event he was outpaced at halfway but kept on well out of The Dip. Dropped 2lb to OR85 must have a chance down in grade, C3, over a stiff 6F or an easy seven.” Jack Garritty has the leg up and I’m always interested in Fahey horses at Chester not owned by Dr.K and from stall 6 has every chance. Two star** win selection @ / with .

CHESTER 2:55           Penwortham                 C2 3yo 7F 0-100 Coca Cola Zero Sugar Handicap

“We also run Penwortham who won well at Goodwood the last day when the track suited him. He needs to step up again here but it’s a £20,000 handicap and he’s not without a chance.” Won well at Goodwood last time but a couple of issues here. Firstly George Chaloner is going to have to be alert at the start as he’s on a hold up horse in stall 1, secondly Penwortham is up 6lb’s and three grades! Should give the Richard Fahey Ebor Racing Club a fun day out! Watching Brief.

CHESTER 3:30           Bayan Kasirga               C4 12F 0-80 Woodford Reserve Handicap

“Bayan Kasirga has already had a great season and has the plum draw here. He won’t mind the ground, is proven at the track and, while it will take a lifetime best to win this, he’s there with a shout.”

Trip is OK but perhaps a grade too high. Another well drawn in 1 but as a hold up horse could be an issue. Jockey Natalie Hambling claims 7lbs and she is an impressive four from 19 this year and Bayan Kasirga has won 10 of her 50 starts but I think the pair have their work cut out here. Watching Brief.

CHESTER 3:30           Perrault                            C4 12F 0-80 Woodford Reserve Handicap

“Perrault has been very disappointing. We’re just lost with him at the moment. We don’t know what his best trip is and he hasn’t been showing anything in his recent races. He definitely didn’t stay at Musselburgh last time so we drop back to a mile-and-a-half in the Woodford Reserve Handicap in the hope that helps but it’s a guessing game.”

Owned by Dr Marwan Koukash. Recent £32K purchase out of the Ralph Beckett yard, he is a lightly raced grey gelding by Rip Van Winkle and he won his maiden over 10F in a C5 at Chepstow. Since joining Musley Bank he has been abysmal! Watching Brief.

CHESTER 4:00            Lexi’s Hero                        C3 5F 0-90 Bottega Gold Handicap

“Lexi’s Hero bounced back to form to win around here last time and has a good draw in the Bottega Gold Handicap. He showed a really good attitude last time and is in great order going into this.”

Loves Chester, loves sprinting, loves Soft in the going. Ticks those three boxes and hopefully George Chaloner’s first ride on the old boy will be a winning one. One star* win @ / with .

CHESTER 4:00           Powerallied                    C3 5F 0-90 Bottega Gold Handicap

“We also run Powerallied who I’d love to find a six furlongs race around here for. I hope they go flat out because he’ll be staying on and coming back at them late if they do.” Has the assistance of Chester maestro Franny Norton but is a hold up horse in stall 1 and could need loads of luck turning for home. Even probably wanting another furlong I think he could be a player in C3. One star* win @ / with .

CHESTER   4:35         Ballesteros                      C4 5F 0-85 Stella Artois Handicap

“Ballesteros bounced right back to chase home Lexi’s Hero the other day. He has a good draw in the Stella Artois Handicap, the track and ground should be absolutely right for him here and I hope he wins for Marwan Koukash.”

Running better currently but has won once in his last thirty four runs and I’m quite happy to let him run without my money! Watching Brief or lay!

CHESTER 5:10           Gabrial The Duke        C4 16F 0-85 Pimms No.1 Handicap

“Our final runner at Chester is Gabrial The Duke who never raised a gallop the other day at Musselburgh when we expected him to run well. It was very disappointing. He’s a horse who’s worn blinkers in the past but I’ve taken all the headgear off here in the hope that sparks a revival in the Pimms No.1 Handicap. We’re happy with him at home and if he’s at his best he’ll run well. If he runs like he did at Musselburgh he’ll be tailed off.”

His last two runs suggest he’s not too happy racing at the moment. Whether his problem is mental or physical I don’t know. The fact that #FantasticMrFahey runs him but takes all the headgear off suggests the horse may “have his own ideas about the game”. Watching Brief.

 

NEWCASTLE All Weather Tapeta-Standard

NEWCASTLE 1:55      Champion Harbour C3 5F 2yo Betfred EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10 Race)

“Champion Harbour is our first runner on the card in the Betfred ‘Bet On The Euros’ EBF Novice Stakes. He’s disappointed on both his starts to date and has been gelded. The owner loves the track and has been lucky enough to have winners at the meeting before. I’d love this fellow to be another for him but he does need to step up on what he’s done on the track so far.”

Last time out 2yo colt was well supported, always prominent, led 1½F out, then wandered and faded. Green? Lost action? BHA Stewards Report Tony Hamilton, the rider of CHAMPION HARBOUR (IRE), which was unplaced, reported that the colt hung badly right inside the final 1 ½ furlongs. Definite Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 2:30      Mr Lupton                       G3 6F Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3)

“I’m really looking forward to running Mr Lupton in the Betfred Chipchase Stakes. He’s in great order and while this is a new surface for him, there’s no reason he shouldn’t go on it. This is a step up and the next test in his career but he’s in top form going into it.”

OR111 Still spitting feathers on missing out on him at York!! My notes say “This 3yo gelding owes nobody nothing. Costing only £15K as a yearling, in his 2yo career he was second in the Newbury Super Sprint, won the Doncaster Sales race and was pipped by Log Out Island in the Redcar 2yo Trophy winning over £250K in prize money! The downside is trying to win more sprints off an OR102 as a 3yo. Mr Lupton is an ideal mount for Jamie Spencer being a fast and late hold up horse. The pair were third on debut this season at Newmarket employing just those tactics behind Show Stealer over 6F in a C2 3yo handicap. Where next? An obvious place would be York for the 3yo 6F Charity Sprint but he would probably have top weight, be susceptible to an improver and the Knavesmire is no place for a hold up horse!” Spencer is in the plate again but this is a step up again to Group 3 class. The clock says he has a real chance, Racing Post Ratings and the Official Handicapper suggest he has five pounds or so to find and the surface is an unknown as it is for most of the field. I can’t let him go unbacked, one star* win @ 5/1 with PP.

NEWCASTLE 3:05      Arctic Feeling                                C2 6F 0-100 Betfred TV Handicap

“Arctic Feeling is as high as he wants to be in the handicap but I’ve been saying that for three years and he keeps surprising me and winning races. That said he bombed out at Epsom last time for no apparent reason. Maybe he was just telling the handicapper he’s sick of lumping these big weights everywhere. I’d still not draw a line through him though.” OR94 I just can’t get this horse right, normally wins when the book says he can’t. He’ll miss Sammy Jo Bell but has to be a Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 3:05      George Bowen              C2 6F 0-100 Betfred TV Handicap

“Things didn’t pan out right for George Bowen at Epsom last time, where through nobody’s fault he became detached and couldn’t get into it. If he acts on the track here I’d expect a big run as he’s right on his A-game.”

My notes say Hugely likeable 6F sprinter who went from winning a C3 handicap at Wolverhampton off 85 to running second in the Ayr Silver Cup off 96, winning at Newmarket and the Curragh on the way. The Ayr Gold Cup would seem a logical target and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him tried over further. He appreciates Soft ground and I expect him to land a C2 handicap pot and possibly a Listed race and even Group level towards the end of the season.”

OR97 Little surprised to see him here as I thought the Tapeta was the quickest of the artificial surfaces. Mind you he has won on the surface at Wolverhampton over this trip and he has slipped 3lb down the handicap. Like Mr Lupton I can’t let him go unbacked, one star* win @ 7/1 with WH.

NEWCASTLE 3:40      Gabrial’s Star                                 C2 16F 85-92 Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap

“Gabrial’s Star shaped better at Ayr the last day where a mile-and-a-half would have been sharp enough for him. He stays two miles, Tony Hamilton gets on very well with him and while this is competitive, as it should be for the money, he’ll give a good account of himself.”

