#startracking Saturday July 30th 11.45am

A busy Saturday and loads to consider and at last a few at Glorious Goodwood to get stuck into! Mind you I’m going to put up a few on The Downs from high draws (If they’re good enough the draw won’t matter?) but my head says on four days of evidence you need a low draw not to mention a truck load of luck and a one eyed steward!!

#startracking Bets Summary

Goodwood 2.00         GAMESOME Became a bit of a cliff horse last season but new trainer Paul Midgely seems to have sweetened him up, he’s run well the last twice and has a winning chance here. My notebook says “The current owners paid £75K to get this classy 6F sprinter from the Olly Stevens yard. Came to my attention when desperately unlucky in last year’s Stewards Cup. Like the present owners I am optimistic Gamesome can land one of these big 6F sprints this summer. 6F is the trip and Good to Firm is ideal but what he does need is a clear run and a dollop of luck!” Gamesome is a two star** each way selection @ 12/1 general and five places are available.

Goodwood 2.35         MOVE UP Simple. This horse is a Group performer who just does enough. Travels, quickens, stays, professional. Three star*** NAP of the day @ 13/2 with WH.

Goodwood 3.45         HOLD TIGHT I put him up Ante Post over a fortnight ago, now nearly double the price but I’m getting a run! Here’s why Godolphin owned 4yo gelded son of Exceed and Excel. Just had six career starts, he won on debut over 7F at Leicester on Soft ground last October, went straight into a C2 7F handicap on the sand at Lingfield off OR86 finishing second to Crazy Chic, returned to the leafy Surrey venue to win a C3 6F handicap in January. Next seen at Ascot in May for the 7F C2 Victoria Cup and the form book says he finished last of 26. However that doesn’t tell half the story. He was sent off just 8/1 third favourite suggesting he had being doing something at home, he was squeezed for room at the furlong pole and then heavily eased and such a competitive race may have come just a little too soon. His penultimate start was on the Tapeta at Newcastle in a C2 &F handicap when wearing a hood for the first time he kept on well to be second to Miss bossy Boots. Last time out he was sixth at Newmarket to Swift Approval in the C2 7F Silver Bunbury Cup beaten less than three lengths and hooded again sent off 11/4 favourite. With his current OR 97 he is number 36 on the International list and number 46 on the Stewards Cup list. He is 16/1 with Coral and Betfred ¼ 1,2,3,4 for the Stewards Cup at Goodwood and I will suggest a one star* each way Ante Post wager! I could see him at Goodwood most probably in the Stewards Consolation!”

Goodwood 3.45         GROWL I put him up Ante Post over a fortnight ago for the International at Ascot. Instead I waited for this and has Ryan Moore riding. He is a one star* each way selection @ 14/1 with WH + five places.

Here’s why Bought out of the Hannon yard at the end of last season. A useful 2yo, second in a G2, he had rather lost his way as a 3yo. One of four Fahey inmates to run in the C2 6F sprint at Ripon. Had a coming together with stablemate Eccleston out of the stalls which put them at the back of the main group and did well to weave a passage through. Of Fahey’s runners the newcomer to the yard, Growl (OR89), did best. He has some interesting 3yo form, 5L off Limato in a G3 at Ascot! Quicker ground, stiffer track and he could be a player. He won on debut at two but hasn’t won in ten runs since. A nice 0-90 C3 6F on quicker ground could restore confidence. He’s a hold up horse so hopefully Dr K. won’t take him to Chester!! He got his conditions at Leicester and won well, followed it up in good style at Windsor on ground I thought would be too soft for him and then when returned to the big time handicaps ran a cracking fourth in the C2 7F Bunbury Cup on Newmarkets July course on really quick ground. Now rated OR100 he could choose between the 7F International or the 6F Stewards Cup.”

RF to SL “It’s always been in the back of mind that Growl was just the type of horse for this race. I’m worried about his draw in 26 on the other side of the field – people tell me he can’t win from there – but if he hasn’t been beaten by that I think he has a big chance. He’s in great form.”

Goodwood 3.45         SPRING LOADED History tells us that the winner of the Stewards Cup will have run in the Wokingham, had one run since, be 4,5 or 6 years old, no headgear, Official Rating less than 105 and last run 7-22 days ago. Well Paul D’Arcys speedy grey son of Zebedee certainly fits that category and has another three plusses as well. Will relish the Good to Firm going, Frankie Dettori rides and he had been on my radar for the Wokingham but the ground went against him. One star* each way selection at 28/1 with WH, five places.

Goodwood 4.55         STAMP HILL This was top of my list of horses I wanted to back at Goodwood 2016. Could easily be going into this race seeking a hat trick! He runs these downland courses well, will go on the ground, 7F is ideal and I think he has been targeted at this race. What he needs is a hare to run at in the last 100 yards and he is bound to get that here. A really strong traveller and is a two star** each way selection @ 12/1 general although 4 places with Coral.        

RF to SL Stamp Hill is in great form going into the Qatar Stakes and he has been kept fresh for the race. Rain wouldn’t bother him and while he’s wider than ideal in nine – he must have a solid chance.

Newmarket 2.15        ABINGDON Is she running here en route to or instead of the Yorkshire Oaks. Classy filly who has stamina in abundance. Notebook “Ballymacoll Stud homebred filly by Street Cry out of a Galileo mare. Already guaranteed her place in the paddocks and simply could be anything. A filly with a future in middle distance + events, probably at Group level, the likes of the Yorkshire Oaks etc. She is a big girl who has stamina in spades outstaying a field of maidens over 10F at Ascot and then in a Listed race over the same trip at Newbury Abingdon put her size to good use and outstayed them aided by the jolly running a stinker. Both races were on Good to Firm and Soft ground could be an issue however frequent positive gallop reports suggest she works well and I’m happy to back this filly until she is beaten.” The 2/1 with Coral is way too big. Two star** win.

Doncaster 3.30           LAURENCE I thought he should/could have won at Yarmouth last time. In a pocket among horses, got out too late. Trip, ground fine and what is Atzeni doing at Doncaster? Like to see Laurence really finish a race off strongly. Two star** win @ 11/4 general.

