So far so good today! Volition, who was eventually well backed, missed the kick but every chance third, Abingdon put her size to good use and outstayed them aided by the jolly running a stinker and Growl doing everything right despite hanging left again! Now onto the late shift with Intiwin, the 14’s has gone and only 8’s with PP and Stardrifter in the finale who is a top priced 3/1 joint favourite.
I am going to post this now and I will update it by 11am tomorrow morning.
Fridays advance goings
Going @Goodwood Races Good (Good to Firm places Round Course) GoingStick: 7.7 Thursday at 07:30
Going @yorkracecourse Good to Firm GStick: All 7.7 Straight; Far Side 7.7 Centre 7.6 Stands Side 7.6 Thursday 14:15
Next Week Royal Ascot Going change @Ascot Good (Good to Firm in places)
York 2.35 LAURENCE
Luca Cumani’s LAURENCE is a horse I’ve been tracking for a while with a Royal Ascot 10F handicap in mind. Non Runner at Newmarket recently when the rain came. Could have ideal conditions here in 10F, good or better ground and a win here off OR90 would put him smack on for Ascot. I expect further improvement as a 4yo from this son of Dubawi, trained the “Cumani” way.
Sandown 4.05 SHABBAH This Sea The Stars colt has had five weeks off but should still be too good for a C4 0-80 field. He could still be well ahead of the handicapper and has been put in at 11/10 by WH so he is a three star*** win selection.
Notes say “Beverley 3.50 SHABBAH If this was Sir Mark Prescott we would be all over it but surely Stoute is using the same plan? Three runs as a 2yo at 7/8F for a horse who will need 12F and he turns up as a 3yo in a C5 12F 0-70 handicap at Beverley off OR64 with Ryan Moore on board. Owned by same chap who has Nathra and he paid £200K for this son of Sea the Stars out of a dam who produced Ingleby Symphony who won off OR78 when trained by #FantasticMrFahey.
Bath 3.55 SHABBAH This race looks a harder option as its 10F not 12F and there are half a dozen in here with form. 9/4 is way too short, it has to be a Watching Brief. 1st 11/4Fav Oops! Travelled three wide, prominent. Led 4F out, lengthened and ran away from them. Progressive stayer. Needs Good ground +. Put in #startracker! Give him three runs.
Nottingham 7.50 Absolutely hacked up at Bath ten days and you don’t often see #SuperStoute put them out again under a penalty. However 4/6 top price in a handicap? No thank you. Watching Brief. 1st 1/2Fav Looks a proper horse! Led, pace lifted, 3F out, gone. Take a break and find a decent 10/12F race. OR64 70 79”
Chepstow 6.20 DUBKA Same grade but up another 2F.
Notes say “DUBKA De Rothschild homebred filly by Dubawi out of Rosika, OR100+ rated mare also trained by #SuperStoute. Ted Durcan rides and Dubka will probably need every yard of this 10F but she surely won’t be racing at C5 level for long. Watching Brief. DUBKA 6th 14/1 RP Analysis “Went left start, held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, never threatened to reach leaders but ran on well final furlong (op 11/1)” 11L back to 7th and fair to say this filly can only improve.”
Goodwood 8.25 COMMODITY Had an educational introduction at the Craven meeting as a never competitive sixth with only the winner, Castle Harbour, advertising the form. The owners, Highclere Thoroughbreds, say on their website “This well marked horse is bred to be fast, but it would be no surprise if he was also able to stretch out and stay a mile given his scope. His dam Royale Danehill has a hundred percent strike rate of winners to runners and she is out of the marvellous race mare Royal Ballerina, who won six races including The Blandford Stakes (Gr 2) and was second in both the English and Irish Oaks.” Looks a longer term, possibly handicap, project to me, mind you he cost £190K! Watching Brief.
York 2.35 DARRINGTON Notes say “I’ll go Only If… he gets down to OR80 and possibly C4. OR82 81” They have got him down to OR80 and run him in a 0-95 C3 event at York. I hope it’s the owner’s decision! Watching Brief.
York 3.45 NUNO TRISTAN No idea what to make of him! Bought out of the William Jarvis yard at the turn of the year for £45K he has an OR90. He’s won a couple of times on the AW and run down the field in four 6F Newmarket handicaps C2 and C4. Now owned by Nick Bradley Racing (Middleham Park manager) who know the time of dat. So he starts his turf career with #FantasticMrFahey in a C3 0-90 at York over 6F. Just has to be a Watching Brief.
York 4.20 MAYFAIR LADY
York 4.20 GIDDY
Notes say ““Readily” won her 5F C5 maiden at Beverley, this Cheveley Park Stud home-bred filly by Kylacchy should be quick. Her only other run was in the C2 nursery at Ayr when she went off 5/2F but was a disappointing 12th behind stable mate and future Group 1 winner, Donjuan Triumphant. My notes said “Big type”, “athletic” and on her maiden win, “Well away from inside, galloped all over these. Quickened at 1F pole. Rest may be trees but professional and couldn’t have done much more.” #amazingMrFahey told sportinglife.com on Sept. 15th, “Giddy is a filly we like a lot. I’d contemplated putting her in the Group Three here but she’s been given a mark which means the nursery route opened up. I’m looking forward to running her.” The connections and the handicap mark are the attractions. She’s a big girl and she’s quick and a flat 6F with a bit of room to manoeuvre is going to be right up her street. If she can build on her excellent reappearance at Ripon when she was a rapidly closing second on a course that unbalanced her she has every chance. Taken out of Haydock yesterday because of Good to Firm ground she runs against her own sex here. It is that “bit of room to manoeuvre” that bothers me, something that is normally at a premium around Chester. I don’t doubt she can win a race of this nature but Chester, I’m not sure. 3rd 7/2 Out OK, third, two wide, almost led 1F out, faded, third. OR77 79
York 2.00 RUBIESNPEARLS
York 3.10 BALTIC BEAU
York 3.10 MAJOR CORNWALLIS Middleham Park paid just £10K for this 2yo son of Dandy Man and he has already been gelded. Watching Brief.