OR89 Hasn’t won in last fourteen outings since November 2014 and I’m not convinced he genuinely stays a truly run two miles. That 13½F around Chester on good ground seems right for him. Watching Brief.

NEWCASTLE 3:40      Gabrial’s King                C2 16F 85-92 Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap

“Gabrial’s King is top weight in the Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap and I’d have preferred if he’d got into the Plate itself as he’s not very big and would have had less to carry there. We’re taking seven off him too courtesy of Adam and while he’s a bit of an enigma, it wouldn’t totally surprise me if he ran well.”

Enigma indeed! OR93 The trip is right, MacNamara’s claim helps, stall 11 is so-so and the surface is an unknown! Back in April last season he was second to Trip to Paris no less over 16F in a C2 handicap off a pond less on Good to Firm ground. I’m forced to agree with his trainer and it’s a Watching Brief but “..it wouldn’t totally surprise me if he ran well.”

NEWCASTLE 4:15      Gabrial The Hero         C2 16F 92-104 John Smith’s Northumberland Plate

“It’s John Smith’s Northumberland Plate Day at Newcastle on Saturday and I think I’ve a big chance of winning it with Gabrial The Hero. I thought he ran a blinder in the Chester Cup last time when everything went wrong, they went no gallop which didn’t suit him at all and he was still only beaten two-and-a-half-lengths into fourth. He’s won on all-weather surfaces before, has a decent draw in eight and everything looks in place for a good run.”

This one has rather crept up on me as Dr.K only transferred him from David Simcock to #FantasticMrFahey in October last year. The trainer is certainly bullish on his chances and he certainly has AW form although he hasn’t won on either visit to Wolverhampton’s Tapeta albeit over trips probably too short for him. Excellent run in the Chester Cup and if Tony Hamilton can keep him handy he must have a squeak.

One star* each way selection @ 12/1 with WH 1,2,3,4 ¼

NEWCASTLE 4:15      Angel Gabrial                C2 16F 92-104 John Smith’s Northumberland Plate

“We also saddle Angel Gabrial who I think just struggles in these very competitive handicaps. He’s better in smaller fields but we’re taking seven pounds off him with Adam McNamara and he did run well on his last start at York.”

OR103 Adam MacNamara takes 7lbs off. Well drawn in stall 5. Recently a solid third in a Listed race at York over 14F and as my notes below suggest he must be a one star* each way selection @ 25/1 with WH 1,2,3,4 ¼

Notes “8th          33/1 Chester Cup. Not clear run top of straight. Kept on. OR104 handy if he came down a few pounds. I would say Only If… the Northumberland Plate (4th & 1st last two years) BUT in 2016, it will be run on an artificial all-weather surface (Tapeta) for the first time. So Only If.. gets below OR100 and stays to 16F not Cesarewitch. He ran well in two Listed races at Sandown in July and Newmarket in September last season and I expect they will be on the agenda again.”

 

WINDSOR SOFT Heavy in places (GoingStick 5.2)

WINDSOR 3:15         English Summer           C2 11½F 0-100 Sky Bet Handicap

“English Summer has surprised me this year. I thought he was very badly handicapped having won four times in 2015 but he’s run alright twice, including at York last time. He’ll love the ground at Windsor for the Sky Bet Handicap and while I’d have been surprised at the start of the season to see him winning off this sort of mark, he does have a chance.”

Notes say “Only If… C3 or less, Chester/Epsom 12F. OR92 and probably needs to come down 7lbs. MacNamara’s claim could help?” Here he is in C2, OR89, at Windsor with David Nolan riding! Ground is ideal but needs a career best. Watching Brief.

WINDSOR 3:50            Growl                                     C2 6F 0-105 Sky Bet Royal Windsor Sprint Series Handicap

“Growl also has form on this surface and got his head back in front at Nottingham last time. If he was back to his very best he’d win the Sky Bet Royal Windsor Sprint Series Handicap and definitely has a chance. Hopefully he’ll have taken confidence from the last day.”

Notes say “A nice 0-90 C3 6F on quicker ground could restore confidence. He’s a hold up horse so hopefully Dr K. won’t take him to Chester!!” Well he kindly obliged at Leicester last time under those conditions. Here he is up 6lbs in a C2 on Soft ground! No, thank you. Watching Brief.

WINDSOR 4:20         Gabrial                               Listed 8F Sky Bet Midsummer Stakes (Listed Race)

“Gabrial is another who will love the ground and I just hope they go flat out in the Sky Bet Midsummer Stakes and give him something to chase. I just want to win a race with him and Marwan is thinking the same. He’s run some mighty races in top-class heats over the years and it would be great to see him get his head back in front.”

Amazing horse. Trip, ground, Grade all fine but hasn’t won since the Lincoln last year! Can Ocean Tempest set this up for him? Why not? One star* win @ / with .

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Soft, GoingStick: 6.2 on Thursday at 08:30.

NEWMARKET 3:20   Marie Of Lyon               Listed 6F 2yo fillies The AHT Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

“I was expecting Marie Of Lyon to run well at York on debut and she ended up winning – something that didn’t look likely for a long way. She’s a filly we like an awful lot but you can see it with the good ones on their first start – they learn so much during the race, as they do everything so easily on the bridle at home. She goes to Newmarket for the Cambridge News Magazine Supporting The AHT Empress Stakes where Paul Hanagan, who gave her a great ride first time out, is on board again. We’ll find out how good she is here but we do think she’s very nice and she has a great mind which always helps.”

#FantasticMrFahey has an excellent squad of 2yo fillies this season and they knew all about this young lady at York on debut. Clipper Logistics are interesting owners with horses with many trainers and Paul Hanagan keeps the ride. Will stick with Marie of Lyon until beaten. One star* win @ / with .

NEWMARKET 3:55    Birchwood                      G3 7F John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes (Group 3)

“Birchwood ran no race in the French 2000 Guineas on his reappearance and we can’t find a reason why. He looked fantastic and had pleased us in a racecourse gallop at Newcastle before Chantilly. We swerved Royal Ascot with him because he escapes a penalty in the John Sunley Memorial Criterion Stakes. He’s a hard horse to sum up at home as he never kills himself in his work but he went very well last week and we’re happy with him. He’s won at the track too which is another plus.”

Interesting race as he is the only 3yo to take on his elders who are mainly “almost” horses! Clever choice of race as trip, ground and grade are right if he has trained on. One star win @ / .

 

DONCASTER GOOD TO SOFT Good in places (GoingStick 7.4)

DONCASTER 7:25     Hyland Heather           C5 6F Maiden M & G Asbestos Removal + Surveying Maiden Stakes

I’d love to see Hyland Heather win the M & G Asbestos Removal And Surveying Maiden Stakes for Norman Steel and she has a definite chance. She’s very genuine and ran okay when second on her Catterick reappearance.

Notes say “Cost leading Musley Bank patron Mrs Helen Steel 90K euros as a yearling and although a five race maiden beginning her 3yo campaign showed enough last season to suggest she shouldn’t be long out of the winners enclosure. In her early races she had an issue coming out              of the stalls straight but when she did on her final race she was short of room when coming to challenge in a C3 6F Soft ground nursery at York and had to settle for second. Similar conditions would be fine and she may even get a bit further.”

Prefer her in a handicap, this is a warmish heat. Watching Brief.

DONCASTER 8:55     Gin In The Inn               C4 6F 0-85 Beaver 84 Hire And Sales Handicap

He was disappointing on his reappearance at Pontefract but that was down to the ground. It was officially good to firm but was much quicker than that – which is always frustrating for a trainer – and he was one of a number of horses that didn’t handle it that day. It’s a big field handicap but if he bounced back he’d have a chance and he is working well again.

Notes say “Good to Firm ground, an easy 6F and his Pontefract form suggests he can continue to progress from an opening mark of OR80. Gelded to start his 3yo career.” Ground concerns me but I think he may be well in. One star* each way @ 14/1.

#startracking Thursday June 24th 5pm

Continuing my search for winners from Royal Ascot 2016! Here’s TEN for your tracker.