#startracking AllTheOthers

RF to SL = #FantasticMrFahey Saturday words on sportinglife.com

Goodwood 2.00         GAMESOME Became a bit of a cliff horse last season but new trainer Paul Midgely seems to have sweetened him up, he’s run well the last twice and has a winning chance here. My notebook says “The current owners paid £75K to get this classy 6F sprinter from the Olly Stevens yard. Came to my attention when desperately unlucky in last year’s Stewards Cup. Like the present owners I am optimistic Gamesome can land one of these big 6F sprints this summer. 6F is the trip and Good to Firm is ideal but what he does need is a clear run and a dollop of luck!” Gamesome is a two star** each way selection @ 12/1 general and five places are available.

Goodwood 2.00         NUNO TRISTAN An in form horse with Jamie Spencer booked to ride. Just think a quick six will be too sharp for him. On my Ayr shortlist! Watching Brief.

RF to SL I’d love to see some rain to slow the race down for Nuno Tristan. He travelled and ran well in the International at Ascot last week and must have a chance again here.

Goodwood 2.00         EL VIENTO Goes well here but not shown anything for a while. Watching Brief.

RF to SL El Viento loves Goodwood – as do his owners – and they have a horse who turns up every year at the meeting. I’d be surprised if he could win a race as competitive as this as an eight-year-old but you’d never draw a line through him either

Goodwood 2.00         GRANDADS WORLD That piece of form where he split Magical Memory and Twilight Son at York is a distant memory although he ran a bit better last time I’ve given up on him! Watching Brief from behind the sofa!

RF to SL If Grandad’s World was back to his best he’d win this. There was a little glimmer he could be on the way back at Nottingham the last day and if he can build on that he’d be another with claims – although it’s very competitive and any one of 15 could win it.

Goodwood 2.00         BALLYMORE CASTLE Like Grandads World he has some excellent form on his record if you go far enough back but I I don’t think even Paul Hanagan can persuade him to put it all in. Retains the cheekpieces! Watching Brief from behind the sofa!

RF to SL Ballymore Castle who ran a bit better at Yarmouth last time. He looks to be on the way back. He’s a horse who I felt was badly handicapped right back since his two-year-old days but he’s back down to a mark where he can be competitive from and has a good draw.

Goodwood 2.35         MOVE UP Simple. This horse is a Group performer who just does enough. Travels, quickens, stays, professional. Three star*** NAP of the day @ 13/2 with WH.

Goodwood 2.35         SHABBAH I think the handicapper may now have him, already up 27lbs this season, probably wrong with Ryan Moore in the saddle! Watching Brief.

Goodwood 2.35         SHRAAOH Struggling to think of a reason why I’m not backing Shraaoh. Just think he lacks experience and maturity for these big field competitive handicaps. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 3.10         QUEENS TRUST Excellent chance to nick some valuable Black Type. Gets all the allowances and certainly improving. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 3.45         HOLD TIGHT I put him up Ante Post over a fortnight ago, now nearly double the price but I’m getting a run! Here’s why Godolphin owned 4yo gelded son of Exceed and Excel. Just had six career starts, he won on debut over 7F at Leicester on Soft ground last October, went straight into a C2 7F handicap on the sand at Lingfield off OR86 finishing second to Crazy Chic, returned to the leafy Surrey venue to win a C3 6F handicap in January. Next seen at Ascot in May for the 7F C2 Victoria Cup and the form book says he finished last of 26. However that doesn’t tell half the story. He was sent off just 8/1 third favourite suggesting he had being doing something at home, he was squeezed for room at the furlong pole and then heavily eased and such a competitive race may have come just a little too soon. His penultimate start was on the Tapeta at Newcastle in a C2 &F handicap when wearing a hood for the first time he kept on well to be second to Miss bossy Boots. Last time out he was sixth at Newmarket to Swift Approval in the C2 7F Silver Bunbury Cup beaten less than three lengths and hooded again sent off 11/4 favourite. With his current OR 97 he is number 36 on the International list and number 46 on the Stewards Cup list. He is 16/1 with Coral and Betfred ¼ 1,2,3,4 for the Stewards Cup at Goodwood and I will suggest a one star* each way Ante Post wager! I could see him at Goodwood most probably in the Stewards Consolation!”

Goodwood 3.45         GROWL I put him up Ante Post over a fortnight ago for the International at Ascot. Instead I waited for this and has Ryan Moore riding. He is a one star* each way selection @ 14/1 with WH + five places.

Here’s why Bought out of the Hannon yard at the end of last season. A useful 2yo, second in a G2, he had rather lost his way as a 3yo. One of four Fahey inmates to run in the C2 6F sprint at Ripon. Had a coming together with stablemate Eccleston out of the stalls which put them at the back of the main group and did well to weave a passage through. Of Fahey’s runners the newcomer to the yard, Growl (OR89), did best. He has some interesting 3yo form, 5L off Limato in a G3 at Ascot! Quicker ground, stiffer track and he could be a player. He won on debut at two but hasn’t won in ten runs since. A nice 0-90 C3 6F on quicker ground could restore confidence. He’s a hold up horse so hopefully Dr K. won’t take him to Chester!! He got his conditions at Leicester and won well, followed it up in good style at Windsor on ground I thought would be too soft for him and then when returned to the big time handicaps ran a cracking fourth in the C2 7F Bunbury Cup on Newmarkets July course on really quick ground. Now rated OR100 he could choose between the 7F International or the 6F Stewards Cup.”

RF to SL “It’s always been in the back of mind that Growl was just the type of horse for this race. I’m worried about his draw in 26 on the other side of the field – people tell me he can’t win from there – but if he hasn’t been beaten by that I think he has a big chance. He’s in great form.”

Goodwood 3.45         SPRING LOADED History tells us that the winner of the Stewards Cup will have run in the Wokingham, had one run since, be 4,5 or 6 years old, no headgear, Official Rating less than 105 and last run 7-22 days ago. Well Paul D’Arcys speedy grey son of Zebedee certainly fits that category and has another three plusses as well. Will relish the Good to Firm going, Frankie Dettori rides and he had been on my radar for the Wokingham but the ground went against him. One star* each way selection at 28/1 with WH, five places.

