Well that wasn’t much of a party was it! I am afraid with the exception of Platitude, who was a gutsy second in the lucky last, the rest of yesterday’s Stoute runners just didn’t turn up and Abdon, Mustashry and Shraaoh were abysmal and I need to work out why?
I am totally uninspired by todays card at the Royal meeting where much as the racing is enthralling, quality stuff I just can’t see much to have me rushing to the bookies. So just the two today.
Ascot 3.40 DONJUAN TRIUMPHANT Anyone who saw the Sandy Lane would say the selection had no chance of reversing the form with the winner, Quiet Reflection. However there are some mitigating circumstances. #FantasticMrFahey had made no secret of the fact that he had been disappointed with Donjuan Triumphant over the winter and the horse was only just starting to blossom a fortnight prior to Haydock and he was pleasantly surprised with the horse’s excellent second. Donjuan Triumphant will not just go on the ground but fair relish it. Ascot takes a bit more getting than Haydock which will help and Donjuan Triumphant is 3lb better off here albeit for 3¾L. Then there is the ‘X’ factor. I was quite surprised to see Silvester de Sousa in the saddle when both Spencer and Hanagan were available! Finally I think the price is a bit better than right.
Two star** win @ 6/1 with PP.
Ascot 5.00 FELIX MENDELSSOHN I am having a bit of a love-in with young Mr Spencer at the moment and I think this ex Aiden O@Brien, lightly raced 4yo could easily outrun its odds. A son of Galileo he has run well on soft ground before and also been a good third at Ascot. The Spencer/Simcock combo over the last 14 days reads 31118110, that’s hot!
One star* each way @ 33/1 with Betfred.