THIKRIYAAT                            2nd in G2 7F Jersey Stakes.

Nothing really went right for him in this race. He was drawn stands side in a group that raced down the middle and was always two lengths+ off the far side group, switched inside 3F out, got outpaced 2F out but flew when they hit the rising ground inside the final furlong. Ribchester had gone and may still have won anyway.

After his previous race win in the Listed 7F King Charles II Stakes at Newmarket Richard Hills, assistant racing manager to owner Sheikh Hamdan, said: “I thought it was a really good effort. Ted Durcan said he felt the ground going into the dip and idled. But when the other horse came to him he went on again. He is a progressive horse and he will definitely get a mile.”

So we are looking for a Group 3 (Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes @ Goodwood?), possibly Group 2, over a mile without Firm in the Going and preferably Soft in it. This seasons 3yo male miler’s looks a hot division with the likes of The Gurkha, Galileo Gold and Atwaad but success in a G2/3 could pave the way to taking the big boys on.

If Thikriyaat was to stay to 7F the G2 Park Stakes at Doncaster would seem an appropriate target, especially on a course Paul Hanagan rides well. With a preference for ground on the Soft side if it was to be a G1 shot the Maurice de Gheest at Deauville and the QEII at Ascot on Champions Day would be suitable.

Looking further down the line there is a race in the States they could have their eye on, the Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo+) (Turf) at Keeneland on the turf in early October?

MITCHUM SWAGGER                3rd in the C2 8F Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap).

A remarkable run. No surprise he tagged himself on the back of the far side group as he is a hold up horse. Jockey George Baker moved forward from the 3F pole choosing to go towards the far rail and weaved his way through with nothing finishing stronger.

Trainer David Lanigan told the Racing Post “The stable’s Hunt Cup third Mitchum Swagger, who enjoys soft ground, is likely to have a break before returning for an autumn campaign, as he did last year.”

We know he is a hold up horse who wants Soft ground, gets 8F and could possibly get 10F?  Currently has an Official Rating of 110 which would make the Cambridgeshire a big ask but there is a Group 3 at Newmarket, a course he ran well last season, the Darley Stakes in early October which could fit the bill.

CARRY ON DERYCK                     9th in the C2 8F Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap).

Australian jockey James McDonald had an impossible task here. Drawn 25 he had no choice but to weigh in with the stands side group, hampered after 2F that knocked him another place back, when he did come with his challenge it was in the middle of the course all on his own and despite drifting to the leaders the pilot has done really well to get Godolphin’s son of Halling within four lengths of their winner, Portage.

Currently on a handicap mark of OR106 where do they go next with him? As a four year old he has had only eleven starts and as a son of Halling there should be more improvement to come with age and possibly stepping up to ten furlongs. He has had four goes at Listed company without success but I still believe he could be a Group horse in time. Curious that Godolphin bought a 4yo gelding?

He was fourth in the 3yo 8F C2 Britannia Handicap in 2015 on Good to firm, which suggests he likes Ascots straight mile, his better form has been with give in the ground and he has to be on my shortlist for the Balmoral Handicap on Champions Day in October. Mind you it will be interesting to see where he turns up between now and then?

DIPLOMA                                          5th in the 3yo Fillies Listed 8F Sandringham Handicap

I am not sure what to make of this race. The winner, Persuasive, was the best horse and Frankie Dettori had her in position ‘A’ and got first run with the next four to finish all coming from behind her. I am putting up the Queen’s Diploma for two main reasons, firstly I think she is a better horse at ten furlongs and secondly Ryan Moore didn’t exactly throw the kitchen sink at her to get third! She has an Official Rating of 100 which would be interesting if she chose to carry top weight in a 3yo fillies 10F handicap.

The Listed 10F Lyric Stakes at York for 3yo+ fillies on Friday 22nd July could be a suitable race if she goes off in search of Black Type.

 

The C2 Britannia Handicap for 3yo’s over the straight mile is as competitive a contest as there is over the five days in Berkshire but is usually full of future winners. Watching it again the 2016 version is notable for two reasons. Firstly it was the only race all week over the straight course where those drawn high actually stuck to the stands rail and were competitive to the line and secondly the race was blown apart by Defrocked at the 2F pole when Jamie Spencer’s mount arrived pulling double before he again hung drastically right and almost threw it away.

I am choosing two to put forward for contrasting reasons.

CHIEF WHIP                                     3rd in the 8F C2 3yo Britannia Heritage Handicap

Any horse that has gone up 13lb without winning is normally one to be avoided but Chief Whip has finished in the frame in four of the hottest 3yo 7/8F handicaps this season. Third at Sandown to Czabo, who has since finished fourth in a Classic and won at Listed level. Second to Castle Harbour at York when Ryan Moore had to overcome a dreadful draw. Second to Garcia in the Silver Bowl at Haydock when he did everything but win with Garcia leaning all over him in the last hundred yards and then a fast finishing third in the Britannia under the stands rail!

Chief Whip acts on the soft but could improve on better ground and he has the speed for a mile but ten furlongs may be his trip. His Official Rating has gone up from OR86 to OR99 but a 0-100 3yo 8-10F handicap on Good ground with Ryan Moore back on board would be ideal. Indeed in time he could be a Group performer as I hinted at in my pre-season notes. “US bred son of Giants Causeway cost Messrs Magnier, Tabor and Smith $250K and is not at Coolmore but with Richard Hannon. Only ran the once as a 2yo but couldn’t have been much more impressive. Out OK, travelled well but had to sit and suffer just behind the leaders waiting for a gap but when he did get daylight he really quickened up in the style of a good horse. The 2nd and 3rd have both won since suggesting Chief Whip is an OR95+ horse and possibly a Group contender.”

YATTWEE                                          3rd in the 8F C2 3yo Britannia Heritage Handicap

Another to race in the stands side group in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot and had every chance. That run was only the fourth of his career and although on an Official Rating of OR100 I believe on better ground with more experience he could prove that to be on the generous side. I wouldn’t be bothered if he stepped back a furlong as long as it was quick ground.

BURNT SUGAR                                               6th in the C2 6F Wokingham Heritage Handicap

On the evidence of this run Burnt Sugar just has to win a big pot C2 6F handicap in the next twelve months!! Another ridden by Australian James Macdonald again having to overcome a rotten draw in 27. Last after a furlong, as the field migrated towards the centre and far side it was Burnt Sugar who made his challenge alone nearest to the stands. He really quickened approaching the furlong pole but the race was gone and he hung a little right and behind close home. Burnt Sugar hasn’t won since his two year old days and both wins were on the All Weather but there are two C2 6F handicaps coming up at Newmarket, Friday July 8th and Saturday August 13th, in which he was 5th and 2nd last year and with a bit of luck and a clear run has to be an each way shot in both in 2016. The Handicapper has dropped him a pound for that Wokingham run to OR105 and if trainer Richard Hannon put up his star claimer Tom Marquand he could take another three pounds off and would be very back-able!

TOOFI                                                                  8th in the C2 6F Wokingham Heritage Handicap

Trainer Robert Cowell has firmly established as the “Jamaica” of British horse racing with a stable full of medal-winning equine athletes over any distance as long as it’s a sprint no further than 6F!! I see this morning that Strath Burn has moved from Charlie Hills to Six Mile Bottom.

Can Toofi win a C2 Handicap sprint? He is a hold up horse who goes on any ground off an Official rating of 103 and that means he will always get in the race but needs a large slice of luck to win one!

As long as he is available at a double figure price I would be quite prepared to back him each way in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood, the Gold Cup at Ayr and especially the Portland Handicap over the extra hundred yards at Doncaster. I would love to see the owners persuaded to give Jamie Spencer a go on him or a hot claimer such as George Wood, Josephine Gordon or Adam MacNamara although I think Andrea Atzeni is the most probable pilot.