Goodwood 3.45         ALBEN STAR Been placed in this before but now an 8yo and probably at his best on the AW. Watching Brief.

RF to SL Alben Star has been given a break to get ready with this and we’re very happy with him. He’s finished third in the race before off a higher mark so is entitled to run well but I just wonder whether stall one is the place to be.

Goodwood 3.45         WITHERNSEA Still convinced he needs cut in the ground to be at his best. Shortlisted for Ayr. Spencer riding is a plus but still a Watching Brief.

RF to SL I’d love some rain for Withernsea who’s another who ran well in the International at Ascot last week. I just fear he may need slower ground to be fully effective over six furlongs here but we’ll see.

Goodwood 4.20         LOCKHEED Second to the impressive Seven Heavens at Ascot in the strongest 2yo maiden I’ve seen so far this season. No Frankel offspring this time! Sadly odds on. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 4.20         ABIENTO Owners having a day out? Surely not good enough. Watching Brief.

RF to SL The draw gods haven’t been kind to Abiento who is out in 12 for the Qatar EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes. I’d be surprised if he could win from out there and he’ll need to catch all the lucky breaks in what looks a warm race.

Goodwood 4.55         STAMP HILL This was top of my list of horses I wanted to back at Goodwood 2016. Could easily be going into this race seeking a hat trick! He runs these downland courses well, will go on the ground, 7F is ideal and I think he has been targeted at this race. What he needs is a hare to run at in the last 100 yards and he is bound to get that here. A really strong traveller and is a two star** each way selection @ 12/1 general although 4 places with Coral.        

RF to SL Stamp Hill is in great form going into the Qatar Stakes and he has been kept fresh for the race. Rain wouldn’t bother him and while he’s wider than ideal in nine – he must have a solid chance.

Goodwood 4.55         ESTIDRAAK Inexperienced. Two runs on the sand then backed and unsighted on turf debut. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 4.55         VENTUROUS No surprise if he won stepping up a furlong. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 4.55         MONTEVERDI Had this horse on the radar since the Craven meeting. Think I would prefer a stiff 6F to an easy 7F. Watching Brief.

Newmarket 2.15        ABINGDON Is she running here en route to or instead of the Yorkshire Oaks. Classy filly who has stamina in abundance. The 2/1 with Coral is way too big. Two star** win.

Newmarket 2.15        FIREGLOW Tries 12F for the first time. Disappointing last few runs but this is about her level and the yard of Mark Johnston is flying. Watching Brief.

Newmarket 2.50        CLEF Tiny but gutsy, out of her depth here. Watching Brief.

RF to SL Clef isn’t the biggest filly in the world but my word she’s tough and genuine. I think it was a good nursery she won at Doncaster last time and she looks to follow up in the British EBF Fillies’ Nursery at Newmarket. It’s a very open race and she needs to raise her game again but her willing attitude will always stand her in good stead.

Newmarket 3.25        BLUSHING ROSE Debut for Lady Rothschild homebred 2yo filly by Dalakhani. Watching Brief.

Newmarket 4.00        JUSTICE SMART Tough handicapping debut off OR84 after a Bath maiden win. Watching Brief.

Doncaster 1.45           SHOWBIZZY Watching Brief.

RF to SL Showbizzy been a very disappointing filly. We’ve stuck a visor on her here and will drop her in this time because she should be winning races like this. She pulled herself up in front so quickly last time that Tony Hamilton thought she’d gone wrong – but she was perfectly fine afterwards. She’s handicapped to be winning and we hope the headgear and change in tactics will help her get back on track.

Doncaster 2.20           RIGHT ACTION Watching Brief.

RF to SL Right Action is a horse like. We couldn’t believe how badly he ran on debut at Carlisle but he was back on track when runner-up at Pontefract next time. He looks the one to beat in the Unison Supporting Your Community Maiden Auction Stakes.

Doncaster 3.30           LAURENCE I thought he should/could have won at Yarmouth last time. In a pocket among horses, got out too late. Trip, ground fine and what is Atzeni doing at Doncaster? Like to see Laurence really finish a race off strongly. Two star** win @ 11/4 general.

Doncaster 4.40           BURNT SUGAR Sold to Middleham Park, stays in the yard and runs at Doncaster in a C3 conditions race when two bigger handicap pots available at Goodwood! Watching Brief.

Notebook “On the evidence of this run Burnt Sugar just has to win a big pot C2 6F handicap in the next twelve months!! Another ridden by Australian James Macdonald again having to overcome a rotten draw in 27. Last after a furlong, as the field migrated towards the centre and far side it was Burnt Sugar who made his challenge alone nearest to the stands. He really quickened approaching the furlong pole but the race was gone and he hung a little right and behind close home. Burnt Sugar hasn’t won since his two year old days and both wins were on the All Weather but there are two C2 6F handicaps coming up at Newmarket, Friday July 8th and Saturday August 13th, in which he was 5th and 2nd last year and with a bit of luck and a clear run has to be an each way shot in both in 2016. The Handicapper has dropped him a pound for that Wokingham run to OR105 and if trainer Richard Hannon put up his star claimer Tom Marquand he could take another three pounds off and would be very back-able!”

Doncaster 5.15           FULL OF PROMISE Watching Brief.

RF to SL We stepped Full Of Promise up to seven furlongs at Ayr last time where she just didn’t seem to handle the track. She’s back over six in the Unison And UIA Mutual Home Insurance Fillies’ Handicap and is another who would benefit from some rain.

Thirsk 1.50                  SNOOKERED Watching Brief.

RF to SL It doesn’t look as though Snookered is good enough to win a maiden and we’ll be going down the handicap route with him after the British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes. We’re happy with him at home.

Thirsk 2.25                  CARSON CITY Watching Brief.

RF to SL Carson City showed loads of speed at Ayr two starts ago but then wasn’t quick enough for the Super Sprint at Newbury last time. The Tyerman Family Celebration Nursery is where he wants to be and he’d have a small chance.

Thirsk 5.20                  GIN IN THE INN Wanted to back this horse but 6F at Thirsk on Good to Soft even off just OR74 aren’t ideal conditions. Watching Brief.

