The going at @Ascot remains Good after 2mm of rain in last 24hrs. Sunshine and showers forecast for most days at #RoyalAscot. Racing Going Reports @RCAGoingReports 9.30am Thursday
Back blogging having had 72 hours of serious Royal Ascot study which no doubt the weather will play havoc with. May pay to be with horses with Good to Soft form as opposed to Good to Firm! The draw in the big field races on the straight course could become a factor. I tend to lean towards the lower numbers as the ground gets softer or the very high numbers!
For a Thursday plenty of informative racing and a few punts as well.
Nottingham 5.05 CARENOT Non Runner
Newbury 2.30 VOLITION Steps up one furlong to a mile and up one grade to C4 but remains against her own sex here at Newbury. These fillies can improve rapidly but the opposition here are nothing special, indeed the very green second favourite was almost 3l behind Volition at Newmarket. She is a two star** win selection @ 9/4 general.
Notes say “£300K daughter of Dark Angel who showed nothing at Chelmsford last August on her only 2yo start. First time up this season she was an eye catching second at Newmarket in a C5 7F Fillies maiden to Godolphin’s Clear Water, albeit the form was on great shakes. Keen early, got cover, travelled well into the race among horses, kept on strongly under a hands and heels ride. No doubt will go in search of Black Type.”
Newbury 3.05 ABINGDON Ballymacoll Stud homebred filly by Street Cry out of a Galileo mare. First time out this season at Ascot the money was wisely down and she is a big girl who outstayed the favourite. A filly with a future in middle distance + events, probably at Group level, the likes of the Yorkshire Oaks? In the Weekender May 31st a gallop report of a strong piece of work with Yarrow. Heading to Ascot for the Ribblesdale? No she goes to Newbury for a Listed race with Ryan Moore in the saddle. The galloping track will suit and no problem with ground or trip. She is a two star win bet** @ 5/2 general.
Nottingham 3.25 GROWL He is down another pound to OR87, has his ideal conditions today, according to my notes below, and the additional bonus of Paul Hanagan in the saddle.
“One of four to run in the C2 6F sprint at Ripon. Had a coming together with stablemate Eccleston out of the stalls which put them at the back of the main group and did well to weave a passage through. Of Fahey’s runners the newcomer to the yard, Growl (OR89), did best. He has some interesting 3yo form, 5L off Limato in a G3 at Ascot! Quicker ground, stiffer track and he could be a player. He won on debut at two but hasn’t won in ten runs since. A nice 0-90 C3 6F on quicker ground could restore confidence. OR89 88 Surely wants a flat 6F?”
Has to be a four star**** NAP win bet @ 9/2 with Coral.
Haydock 8.15 INTIWIN He has dropped back 5lb below his last winning mark and a mile on Good ground or quicker seems right up his street. Although there is not a lot of him he is as game as a pebble, indeed the three races he has won have been by a nose, a nose and a short head, so he’s pretty photogenic as well! Currently on OR82 and he won a C2 race at Ayr last year at this time off OR87. Ground could be a big plus and I think he is great value at the price. Not many in opposition are in form on the turf. Two stars** each way @ 14/1 general.
Haydock 9.15 STARDRIFTER He steps up a grade and up two furlongs, the longer trip being a definite positive. Consistent sort, better ground is fine and Tony Hamilton rides. OR73 Every chance of completing a Fahey/Steel/Hamilton double. He is a two star** win @ 7/2 general.
Thursday Watching Brief
Nottingham 2.00 MASTER GUNNER Really surprised to see him step back 2F to a mile initially until I watched the video again and definite case for saying he didn’t stay. This is his third run so I’ll observe and see what handicap mark he gets and the what plans “the lads” have.
Notes “Owned by the Coolmore “lads”, Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith, he is a US bred War Front colt out of a Sadlers Wells mare. Just the one run as a 2yo when fifth at Yarmouth in a 6f maiden. He dwelt in the stalls, travelled well and was asked nothing in the final two furlongs under hands and heels. Typical #SuperStoute introduction for this powerful looking, scopey type. C4 10F 3yo maidens are never easy and I expect this race to be another step in Master Gunner’s education given by head teacher, Ryan Moore. 6th 14/1 Big, rangy colt. Travelled well, not a lot of cover, asked 3F out, progress, every chance 2F out, one pace out of The Dip. Will come on for run.”
Haydock 7.45 REINSTORM A home bred son of Canford Cliffs for the Steels who also raced the dam, Bridle Belle, trained by #FantasticMrFahey and she was a solid middle distance OR85 handicapper.