GUNNERY                                                          6th in the 3yo Listed 16F Queens Vase

Again I’m not happy about a horse going up ten pounds for finishing 6th, OR88 98, but this was a fair effort considering little came from off the pace and the winner, Sword Fighter, made every yard. It was the second time watching this horse that I think he is tailor made for the 3yo 14F Melrose handicap at the Ebor meeting on the Knavesmire at York. This was still only his fifth lifetime race and I could see this son Of Le Havre winning at York and making up into a decent Cup horse next season. Mind you I could also see him in a staying novice hurdle at Newbury for Henderson!

MIDHMAAR                                                    8th in the 12F 3yo C1 King George V Handicap

I wasn’t surprised to see Midhmaar at Royal Ascot but I didn’t expect it to be this race! As my pre season notes suggested “Won once from six starts as a 2yo but now as a gelded 3yo he could be a handicapping money spinner. He was green on debut, ground was Soft on his second run and on his third run in a maiden on the AW at Lingfield ran into two OR90+ horses! He comfortably made all in a C3 8F nursery on Good to Firm at Salisbury. Stepped up to C2 8F at Doncaster, he was too keen early and wouldn’t settle but was still only beaten 1¼L in fifth. On his final run in a C4 nursery over Ripon’s 8F round a bend he was last away in a field of 13, intended or not, but he settled, travelled and stormed up the straight, only to be blocked twice and still got to second beaten only by the progressive Move Up. Ideal conditions for this son of Iffraaj would be 8F on Good to Firm with some pace on and the chance of cover. His current rating is 84 and very workable. An early season win and he could be an Ascot Britannia candidate.”

As a son of Iffraaj this 12F was going to really stretch his stamina especially as the ground was Soft. In the circumstances he ran really well, slowly away, he lobbed along on the rail in the rear of midfield and as the field swung for home he had no racing room when he needed it and although in with a squeak he didn’t see the trip out. The upside is that he remains on the attractive handicap mark of OR90 and a C3 0-90 10F, even a stiff 10F, on good ground or better should have him in the winners enclosure. His previous runs at Sandown, second to Listed winner Czabo and Primitivo, winner of that race at Ascot, suggest the Esher course suits him well. There is a suitable race at Sandown on the Friday before the Eclipse, July 1st.

 

Whilst Lady Aurelia was blasting away with her WOW performance in the G2 5F Queen Mary for two year old fillies it would have been easy to miss to tidy performances from the fourth and fifth, Kocollada for Richard Fahey and Sylvester Kirk’s 100/1 shot Simmie. Both looked as though they would appreciate a sixth furlong.

#startracking Wednesday June 22nd 3pm

ANTE POST

Still working my way through last weeks Royal Ascot meeting? Should have paid a bit more attention to my own notes, my trackers and had the b*ll*cks to stick with #SuperStoute!

There will be a blog in your inbox as soon as poss with about ten horses that I think are winners waiting to happen on the back of Ascot! However I’m just bursting to put one up, right here, right now! It is already priced up for a race on Saturday July 9th, a date you need to mark in red in your dairy! It is THAT Saturday when there is big racing at York, Newmarket, Ascot et al and there aren’t enough jockeys!!

So I’ve had a serious look at three races already priced up for a fortnight Saturday.

 

YORK 4.15 John Smiths Cup 3yo+ C2 10F 88y Heritage Handicap

The horse is James Fanshawe’s ARTHENUS. He was a fast finishing fourth in the Listed Wolferton handicap at Royal Ascot on his first try at ten furlongs beaten just a length and a half by Sir Isaac Newton. Firm in the going would be a negative but there looks plenty of rain about and on the soft side of good would be ideal. I have no worries about the trip but the draw could be an issue, especially if they stick to that far rail, but as a hold up horse as long as Freddy Tylicki (or George Wood if they decide to use the stables star claimer!) can find a seam it will be fine. Arthenus won over nine furlongs at York last season beating no less than Librisi Breeze, the so close second in the Hunt Cup. He is currently Officially Rated 101 and 24th on the list of runners which would 99.9% ensure he gets in if connections so choose.

Arthenus is a two star** each way Ante Post selection @ 20/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4 with a handful of on-line companies. Big four still to price up, may wait until they do. I intend going in again as soon as Fanshawe gives any indication Arthenus is an intended runner one star* win and if declared, again on the day one star* each way at the best terms available!

 

NEWMARKET 4.35 July Cup G1 6F

My selection for this race will come as absolute no surprise to regular readers of this blog because the more I think about it the more I think that DON’T TOUCH will be ideally suited by Newmarkets stiff 6F. Beaten only the once in an eight race career, and #FantasticMrFahey suggested “he just didn’t like Ireland”, with the Greenlands blip ignored he has been nothing but progressive. As a 3yo he won the Ayr Gold Cup which is an outstanding achievement and his most recent victory beating Danzeno at Salisbury is a serious bit of form. Ben Linfoot in his most recent article on sportinglife.com reviewing Ascot asked Who wants to be a Champion Sprinter?” with the handicapper having “Profitable on 117, Quiet Reflection on 117 and Twilight Son on 117.” Don’t Touch is currently OR114 and with #FantasticMrFahey stating “the July Cup has been the plan all along” and why they missed Ascot I think it is time for Don’t Touch to wear the crown. #FantasticMrFahey has won this race before with Mayson and was third with course specialist Eastern Impact last season and he clearly holds Don’t Touch in much higher esteem.

Don’t Touch is a two star** each way selection @ 14/1 with Betfred 1/5 1,2,3

 

NEWMARKET 5.10 Bunbury Cup C2 7F Heritage Handicap 3yo+

I have had this race in mind all season for HEAVENS GUEST all season as probably his best chance of getting into the winners enclosure! My notes say he is a “Solid, classy handicapper who wants a stiff 7F such as Ascot or Newmarket with Good/Good to Soft ground.” He runs the July course well, 7F is his best trip and it looks quite possible that young Adam MacNamara will keep the ride, making use of his seven pound claim, especially having got so close at York last time. Currently OR104 and tenth on the list of entries, if healthy he runs!! Ridden prominently just off the pace, if he can get his head in front in the last two hundred yards he is a damned difficult horse to pass! Ticks every box and Heavens Guest is a two star** each way Ante Post selection @ 14/1 with PP and Betfred ¼ 1,2,3,4.

 

A £1 each way Trixie (£8) at the prices above could return over £5500!!

#startracking Tuesday June 21st 1.30pm

Are you in the No-seda?

Sticking to the Royal Ascot theme, two of the most impressive handicap performances came from Outback Traveller, winner of the Wokingham, and Librisa Breeze, put up by Pricewise at 20/1 and returned at 8/1 second in the Hunt Cup. What do those two horses have in common?

Well they were both trained by Jeremy Noseda last season and current connections picked them up at last autumn’s Horses in Training sale. That begs a couple of questions?

What has happened to Jeremy Noseda in the last five seasons?

Wikipedia says Jeremy Noseda (born 17 September 1963) After six years working for John Dunlop, and five years as assistant to John Gosden, he joined Sheikh Mohammed’s Godolphin operation in late 1993, and played a significant role in training such horses as Lammtarra, Halling and Balanchine. He started training under his own name in January 1996, initially in California, then returning to Britain in late 1997. He is based at the Shalfleet stables in Newmarket formerly occupied by Paul Kelleway. He enjoyed his first Classic victory when Araafa won the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2006. His first triumph in an English Classic came the same year with Sixties Icon winning the St Leger at York.”

From 2003 to 2010 Jeremy Noseda was winning a Group 1 and a handful of Group races every season but he hasn’t won a Group race in Britain since September 2012 and a Group 1 since September 2010 when Sans Frontieres won the Irish St. Leger.

From 2012 -2015 his number of runners on turf has declined from 166 to 156 to 114 to 90 and his winners from 25 to 29 to 14 to 9! Throughout that period he has had 20 winners a year on the All Weather, indeed he seems to have one eye on the American prizes as his one current decent horse in Shalfleet Stables, Nemoralia, seems to indicate. He seems to be down to two principle owners, Mrs Susan Roy, wife of the ex-chairman of the BHA Paul (see notes below) and Marc Keller, who (if my research is correct) is an ex-Merrill banker, as is Mr Roy, and is involved with Wren House infrastructure Management.