RF to SL Gin In The Inn has been a very disappointing horse. He works exceptionally well at home but continues to disappoint on the track. Just when I thought he was coming to win at Haydock last time he dropped away quickly. We’ve scoped him since and everything was fine so we’ll try again in the totepool Live Info Download The App Handicap. We’ll drop him in here and see if we can get him back on track because this is a horse who is handicapped to win races if we can get his confidence back.

Hamilton 5.40            GOOD TIME AHEAD   Watching Brief.

RF to SL Good Time Ahead is another who wasn’t fast enough for the Super Sprint but up to six furlongs in the Highland Spring Water Nursery he’ll definitely have a chance.

Hamilton 6.45            NORMANDIE LADY Watching Brief.

RF to SL The handicapper didn’t take any chances with Normandie Lady after she won what I thought was a terrible race three starts ago. She’s down four pounds to 73 now and a mile on soft ground in the Caesar’s Entertainment Handicap is exactly where she wants to be.

Hamilton 7.15            L’APOGEE Watching Brief.

RF to SL L’Apogee may have had loads of runs but the penny still hasn’t dropped with him. He’s handicapped to win a race like the Gas Call Services Handicap and we hope cheek pieces are going to help him but he just needs to get his mind around the game. He’s a grand horse but at the moment he doesn’t think he’s a racehorse.

Hamilton 7.45            ROYAL CONNOISSEUR Watching Brief.

RF to SL Royal Connoisseur loves this place and while it would take a lifetime best to win the Alea Casino Handicap, we are claiming seven pounds off with Hayley Irvine and that should help.

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#startracking Friday 29th July 12 noon

I thought yesterday was about to be a huge Celebration with fifty yards to go but he hung on for fourth and we had a minor celebration and the day was paid for! As for Fidaawy I am at a loss for words! Fell out of the stalls, didn’t want to settle and then never put into race. Still convinced this is a talented creature but needs a quicker pace to run at and can’t get that with his present handicap mark so does he go straight to Group company or the alternative opinion could be that he is an in bred, pampered screw!!

Today is yet again a really difficult day to find a bet! However when the bookies are going 7/4 the favourite in a 19 runner handicap over a mile at Goodwood you just have to take him on!

Goodwood 2.00 Mount Logan and Kings Fete have both done us favours but this is a trappy seven runner race and I see no value.

Goodwood 2.35 Cymric, Emotionless, Forge and Thikriyaat are all in the tracker so it’s all or nothing and I’ve chosen nothing! If you twisted my arm I would probably have to go for Forge, maybe. Watching Brief.

Goodwood 3.10 OK, Franklin D is drawn 1, Ryan Moore rides, the handicapper says he’s 10lbs well in, won well last time and from an in form yard BUT at 7/4 just has to be taken on! Those with long term memories and readers of 57SimpleSimonSays… may recall I had Room Key on the radar after he finished third to Highland Reel at this meeting as a 2yo in 2014. Last summer here he ran in the G3 Thoroughbred Stakes that saw his Official Rating rise to a peak of OR103. Here he just sneaks into the BetFred Mile handicap as second reserve off just OR90 and Joe Fanning takes the ride. Drawn in stall 2 gives him a chance of a more prominent position than usual.

Two choices, either take 40/1 with Ladbrokes and five places or 50/1 elsewhere for four places, either way he is a one star* each way selection.

The King George 5F sprint, the Nursery and the 7F fillies G3 hold no interest as a punting medium.

Goodwood 5.30 This 3yo 11F handicap should be right up my street but the only runner of any interest is Poets Word, #SuperStoute’s topweight with Ryan Moore in the saddle. Racing Post probably right in saying “Only fourth when well backed latest, but earlier maiden win has worked out really well”. Last race was at Epsom, a course which doesn’t suit everyone, on ground probably softer than ideal. My notes suggest that Good to Firm is ideal as is the extra furlong, he is on an OR88 in a 0-90 handicap and his draw in stall 3 is fine. However I can see no value in a top priced 9/4 on the High Street. Too many improvers such as Al Neksh, Combative and Indulged! Watching Brief.

 

#FantasticMrFahey runs four at Goodwood and just one at Thirsk, very quiet for a Friday, and with three at Goodwood drawn in double figures, Scofflaw with Jamie Spencer aboard in the 6F nursery would be the only possibility but Mark Johnston has three runners which doesn’t leave much room in the winners enclosure!

#startracking Thursday 28th July 12 noon

Yangtze squeezed home last night and remains a work in progress (Melrose @ Ebor meeting?), War Story was awful and Twin Sails did everything but win! Still got out with our noses in front!

Again struggling to find a good bet on the Downs but I think #SuperStoute has a solid shortie at Nottingham.

Goodwood 2.00         STARGAZER Not seen since 22nd April when he showed a smart turn of foot to win a C3 10F Sandown handicap. Had some decent horses behind him that day but has gone up 9lbs for his efforts. Want to back him but that break, a rise in his mark, drawn 16 out of 17, quicker ground all put me off. Ryan Moore rides which is always a plus but he has a Piggott-esque habit that if he thinks the horse has too much against him he will look after him for another day, I think Convey in the Hunt Cup. This could be expensive as he thunders late down the outside  but he’s a Watching Brief.

Goodwood 2.00         So what can we take Stargazer on with? Three of these met at Newmarket three weeks ago when Ode to Evening came out on top and he could continue to improve but he didn’t win from the front as many of Mark Johnston’s do and he didn’t look that straightforward, Luca Cumani’s Banksea was 5th , had every chance and the handicapper may have him. The third horse was DWIGHT D who ran on late having been given what many would see as a typical Jamie Spencer ride, held up never quite got there! Thought good enough to start the season in the G3 Sandown Derby trial and the G3 Chester Vase, I am a big enough fan of Spencer to suggest the ground, the draw (4 of 17), his handicap mark are all in the horses favour and Dwight D will be another winner for the red hot William Haggas. Two star** each way selection @ 13/2 with WH and especially SkyBet who will give you your win stake back if Dwight D is second or third! Top company.

Rest of Goodwood Thursday Small turnout of just 5 for the G2 Richmond, the 14F fillies G3 has awkward written all over it, the fillies maiden holds no punting interest and I’m going out on a limb and going to suggest backing #FantasticMrFahey each way in the last two albeit for small stakes.

Goodwood 4.55         LADY IN QUESTION Won on debut at Thirsk over 6F finishing strongly and then midfield in the Super Sprint dropping back to 5F. This 7F is much more suitable and races here off OR 78 is drawn 2 and if Jack Garritty  can find a seam in the straight she could be a player. The 5th and 6th in her maiden have both won since and are currently rated OR 85 & OR 89 which gives hope. #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.comLady In Question last ran in the Weatherbys Super Sprint and we’re stepping her up in trip to seven furlongs for the Telegraph Nursery. I think it will suit her, she’s a filly we like and she’d definitely have a chance. She’s well drawn in two but will need luck in running.” Too late for the 14’s but still a value one star* each way selection @ 10/1 general.

Goodwood 5.30         CELEBRATION When I first glanced at this race I was all over Lathom after his last run at York but I’ve missed the 12’s and the 6’s on offer now is no value. Lathom hasn’t won since his surprise 28/1 Super Sprint victory last summer, has transferred from Fahey to O’Meara but has slipped down the weights but is he a winner for a trainer who has had just 25 winners from 270+ runners in the last two months at less than 10% from his new yard? However just two lengths behind Lathom at York was Celebration and he was drawn too high to win, didn’t have the smoothest passage and is a point and go sprinter to whom all grounds come alike and is grossly overpriced. One star* each way selection @ 40/1 with Ladbrokes ¼ 1,2,3,4!!

#FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com We’ve two in the closing Tatler Stakes. The owner was very keen to run Celebration and I can see why as he’s capable of going well if things go right for him.”

The yard run two here and Paddy Power looked like he was coming to hand a couple of runs ago only to disappoint again. NotWithMyMoney!! #FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.comPaddy Power is a very frustrating horse. I said at the weekend he works like a machine at home but just isn’t transferring it to the track. He travelled very well to two out at Newmarket but didn’t pick up as anticipated. We’ll try again here as he took the race well and the owners are down at the meeting.”

Nottingham 4.35       FIDAAWY I am absolutely convinced this is a Group horse in the making. #SuperStoute hasn’t rushed him but he looked ready to go to work at Carlisle when he settled and won readily. Having been gelded could be the making of him. I have no concerns with the trip, the ground, the opposition, the grade and he is a four star**** nap @ 13/8 with Betfred. Come on Uncle Ted!!

#startracking Wednesday July 27th EXTRA 1.30pm

Esher is the place to be tonight where we are hoping for two winners. Mind you the Leicester 7.50 is quite exciting as #FantasticMrFahey gives a debut to Cheveley Park home bred Frankel colt, Senator, and if he has anywhere the talent of the yards Queen Kindly he should be alright. Market moves will be interesting.

Sandown 7.00            ELUCIDATION Niarchos Family homebred by Oasis Dream drawn in the Car Park on debut! Watching Brief.

Sandown 7.35            SKY SHIP #SuperStoute trains this son of Ravens Pass for Lady Rothschild. Won his C5 maiden at Wolverhampton but looks a little high in the handicap for what he has achieved so far OR 81, even if his 5th to Manson over C&D just behind Defrocked is useful. Probably needs to strengthen up and seems to be screaming out for 10F. Watching Brief.

Sandown 7.35            WAR STORY Really needs to nail this 0-90 8F C3 handicap. Two star** win selection @ 5/1 with BetFred and WH. Here’s why.

Notebook says “Came to my attention when giving a hiding to a #SuperStoute filly, Aristocratic, I fancied at Chelmsford. OR85 could seriously underestimate his talent. Ears prick up when Cumani is asking about a handicap mark! Luca Cumani Website 26th April “We have liked War Story for a while and it will be interesting to see what handicap mark he is given.”

OR85 First run on turf at Newmarket over 8F on Good to Firm ground over a mile C3 saw him lead in The Dip but not get home. 6th 4/1 OR85 Next time out same grade at Sandown over a furlong shorter, despite showing signs of greenness, he finished strongly and was beaten just a head and half a length and goes up a pound . OR85 86 Next run back at Sandown and he couldn’t quite peg back inspired 16/1 front runner Bobby Wheeler. Up another three pounds OR 86 89 His astute trainer will place him shrewdly and this could win a big race at nice price before the season ends.” Currently friendless in the market!

Sandown 8.40            YANGTZE Surely has his ideal conditions here 14F 3yo C4 handicap off OR 76 with first time cheekpieces. Surely Andrea Atzeni’s booking is a positive. Lack of obvious pace is worrying but still a three star** win selection @ 5/4 general.

Notes – In that ridiculous maiden at Leicester when Ulysses was second to Imperial Aviator with Ulysses second and UAE Prince back in third Stoutes other pair Yangtze and Autocratic both kept on well without ever being competitive in 4th and 5th. Yangtze made his handicap debut OR71 over 10F in a C3 event won by Primitivo, who went on to win the Duke of Edingburgh at Royal Ascot. Yangtze travelled well, outpaced 3F out but kept on strongly in the final furlong for 3rd. Put up 2lbs to OR73 and prior to his next run in the C3 12½F Edingburgh Cup at Musselburgh I blogged Ran on in eye-catching fashion in his last run. Well weighted, obvious improver and #SuperStoute sends one horse to Scotland, well drawn in 3, Stevie Donohoe rides.” Again he ran on late having dwelt at the start and was out of his ground when the race took shape. Put up another pound to OR74. A 12F+ C3+ handicap is his for the taking if ridden more prominently or piloted by the unequalled Ryan Moore!

Right, time to study the BetFred Mile on Friday!

#startracking Wednesday July 27th 12.30pm

I must start with giving credit where credit is due. Great ride Tony Hamilton. At Beverley yesterday he bossed a race on Dawn Mirage and got a deserved win. Set pace, stacked them up, quickened when HE wanted to, job done! More of the same please Mr Hamilton.