Noseda no longer trains for the Arabs, or Cheveley Park or Sir Robert Ogden etc. etc. Why did it all go wrong?

Where there any other bargains snapped up last autumn or since?

Tattersalls Autumn Horses-in-Training Sale 2015 26-28 October 2015

Librisa Breeze,

GR, G, 3-y-o,  Mount Nelson — Bruxcalina (Linamix)  GNS 90,000 Stephen Hillen Bloodstock 

Top lot from the yards sale and has had two runs, winning a C3 handicap at Wolverhampton and second in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot stepping back in trip. Trained by Dean Ivory and owned by Tony Bloom (See notes below)

Form-21 Earnings-£39,866 Official Rating 92 97 ?

Entry- 9Jul16  5:10  (Early closer) at Newmarket (july), Bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Outback Traveller,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Bushranger — Blue Holly (Blues Traveller)  GNS 65,000 Thomas Morley/One Agency 

Previously seen as a seven furlong horse, on his third run for new connections lands the 6F Wokingham at Royal Ascot. Trained by Robert Cowell and owned by Lordship Stud and Mrs J Morley.

Form-701 Earnings-£108,938 Official Rating 102 100 ?

Aussie Andre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  High Chaparral — Hana Dee (Cadeaux Genereux)  GNS 50,000 Vendor 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR87 See February Sale below!

Hope And Faith,

GR, F, 3-y-o,  Zebedee — Fuerta Ventura (Desert Sun)  GNS 42,000 Tally-Ho Stud 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR73. Bought by original breeder!

Firmament,

B, G, 3-y-o,  Cape Cross — Heaven Sent (Pivotal)  GNS 25,000 Jason Kelly / Nick Bradley 

Now trained by “king of the cast offs”, David O’Meara, although he is struggling to find top form at his new yard!

Trained by David O’Meara and owned by Gallop Racing.

Form-3212 Earnings-£14,452 Official Rating 83 82 85 89 ?

Smartie Artie,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Smart Strike — Green Room (Theatrical)  GNS 24,000 Emerald Bloodstock 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR82. Still an entire!

Overheard,

B, F, 3-y-o,  Lope De Vega — Gutter Press (Raise A Grand)  GNS 13,500 Nick Bradley / Jason Kelly 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR68. Ex-Cheveley Park.

Zeshov,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Acclamation — Fathoming (Gulch)  GNS 12,000 R Bastiman 

Now racing “Up North” but seems to be regressing. Last win was Newmarket on GF C5 7F off OR73 last July.

Form-007 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 73 71 68 66

Rain Wind And Fire,

CH, C, 3-y-o,  Eskendereya — Call Mariah (Dixie Union)  GNS 7,500 Ron Harris 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR77

Buonarotti Boy,

B, G, 3-y-o,  Galileo — Funsie (Saumarez)  GNS 5,000 Howson & Houldsworth Bloodstock 

Now with Gordon Elliott in Ireland and has gone hurdling!

Form-06960012 Earnings-£6892 Official Rating OR60 Turf OR 95 93 102 Hurdles

Yeager,

B, G, 5-y-o,  Medaglia D´oro — Lucky Flyer (Fusaichi Pegasus)                                    Withdrawn 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR86

Ian´s Memory,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Smart Strike — Rite Moment (Vicar)                                                                Withdrawn 

Still trained in yard for Nigel O’Sullivan. Decent AW horse, OR95, due to have only his second start on Turf at Yarmouth. Entry – 24Jun16  3:55  (Four Day) at Yarmouth, ASL Silver Anniversary Handicap

Wakea,B, G, 4-y-o,  Cape Cross — Imiloa (Kingmambo)                                                               Withdrawn 

Mister Brightside,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Lord Shanakill — Lamh Eile (Lend A Hand)                                                    Withdrawn 

Owned by Walter Swinburn and currently racing in the US in G1/G2 races

Mr Boomer, CH, G, 3-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)        Withdrawn 

Renounce, B, C, 3-y-o,  Elnadim — Relinquished (Royal Applause)                           Withdrawn

King Julien, B, C, 2-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)                          Withdrawn 

 

Tattersalls February Sale 2016 4th February 2016

Broadway Icon,

 B, C, 3-y-o,  Sixties Icon — Funny Girl (Darshaan)  GNS 21,000                    Hamad Aljehani 

Guess he’s off to the Middle East?

Wakea,

B, G, 5-y-o,  Cape Cross — Imiloa (Kingmambo)  GNS 16,500                       Harvey Bloodstock / Gary Ryan 

Had two more runs on the AW for Noseda and has now changed ownership and is in Ireland with Karl Thornton and has gone novice hurdling. Form-21 and one run on Flat over 16F Form-3 OR97 Earnings-£7192

Starlike,

B, F, 4-y-o,  Eskendereya — Mysterieuse Etoile (Quiet American)  GNS 10,000 A C Elliott, Agent 

Not in Racing Post database!

Renounce,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Elnadim — Relinquished (Royal Applause)  GNS 2,500             Charlie Wallis 

Three runs so far for the new yard. Cost £37K as a yearling!

Form-658 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 70 67 63

Aussie Andre,

B, G, 5-y-o,  High Chaparral — Hana Dee (Cadeaux Genereux)  GNS 2,000 K Tollick 

Unbelievable! Vendor paid £50K for him in October!

Certain Smile, B, G, 4-y-o,  Lope De Vega — Irish Flower (Zieten)  GNS 800

Not in Racing Post database!

BR, C,

2-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Sentimental (Galileo)                                                     Withdrawn 

Le Notre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Champs Elysees — Millistar (Galileo)                                              Withdrawn 

Mr Boomer,

CH, G, 4-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)                    Withdrawn

Still with Noseda this 4yo has had one run when 4th of 7 in a an AW maiden. Same ownership as Ian’s Memory.

King Julien,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)                                     Withdrawn

Tattersalls Guineas H-in-T & Breeze-Up Sale 2016 29 Apr 2016

King Julien,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)  GNS 13,000            John Ryan Racing 

Had one run in a maiden for Noseda and then two for new connections, got a rating of OR58 and promptly ran him in the Queens Vase at Royal Ascot! Shock! He beat one home, 17 of 18. Cost £65K as a foal, first crop of Canford Cliffs and the dam has produced mediocrity at best.

Free One,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Fast Company — Tatamagouche (Sadler´s Wells)  GNS 10,000 Jo Davis / J Marriott 

Now with the promising Ivan Furtado. No world beater this one despite costing 60K euros at the Goresbridge breeze-ups! Form-795 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 68 63

Mr Boomer,

CH, G, 4-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)  GNS 3,000 Mark Cuschieri 

No idea and probably not worth bothering about!

Ian´s Memory, B, H, 5-y-o,  Smart Strike — Rite Moment (Vicar)             Withdrawn 

Le Notre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Champs Elysees — Millistar (Galileo)                                              Withdrawn 

Still in yard, OR73, and owned by the aforementioned Marc Keller.

 

Two Prominent Owners- Background Information

Paul Roy, a highly successful figure in investment banking, and owner of several top-class racehorses including St Leger winner Sixties Icon, Wilko and Dutch Art, has been appointed as Chairman-designate of the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), Racing’s new governing body.

Roy, 59, will lead BHA for a three-year term when it begins operation in early 2007. BHA will combine the British Horseracing Board’s (BHB) governance responsibilities and the regulatory functions of the Horseracing Regulatory Authority (HRA).

Over 30 years in the investment banking and securities industry, most recently as a founder, in 2003, of NewSmith Capital Partners, an independent investment management firm. Paul was previously Chief Executive of Smith New Court plc and following the merger in 1995 joined Merrill Lynch. Having been head of Merrill Lynch Global Equities division from 1999 to 2001, he subsequently became co-President of its Global Markets and Investment Banking Division, with responsibility for Merrill Lynch’s worldwide Investment Banking, Debt and Equity Markets businesses.

Current Directorships

Non-executive director, Benfield plc; Vice President Philip Leverhulme Equine Hospital

Racing Interests

  • Twelve horses in training, all but one with Jeremy Noseda. The other, Dutch Art, is with Peter Chapple-Hyam
  • All horses run in the name of wife Susan
  • The Roys have a small home breeding operation, with the first crop of two-year-olds racing in 2006
  • Interested in racing since childhood when his father, a butcher, moved the family to a house nr Tattenham Corner

Anthony Grant “Tony” Bloom (born 1970 in Brighton, ) is a football club chairman and successful poker player.

Poker and betting

Bloom has been a sports bettor and property investor, nicknamed The Lizard. Bloom appeared in the Late Night Poker television series and also has a final table appearance on the World Poker Tour. He also made back-to-back final table appearances in the first two Poker Million events. His first major win came in January 2004 when he won the Australasian Poker Championship in Melbourne, collecting a first prize of around A$420,000 ($320,000, £180,000). Bloom won the £5,000 No Limit Hold’em VC Poker Cup Final in London on 5 August 2005 and won the £200,000 ($351,401) first prize. He also had a fourth-place finish in the 2005 World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions. He was a member of the winning British team in the Poker Nations Cup. As of 2008, his total live tournament winnings exceed $1,500,000. Bloom won A$600,000 for his second-place finish in the High Rollers Challenge, event 8 of the Australian Poker Millions tournament held in Melbourne in Jan 2009. Bloom fell short of the million pound grand prize in the Poker Million IX event held in London on 10 December 2010. He finished second behind Gus Hansen.

Football chairman Since 2009 Bloom has been the chairman of Brighton & Hove Albion, currently in the Football League Championship, the second flight of English football. He succeeded Dick Knight after securing a 75% shareholding in the club and investing £93 million in the development of the club’s new ground, the American Express Community Stadium at Falmer.

 

Royal Ascot 2016 Review – Going and Draw Monday June 20th 12.45pm

Going

This was a Soft ground Ascot that didn’t suit every horse but if the horse was good enough it went through it. It seemed to pay to be prominent as not many came from too far back with maybe the exception of the outstanding Order of St. George and both Kinema and Kings Fete who were in the last three turning for home in the 12F Duke of Edinburgh handicap.

Draw on the Straight course 7F/8F

Jersey Stakes (19 ran) –                7, 17, 3, 2, 10, 9, 1, 13, 5, 8 (1st 10)

Hunt Cup (28 ran) –                         4, 26, 20, 10, 2, 19, 12, 7, 25, 2 (1st 10)

Sandringham (21 ran) –                 17, 24, 20, 12, 23, 8, 7, 6, 21, 2 (1st 10)

Britannia (28 ran) –                          12, 18, 23, 30, 27, 9, 28, 17, 20, 22 (1st 10)

Draw on the Straight course 5F/6F

Wokingham  (28 ran) –                   28, 11, 26, 6, 1, 27, 14, 30, 8, 7, (1st 10)

Windsor Castle (22 ran) –            I, 6, 8, 24, 19, 3, 2, 18, 17, 11 (1st 10)

 

Straight Course Conclusion – It’s all in the jockeys heads! The far side looked on balance a better place to be with those drawn in the 20’s in the big fields at a genuine disadvantage. However it was more important to be drawn near the pace and then get a clear seam when you needed it.

In my opinion the following horses could have improved their placings if they had been drawn lower!

Thikriyaat, Librisa Breeze, Mitchum Swagger, Carry on Deryck, Sharaakah, Diploma, Chief Whip, Arcanada, Yattwee, Toofi, Burnt Sugar.

In the smaller field Group/Listed races on the straight course the jockeys chose to come down the centre and everyone had a chance if good enough.

 

Round Course Conclusion

At times I feel the draw is more important and how you deal with it on the round course than the straight.  From an outside draw do you push for position, do you drop in behind, do you race thee wide?

All The Ghurka’s problems were caused in the first one hundred yards being unable to get any position but trapped on a rail too far off the pace. Slowly into stride, drawn wide didn’t help the cause of Linguistic. Platitude in the King George V Handicap was certainly not helped by stall 18, having to race wide throughout and then hanging to the rail in the straight.

ROYAL ASCOT 2016 BHA Stewards Reports Monday June 20th 12noon

I am an avid fan of the British Horseracing Authority’s website, especially the Stewards Reports. Often the first place to find out why your “hard-earned” remained in the bookies satchel! Here are some selected bits from last week at Ascot. If any of these horses are in your tracker add the comments to your notes especially those that are Going related. I’m still not sure what to make of “ran flat”?

Interested that Andre Fabre’s camp felt the ground was softer than official description and Ryan Moore’s opinion that drawn highest in the Hunt Cup (i.e nearest stands rail) was “unfavourable” but more in the next blog on the draw.

Tuesday

Race 1 – 2:30pm THE QUEEN ANNE STAKES (CLASS 1) ( (Group 1)

The representative of Andre Fabre, the trainer of ESOTERIQUE (IRE), unplaced, reported that the filly was unsuited by the Soft ground which, in his opinion, was softer and more holding than as described.

Race 3 – 3:40pm THE KING’S STAND STAKES (CLASS 1)  (Group 1)

Paul Mulrennan, the rider of MECCA’S ANGEL (IRE), which started favourite and finished unplaced, reported that the filly ran flat.

The Veterinary Officer reported that PEARL SECRET, unplaced, trained by David Barron, had lost both front shoes.

Jamie Spencer, the rider of GOKEN (FR), placed third, reported that the colt was denied a clear run.

Race 5 – 5:00pm THE ASCOT STAKES (CLASS 2 HANDICAP)

The representative of Gordon Elliot, the trainer of ESHTIAAL (USA), unplaced, reported that the gelding was unsuited by the Soft ground and would prefer a faster surface.

Race 6 – 5:35pm THE WINDSOR CASTLE STAKES (CLASS 1) (Listed Race)

Pat Smullen, the rider of MISTER TRADER, which started favourite and finished unplaced, reported that the colt ran flat.

Wednesday

Race 3 – 3:40pm THE DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 2)

Andrew Balding, the trainer of BLOND ME (IRE), unplaced, reported that the filly was unsuited by the Soft ground and would prefer a faster surface.

Roger Varian, the trainer of SPANGLED, unplaced, reported that the filly was unsuited by the Soft ground and would prefer a faster surface.

Race 4 – 4:20pm THE PRINCE OF WALES’S STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 1)

Following the race, the trainer reported that A SHIN HIKARI (JPN), which started favourite and finished unplaced, had done too much early on in the race. The Stewards ordered A SHIN HIKARI (JPN) to be routine tested.

Race 5 – 5:00pm THE ROYAL HUNT CUP (CLASS 2 HERITAGE HANDICAP)

Ryan Moore, the rider of CONVEY, which started favourite and finished unplaced, reported that the rig was unsuited by the draw which, in his opinion, was unfavourable.

Pat Dobbs, the rider of EMELL, unplaced, reported that the gelding was denied a clear run.

Owen Burrows, the trainer of ALGAITH (USA), unplaced, reported that the gelding was unsuited by the Soft ground and would prefer a faster surface.

Race 6 – 5:35pm THE SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 1) (Listed Race)

Roger Varian, the trainer of ALJULJALAH (USA), unplaced, reported that the filly was unsuited by the Soft ground and would prefer a faster surface.

Pat Smullen, the rider of DOLCE STREGA (IRE), unplaced, reported that the filly was tight for room after the first furlong.

Thursday

Race 2 – 3:05pm THE TERCENTENARY STAKES (CLASS 1) (formerly The Hampton Court Stakes) (Group 3)

Sir Michael Stoute, the trainer of MULK, unplaced, reported that the colt was unsuited by the Soft going and would prefer faster ground.

Race 5 – 5:00pm THE BRITANNIA STAKES (CLASS 2 HERITAGE HANDICAP)

The Stewards held an enquiry into the use of the whip by Jamie Spencer, the rider of the winner, DEFROCKED (IRE), from approaching the one furlong marker. Having heard his evidence and viewed recordings of the race, they accepted his explanation that the gelding had ducked sharply right-handed and he was concerned that he would continue to do so and crash through the rail. He added that DEFROCKED (IRE) had done similar on his previous run at Doncaster on 4 June 2016.