Whilst on the subject of jockeys if you haven’t seen Ruby Walsh getting Penhill up in the first at Galway yesterday you need to. Matched at 1000 for £14 at Betfair (not by me!) that’s how good it is! Horse didn’t jump a flight.

At Goodwood today a possibility of a bit of rain morning/afternoon but doesn’t look enough to worsen the ground from Good (unless they get a heavy thunderstorm on watered ground) indeed it may just freshen it all up.

 

Struggling to find a bet in Sussex today. My two main bets today are at Sandown tonight. I will post this now and get the Sandown/Galway/Ante Post bit up ASAP!

 

#startrackingGoodwood Wednesday

2.00 2m5F Handicap Readers of this blog over Royal Ascot will know I am no fan of these extreme Flat races that just give the National Hunt crowd a day out in the summer. Two mildly interest me.

The Cashel Man Ideal race for young Jamie Spencer who can switch horses off with the best! He could have ridden the top weight No Heretic on whom he won the Chester Cup for the Hays but he rides this one instead. Like many in the race he steps up 5f in trip.

Iftiraaq Love this trainer, Seamus Durack, who just needs a couple of Saturday horses to show how good he really is. He’s booked Atzeni, Iftiraaq is at the right end of the handicap and will go on the ground.

3.35 G3 12F 3yo Gordon Stakes

Platitude #SuperStoute saddles this Juddmonte colt who was second in the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot from an impossible draw then same position in the G3 Bahrain Trophy at Newmarket. Watching Brief.

Ullysses My Derby selection with plenty of questions to answer, the main one being “Does he stay?” #SuperStoute watchers suggest he’s back to his best on the gallops. Watching Brief.

3.10 G1 8F Sussex Stakes This looks a cracker but will surely only involve the 3yo’s at the business end, won’t it?

Richard Pankhurst Won the 2015 Chesham at Royal Ascot and was a leading Classic fancy. Struggled with injuries since. I thought his last run was fine showing a bit of the old “whoosh” from the two furlong pole. Lightly raced classy colt who needs fast ground and why has Gosden got him in a G1? Price is way too big! He is an optimistic one star* each way selection at 50/1 with Coral.

3.45 G3 5F 2yo Molecomb Stakes No idea. Real lottery.

4.20 6F C2 Fillies Maiden 19 maiden fillies and much as I expect Bouquet de Flores to win could never suggest backing her at 5/4!

4.55 10F C2 Fillies Handicap

Intimation Just the type #SuperStoute excels with, improving 4yo filly, Ryan Moore rides but does she need some cut in the ground. Watching Brief.

5.25 7F C3 Handicap

Nothing leaps off the page to oppose this 2/1 favourite, Afjaan (Qatar Racing!), although after the Sales race at Newmarket last October I made a Notebook entry saying I thought Twin Sails had Group potential after an ill-judged ride from Robert Winston. The horse has his own ideas but is drawn three, has blinkers on and Dane O’Neill knows his way around Goodwood. One star* each way selection @ 8/1 general.

 

#startrackingDiscuss!

Concerning Mark Johnston, Tony Calvin wrote on Betfair “I got in a strop and vowed never to tip and back another Mark Johnston handicapper again, for the foreseeable future at least, on the grounds that it appeared a virtual toin-coss whether they either won or were tailed off. His method of training his horses on the racecourse, and keeping them on the go-go-go come rain or shine, obviously works for him but it certainly doesn’t help punters with trying to decipher when they are ready to oblige. Put it simply, I find the yard’s handicappers incredibly hard to call, and I am not alone.”

Hugo Palmer put on his BetFair blog “…normal comments apply with my un-raced 2yos. We ride them to finish off the race and improve for the experience, and we don’t over-face them at home where they do their work on the bridle.”

 

Article courtesy of Racing post website for #startrackers. All four races worth watching again.

“Four two-year-olds it could pay to follow BY DAVID BAXTER11:06AM 27 JUL 2016 

THE summer festivals come thick and fast now, and we are in the middle of Goodwood. On day one there was an obvious eyecatcher with Rich And Famous for the Mark Johnston team, and he should be winning soon. Earlier in the week, Tschierschen also ran promisingly on debut at Windsor, and is another who will be fancied to go one better next time. Those who kept the faith with Melesina were finally rewarded at Beverley this week, while I still believe there is more to come from Marie Of Lyon, who was not disgraced a Ascot in the Princess Margaret last weekend.

Previous selections from this column, Golden Easter and Helmsdale, are in action at Nottingham and Goodwood respectively on Thursday. Hopefully one or both will oblige.

Parfait, Nottingham, July 15, 3rd Having been restless in the stalls, he then raced greenly for much of the contest before getting the hang of things towards the end. To only be beaten three parts of a length by two with previous experience was a decent effort and the front three were nicely clear. He should be winning soon.

Ripper Street, Chelmsford, July 19, 5th Having made a satisfactory debut at Yarmouth, this colt again showed promise and will be of interest over further. Having been slowly away, the son of Big Bad Bob was never able to get really competitive, but did stay on steadily up the straight. When presented with 7f plus, he should be seen in a better light and is one to keep an eye for his next couple of starts. Runs at Newmarket on Friday.

Yarmouk, Doncaster, July 21, 7th Not too much went right for this colt on debut, and his effort can be upgraded. Having travelled off the pace he was bought to challenge but looked very green and unsure of what was required. He was then badly hampered, which ruined any chance of him getting involved. With that experience under his belt he should be a different proposition when next seen.

First Quest, Newmarket, July 23, 6th Like Ripper Street, this colt is trained by Ed Dunlop, and looked very well before making his debut. While never dangerous, he gave the impression he has a future. His pedigree suggests that he will perhaps need a bit further to make an impact, but he was not beaten far and did show up to challenge at the bottom of the dip but did not really quicken. He should be able to build on this effort.”

#startracking Monday July 25th 4.30pm

#startrackingGoodwoodTuesday

Going Update – Straight Good. Round course Good to Firm, Good in Places

(GoingStick: 8.2 on Saturday at 11:00)

Rails: The running rail from the 6 furlong marker on the lower bend to the Winning Post has been dolled out 6 yards, increasing distances by 12 yards. The top bend has been dolled 3 yards increasing Race distances by 8 yards.