They further held an enquiry into the unruly behaviour of DEFROCKED (IRE). They interviewed Jamie Osbourne, the trainer, who stated that DEFROCKED (IRE) had always been difficult and was unruly going to the Start on the first occasion that he ran at Southwell on 8 December 2015. He added that his behaviour had then improved until his last run. He further added that he had tried a different bit on the gelding on this occasion and he would continue to experiment using different gear. Having heard his evidence, the Stewards informed the trainer that future similar behaviour may result in the gelding being reported to the Head Office of the British Horseracing Authority.

The Stewards gave permission for DEFROCKED (IRE), trained by Jamie Osborne, to be mounted in the chute and go last to post.

John Gosden, the trainer of PREDILECTION (USA), unplaced, reported that the colt was unsuited by the Soft going and would prefer faster ground.

Dominic Ffrench Davis, the trainer of MANSON, unplaced, reported that the colt was unsuited by the Soft going and would prefer faster ground.

Race 6 – 5:35pm THE KING GEORGE V STAKES (CLASS 2 HANDICAP)

Frankie Dettori, the rider of SHRAAOH (IRE), unplaced, reported that the colt lost action. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the colt failed to reveal any abnormalities.

Friday

Race 2 – 3:05pm THE KING EDWARD VII STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 2)

The Stewards considered the apparent improvement in form of the winner, ACROSS THE STARS (IRE), ridden by Frankie Dettori and trained by Sir Michael Stoute, compared with its previous run at Epsom on 4 June 2016, over 1m 4f, where the colt finished tenth of sixteen, beaten by 18¾ lengths on Good to Soft ground. They noted the trainer’s explanation that the colt had been better suited by the track on this occasion. They ordered ACROSS THE STARS (IRE) to be routine tested.

Andrea Atzeni, the rider of CHOREOGRAPHER (IRE), unplaced, reported that the colt ran too free.

Race 4 – 4:20pm THE CORONATION STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 1)

The Stewards noted, approaching the final furlong, NOW OR NEVER (IRE), placed fourth, shifted right-handed away from the whip, causing William Buick, the rider of FIREGLOW, unplaced, to have to take a check but after viewing a recording of the incident they were satisfied that it neither involved a riding offence nor improved NOW OR NEVER (IRE)’s placing.

Shane Foley, the rider of JET SETTING (IRE), dead-heated for sixth, reported that the filly ran flat. The Stewards ordered JET SETTING (IRE) to be routine tested.

Pat Smullen, the rider of TANAZA (IRE), unplaced, reported that the filly was denied a clear run.

Race 5 – 5:00pm THE DUKE OF EDINBURGH STAKES (CLASS 2 HANDICAP)

The Stewards held an enquiry under Rule (B)11.6 into possible interference on the run to the line. Having heard their evidence and viewed recordings of the race they found that the winner, KINEMA (IRE), ridden by F M Berry, had interfered with KINGS FETE, placed third, ridden by Ryan Moore, who then interfered with ELITE ARMY, placed second, ridden by James Doyle. They found that the interference had not improved KINEMA (IRE)’s placing in that, although KINGS FETE was quickening at the time of the interference, KINEMA (IRE) also appeared to be quickening and, whilst the interference may have cost KINGS FETE second place, the distance to the third was a length-and-a-quarter and a neck and the Stewards, therefore, were not satisfied that KINGS FETE would have won. The Stewards, therefore, ordered the placings to remain unaltered. They found Berry in breach of Rule (B)54.1 and guilty of careless riding in that he allowed his mount to drift right-handed into the whip for some time, before putting his hands back on the reins but failing to take sufficient timely corrective action and causing considerable interference to KINGS FETE and ELITE ARMY. They suspended him for 7 days as follows: Friday 1 to Thursday 7 July 2016 inclusive.

Frankie Dettori, the rider of HAMELIN (IRE), which was pulled up, reported that the gelding stopped quickly. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of the gelding failed to reveal any abnormalities.

Race 6 – 5:35pm THE QUEEN’S VASE (CLASS 1) (Listed Race)

Frankie Dettori, the rider of OPPOSITION, unplaced, reported that the gelding ran too free.

Saturday

Race 1 – 2:30pm THE CHESHAM STAKES (CLASS 1) (Listed Race)

The Stewards considered the running of MAGILLEN (IRE), ridden by Frankie Dettori and trained by Charles Hills, which finished unplaced. They noted the trainer could offer no explanation for the colt’s performance.

Race 2 – 3:05pm THE WOLFERTON HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 1) (Listed Race)

F M Berry, the rider of PACIFY, unplaced, reported that the gelding was never travelling.

Race 3 – 3:40pm THE HARDWICKE STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 2)

The Stewards held an enquiry under Rule (B)11.6 into possible interference from approaching the one furlong marker. Having heard their evidence and viewed recordings of the race they found that the winner, DARTMOUTH, ridden by Olivier Peslier, had interfered with HIGHLAND REEL (IRE), placed second, ridden by Seamie Heffernan. The Stewards found Peslier in breach of Rule (B)54.1 and guilty of careless riding in that he had allowed the colt to continue to shift right-handed without taking sufficient corrective action, moving HIGHLAND REEL (IRE) off its intended line. They cautioned Peslier as to his future conduct in races. They were satisfied that the interference had not improved DARMOUTH’s placing as the colt had always appeared to be holding HIGHLAND REEL (IRE) and they, therefore, ordered the placings to remain unaltered.

The representative of Sir Michael Stoute, the trainer of EXOSPHERE, unplaced, reported that the colt was unsuited by the Good to Soft ground, which was too soft on this occasion.

Race 4 – 4:20pm THE DIAMOND JUBILEE STAKES (CLASS 1) (Group 1)

James Fanshawe, the trainer of THE TIN MAN, unplaced, reported that the gelding was unsuited by the Good to Soft going which was too soft on this occasion.

Race 5 – 5:00pm THE WOKINGHAM STAKES (CLASS 2 HERITAGE HANDICAP)

Darryll Holland, the rider of B FIFTY TWO (IRE), unplaced, reported that the gelding was never travelling.

Race 6 – 5:35pm THE QUEEN ALEXANDRA STAKES (CLASS 2 CONDITIONS RACE)

Luke Morris, the rider of AMOUR DE NUIT, placed sixth, reported that the gelding ran too free.

#startracking Friday June 17th 11.30am

Well that wasn’t much of a party was it! I am afraid with the exception of Platitude, who was a gutsy second in the lucky last, the rest of yesterday’s Stoute runners just didn’t turn up and Abdon, Mustashry and Shraaoh were abysmal and I need to work out why?

I am totally uninspired by todays card at the Royal meeting where much as the racing is enthralling, quality stuff I just can’t see much to have me rushing to the bookies. So just the two today.

Ascot 3.40       DONJUAN TRIUMPHANT Anyone who saw the Sandy Lane would say the selection had no chance of reversing the form with the winner, Quiet Reflection. However there are some mitigating circumstances. #FantasticMrFahey had made no secret of the fact that he had been disappointed with Donjuan Triumphant over the winter and the horse was only just starting to blossom a fortnight prior to Haydock and he was pleasantly surprised with the horse’s excellent second. Donjuan Triumphant will not just go on the ground but fair relish it. Ascot takes a bit more getting than Haydock which will help and Donjuan Triumphant is 3lb better off here albeit for 3¾L. Then there is the ‘X’ factor. I was quite surprised to see Silvester de Sousa in the saddle when both Spencer and Hanagan were available! Finally I think the price is a bit better than right.

Two star** win @ 6/1 with PP.

Ascot 5.00       FELIX MENDELSSOHN I am having a bit of a love-in with young Mr Spencer at the moment and I think this ex Aiden O@Brien, lightly raced 4yo could easily outrun its odds. A son of Galileo he has run well on soft ground before and also been a good third at Ascot. The Spencer/Simcock combo over the last 14 days reads 31118110, that’s hot!