Stalls: Straight course Stand side. Round course inside. Watering: Watering to maintain

WEATHER Light showers late yesterday afternoon dry overnight and this morning. Dry forecast up to Wednesday but maybe a shower or two Wednesday evening. Going/Weather  last updated @Mon 25 Jul 7:14am

 

Don’t forget this is Goodwood and James Pyman revealed last season “Goodwood 2015  % of horses suffering interference. Nassau 67% Thoroughbred Stakes 60% Molecomb 51% Stewards Consolation 41%”. Expect the worst and hope for the best!

2.00 C2 10F Handicap

Mount Logan winning this race last season set this blogger up for a successful Glorious 2015 Festival but this year’s edition looks tough! The Wolferton Handicap form from Royal Ascot is strong and there are two or three improvers further down the weights.

Top five in the weights, Revolutionist, Second Wave, Best of Times, Fire Fighting and Noble Gift were 2nd, 3rd, 6th, 7th and 8th in the Wolferton Handicap at Royal Ascot behind Sir Isaac Newton. The winner has since won a G3 at the Curragh and finished 4th in Saturdays G1 King George whilst the fifth, Educate, won the John Smiths Handicap at York! Nothing wrong with that form then! So are there any improvers lower down the handicap?

MUTAMAKKIN           (Sir Michael Stoute)        8st 13lb OR96 This gelding had been as low as 14/1 for Fridays big pot Betfred Mile but turns up here in this 10F contest for a fifth of the money. Drawn 1 and Hanagan on board are worrying. If he bounces out I just don’t think this horse will settle and therefore not stay, if Hanagan does take a pull he will need to somehow get a run in the home straight.

Notebook says “$875K son of War Front has been gelded. Here’s what I put in my Craven review “However the real eye-catcher was that man Stoute’s Mutamakkin. He had been off the course for almost a year and has been gelded but was totally outpaced for five furlongs then flew home from the Dip onwards without having much thrown at him. Currently OR92 he is my first name on Ascot Hunt Cup “possibles” list.” That was sixteen days ago and the handicapper has left him on the same mark. I can’t see the extra furlong as being anything but a bonus and you can’t fault the form of Sir Michael Stoute or Paul Hanagan. 8th  9/2JF Travelled found nothing. Proverbial “bounce”? Better ground? Stiff mile? Turned up at Sandown off OR91 in a C2 8F handicap on Good to Firm with Ryan Moore in the saddle. Hamdam-al-Maktoum likes his horses ridden prominently. Moore had this one stone cold last all the way to the 2F pole and then powered home, in the end just winning but with a bit in hand! Has been put up five pounds but if switched off and ridden with balls Mutamakkin can go places. OR96

Readers of my blog #startrackingThursdayJune30th will know I am a keen fan of Mutamakkin who I believe will progress to Group company. However I think he needs to be put to sleep out the back and be brought with a strong late run but I’m not sure Paul Hanagan will ride him like that? Missing the break, like he did at Newmarket, could be a bonus! I’ll put his second run down to the infamous “bounce”, as he had been off for eleven months prior to his seasonal debut, but he really bounced back over the course and distance last time!”

No idea what Paul Hanagan was doing last time out. Horse was keen and didn’t settle, ridden prominently 5th/6th, and then bought to the stands side, the jumps run in, and promptly sunk like a stone through the field!

ERIC THE RED             (Kevin Ryan) 9st OR97 Ryan Moore’s booking attracts interest but drawn 14 of 18 won’t help, the horse is probably better with cut in the ground, won off OR85 but beaten off marks in the nineties.

SHAKOPEE                        (Luca Cumani) 8st 9lbs OR92 The mount of Jamie Spencer for a trainer who not so long back was the man for staying summer handicaps. Cumani put on his website “Kangyu International Racing’s Shakopee was our other winner when he landed a handicap over the extended mile and a quarter at Doncaster last Thursday. Ridden by Jamie Spencer for the first time, what we particularly liked about his performance was the way he quickened to lead approaching the two furlong pole and was able to do so because he settled much better than on his previous two starts this season. We are contemplating running Shakopee at Glorious Goodwood next week and, while it will obviously be a different kettle of fish for him there on a very different track against a most likely bigger field, we hope there is more to come from him now he is back in the winning groove and the prize money on offer is also very attractive.” Lightly raced but a big step up in grade. Drawn 3 he could have the same traffic issues as Mutamakkin.

Conclusion – I think the winner most likely took part in the Wolferton. Mark Johnston has winners at this Festival but is often mob handed in the handicaps and indeed has four here and I’m torn between two of them. Fire Fighting has finished third in both of his previous visits to Goodwood including this race twelve months ago and he is only two pounds higher than his last winning Turf mark however drawn 14 doesn’t help. Late progress wide for a place perhaps. So it has to be Frannie Norton’s mount and recent Newbury winner Storm the Stars. Drawn 6, get out and make every yard? In form, goes on the ground, touch of class, scope for improvement, out of trouble. The horse was with Johnston then went hurdling with limited success with David Pipe but is now back with Johnston. Ran in the G3 Chester Vase as a 3yo and the Triumph Hurdle as a 4yo but I have to warn regular readers he is owned by Roger Brookhouse/Poorhouse!! One star* each way @ 14/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4 with PP.

2.35 G2 7F 2yo Vintage Stakes

Some likeable juvenile sorts compete for this valuable prize. I think Isomer is over-priced considering his form. Second to Cunco on debut and then only beaten by Churchill in the Listed 7F Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot and then hacked up at Salisbury despite his saddle slipping. Jamie Spencer rides for Fitri Hay and Andrew Balding.

One star* each way @ 10/1.