One star* each way @ 33/1 with Betfred.

#startracking Thursday June 16th 11.30am

Royal Ascot do your worse! Two best bets of the meeting run today!!

Galileo Gold on Tuesday got the beers in, Portage yesterday got the party started and today it is time to pump up the volume and hit the dance floor!!

Regular readers of this blog know I have been banging on about Sir Michael Stoute and the strength and depth of his three year olds, well today is pay day! Let’s celebrate St. Michael’s day and aim for a Barbadian National Holiday! He runs seven horses today, all three year olds and we are going to back the lot!!

Ascot 3.05                   ABDON                       Four star**** win @ 7/2 general.

Ascot 3.05                   MULK                          One star* win @ 12/1

Ascot 3.40                   QUEENS TRUST          One star* each way @ 12/1

Ascot 3.40                   SHALL WE                   One star* each way @ 25/1

Ascot 5.00                   MUTASHRY     (NAP)  Four stars each way @ 12/1 with PP in happy hour, 6 places, BOG!

Ascot 5.35                   SHRAAOH                   Four star**** win @ 4/1 with PP

Ascot 5.35                   PLATITUDE                  One star *each way @ 22/1 with Coral

…and here is why…#SuperStoute

Thursday  3.05                       MULK                                   Tercentenary Stakes (Group 3)

Ran well in the Wood Ditton on debut chasing home Sky Kingdom and on his only other race won an egg and spoon maiden at Chelmsford on the sand. Quite surprised to see this £450K Cheveley Park bred son of New Approach (dam produced top 5F horse Duke of Firenze) in here as firstly the handicapper thinks he needs to improve 17lbs to trouble Blue de Vega, secondly any half decent run will blow that wonderful handicap mark OR90 and thirdly Hamdan al Maktoum has a shed load of 10F 3yo colts but runs just this one. I think Paul Hanagan and Mulk could well outrun their odds.

Thursday  3.05                       ABDON                               Tercentenary Stakes (Group 3)

Here we go with the Next Best and you won’t have to wait long for the Nap. Frankie Dettori rides and no problem with trip and ground I think this horse has been laid out for a race Stoute has farmed over the years. Quality opposition in the likes of Blue de Vega, Hawkbill and Royal Artillery.

Right up there with hen’s teeth and Haley’s Comet this a Stoute first time up 2yo winner!  Al Shaqab racing paid £175K for this son of Cacique, not a sire I know. His breeding suggests he’s a 10F candidate and he debuted on Soft ground at Newbury over a mile which suggests he may get further. He has an entry in the Dante and a 33/1 quote for the Epsom Derby. Unfancied on debut at 12/1 the RP analysis suggests he made a mockery of that price, Dwelt, held up in rear, progress from halfway going well, shaken up to chase leader over 1f out, pushed into lead inside final furlong, ran green but won cosily”. Typical of Sir Michael we haven’t seen this colt since. COULD BE ANYTHING! This is a hot listed race has to be a Watching Brief. 2nd             9/2  On only his second start he was awkward out of the stalls and keen through the first furlong but soon settled, travelled but wanted more cover. The winner got first run and Abdon couldn’t claw it back. Been given a tough opening OR102. Suggests it will be Listed and above, 10F+. Entries in the Dante, the Derby and the Tercentenary and Edward VII at Royal Ascot.

Thursday  3.40                       QUEENS TRUST              Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies)

A Cheveley Park homebred daughter of Dansili was a visually impressive winner of her 2yo 7F maiden last season when powering down the Kempton home straight. On the back of that and less than three weeks later she was sent off 9/4 Fav for the G3 Oh So Sharp stakes and was a one paced fifth beaten just four lengths. On 3yo debut she was an unlucky fourth in a 10F Listed race at Newbury. RP Analysis “Held up towards rear, headway on inner over 2f out, looking for room then hampered 1f out, ran on final furlong (op 11/2) “. It looks like she is heading for the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot, G2 12F for 3yo fillies, the Ascot “Oaks”! OR96

According to the handicapper she has 18lbs to find with Hugo Palmer’s Oaks second, Architecture, but this race is all about rapidly improving middle distance 3yo fillies. Wily Frenchman Olivier Peslier gets the leg up and must have an each way shout.

Thursday  3.40                       SHALL WE                         Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies)

Homebred Niarchos Family filly by Dansili out of a Sadlers Wells mare. Promising hands and heels debut last November over 8F at Chelmsford, travelled well, outpaced top of straight, kept on when only Khaleesy was too good. Opened her 3yo campaign up in grade and trip and was a strong second travelling well throughout the race and just failing to pick up the all the way leader, Rocaverde. Had a very winnable opportunity in a 10F C5 maiden at Salisbury. 1st       EvsFav Tall, leggy filly. Last in stalls, out well, led on rail, wound it up from 3F out, comfortably. OR89 0-90 10F 3yo fillies handicap? Has an entry in the G2 12F Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot. Win races or Black Type?

According to the handicapper she has 25lbs (!?!) to find with Hugo Palmer’s Oaks second, Architecture, but this race is all about rapidly improving middle distance 3yo fillies. Uncle Ted Durcan gets the leg up and must have an each way shout.

Thursday  5.00                       MUSTASHRY                   Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings)

Right here we go Nap time. Only run three times, fourth as a 2yo on the AW in late October showing bundles of promise, dwelt, travelled so easily, picked up late. More education on his second run in April this year when awkward at the bends on the AW at Chelmsford, but travels oh so smoothly and kept Taqdeer honest to the line. Writ large in my notes it said “Winner Waiting To Happen in an 8F maiden.” Sure enough they chose to go to Thirsk.

1st           10/11F Strange market with this favourite drifting to 6/5 (before being backed in again). Always in box seat, hacked up. My notes again screamed “OR95 seems a tad on the high side? Mind you if he is a Group horse he could win a big handicap off that mark!” Both parents of Mustashry acted on Soft ground and I think this race is at the right time in this horse’s career on the way upwards and drawn in stall 14 is fine. Alistair Down recently interviewed Sir Michael Stoute and when asked about Royal Ascot 2016 Sir Michael Stoute allegedly gave a one word answer “Mustashry”! SMS has never been too bothered about handicap marks but I don’t think he can resist this one. 12/1 will do just dandy!! Price is drifting because H-a-M racing manager said in today’s Racing Post “we’re not sure he will go on the ground”.

Thursday  5.35                       SHRAAOH                   King George V Stakes (Handicap) 

Al Shaqab paid £175K for this son of Sea the Stars. Went in my tracker after the Craven Meeting when sixth in the Wood Ditton behind Sky Kingdom.Shraaoh on whom Frankie Dettori was ensuring he learnt on the job. …. will improve for further.” “Donohoe takes the ride at Nottingham. The price is big enough to tempt me. 3rd 7/1 Midfield, progress turning for home, asked 3F out, kept on well for third to stable mate Poets Word. The further the better and probably wants 12F.” Readily won his C5 10F maiden at Newcastle on the Tapeta and goes handicapping off OR91. He will undoubtedly be better than that in time but this race, now? I am not sure. Ground may be a concern but stall 4 is a positive. Really strong in today’s market.

Thursday  5.35                       PLATITUDE                  King George V Stakes (Handicap) 

Bred in the purple by Juddmonte a son of Dansili out of a Sadlers Wells mare. Won on debut in a C5 7f maiden at Doncaster and soundly beaten in two Listed races. OR of just 97 and beaten into 5th on the AW in a C2 conditions race when last seen in September. Hardly the form to win the Listed Dee Stakes? So interesting that Stoute puts Platitude in, who should enjoy the step up to 10F. 4th     16/1 Has now been gelded. Pushed early up to third. Probably too much too soon as had every chance at the top of Chesters home straight. Still kept on well and beaten about three lengths in a race where “they were breaking the fractions throughout”. OR9799 A bit harsh to go up 2lbs and it will be interesting to see where he is entered next. Royal Ascot handicap? Yes and Ryan Moore rides. Trip fine, ground OK but that draw of stall 18 of 18!! Has to have a chance!