3.10 G2 7F Lennox Stakes

Racing UK spoke to Hugo Palmer and then blogged “Hugo Palmer feels both Home Of The Brave and Gifted Master are capable of making their presence felt in the Qatar Lennox Stakes at Goodwood on Tuesday. Home Of The Brave heads into the Group Two contest on a hat-trick following victories at Leicester and Haydock earlier in the campaign and is one of three runners for Godolphin, with the Charlie Hills-trained Dutch Connection and Birchwood from Richard Fahey’s yard also in contention. Gifted Master, who has won six of his 10 starts, is on a retrieval mission after failing to fire in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Palmer said: “They’ll both like the ground and I’ve been happy with both of them in their work. It’s a shame they have to run against each other really. Home Of The Brave is in great form and seven furlongs is his ideal trip, as it is for Gifted Master. We just felt the ground at Ascot was too soft for him (Gifted Master), so hopefully he can bounce back. There’s not a lot between them.” Well this correspondent is a massive Home of the Brave fan, he more and more reminds me of Rock of Gibraltar, and as he owes us nothing he is a two star** win selection @ 9/4 general.

3.45 C2 14F Handicap

I am not sure how many of the fancied runners will enjoy this firmer ground. Fourteen go to post and Mark Johnston sends just the one from Middleham and I think it has every chance. Notarised is only two pounds higher than his last winning mark, will go on the ground and will be ridden prominently by Joe Fanning, ran in this race last year and is a one star* each way selection @ 10/1 general.

4.20 C2 5F Handicap 86-105

Time to put the kettle on. I just can’t make money on these 5F older horse dashes. Three for the placepot, Thesme for Dettori, Shore Step for Channon/SDS and at a bigger price Red Baron, a rare visitor for Eric Alston (one from one in last five seasons).

4.55 C2 6F 2yo Maiden

No idea. How about the Richard Hannon pair of debutantes, Swag and Tesko Fella.

5.30 C3 8F Fillies Handicap 76-95

The five older fillies look susceptible to a 3yo improver. The three for the short list are Quebee from the in-form yard of Clive Cox but has already gone up 12lb and tries C3 for the first time, probable favourite Pure Art for filly specialist Ralph Beckett but I will go for an improving filly Shwaimsa, partly on form but mainly conspiracy theory that trainer Richard Hannon will have this horse spot on and set up for owners Al Shaqab Racing who happen to sponsor this five day festival! Two star** win @ 9/1 with Coral.

 

#startracking Monday July 25th 1pm

Mustashry repaid our faith in spades and I thought won a little cosily. #FantasticMrFahey was anything but and is making a bee line for the Cold List! #SuperStoute continues to bang in the winners with Playful Sound on Saturday entering the “couldbeanything” category and Convey on Sunday was a steering job as Ryan Moore went to Pontefract for one ride.

Busy week ahead with Galway and Goodwood and plenty to review from Friday and Saturday but let’s begin with the four #FantasticMrFahey has at Ayr today. Tuesdays card at Goodwood to follow and a quick glance at a very run of the mill card at Yarmouth has I have friends going!

#FantasticMrFahey

Going Update – Soft, Heavy in places (from Soft, Good to Soft in places)

Ayr 2.00          TEMERITY 170K guineas daughter of Zoffany bought by Cheveley Park. Solid fourth in a C5 6F maiden at Doncaster on Good to Soft ground and the form has been well franked since. Tony Hamilton rides, she steps up a furlong and takes on three previous winners. #FantasticMrFahey’s 2yo’s improving for a run and Temerity surely overpriced @ 9/1 general and worth a one star* win. Interesting rival in Midge Hall whom David Armstrong paid 20K euros for a son of sexy new Australian sire, Helmet. Now with Ann Duffield.

Ayr 2.30          FULL ON CLARETS Notes say “A C3/4, 6/7F gelded son of Equiano who is too consistent for his own good. Has won one from 16 and is 0 from 14 on Turf. His win was a C5 maiden on the sand at Lingfield and since being given a handicap mark of OR80 he has been as high as 85 and as low as 79 without winning! His last run was typical. In a 7 ½ F C3 handicap on the Tapeta at Newcastle he was prominent throughout, travelled well but was a one paced fourth finding little in the final furlong. Always tries, never wins! Has to go on the NWMM list. Currently OR79.” Dropped another two pounds to OR77 but has just won 1 in 18. Ground and trip shouldn’t be an issue but the attitude and ability of the horse definitely are! Watching Brief.

Ayr 4.10          GABRIALS STAR Worryingly in my notebook I have written more than once “Too often the bridesmaid.” However his mark has come down 9lbs in the last three months and he is now plying his trade in C4. This 13F event has some depth to it so it’s a Watching Brief.

Ayr 4.40          ENERGIA FLAVIO Just can’t have this horse even in the “Mascots Race”! Racing Post spot on “Dropped long way in weights but needs to raise game and both wins in Brazil in 2013.” Surely heading for a seller. Watching Brief.

#startracking EXTRA Saturday July 23rd 1pm

Nearly missed a horse!

Newmarket 3.10        SHARAAKAH Third in the Sandringham C2 8F at Royal Ascot to Persuasive with Diploma behind in 5th and filled the same position at Sandown in the 8F Coral Distaff Fillies Listed Race. Steps back a furlong here back in C2 handicap company on suitable quicker ground. Must be worth a one star* win @ 4/1 with WH.

Notebook says “Ed Dunlop Blog June 15thSharaakah ran very well on her seasonal debut in the Sandringham yesterday. She was unlucky not to finish second and I think she will improve on this run which is encouraging for the rest of the season.”

No surprise as after winning her maiden as a 2yo the trainer had enthused “Mon 20 July 2015 The horse might be different but the result remains the same. Twelve months on from Arethusa’s success in the fillies’ maiden auction at Newmarket last Saturday, Sharaakah kept the race in the yard when quickening past Puzzle Look to score by half a length. Fourth on debut at Lingfield having missed a beat at the start and run green throughout, Sharaakah left that form well behind in the hands of Joe Fanning. She travelled sweetly on the heels of the leaders before switching to the outside passing the furlong pole, and Joe only had to give her a solitary smack to readily land the spoils, with the front two pulling an encouraging four lengths clear of the remainder.”

#startracking

Two of my favourite horses of the past seven years run at Ascot today. They both used to be trained by #FantasticMrFahey. They have both on their day won me four figure sums. They are full brothers and the younger one was actually born on MY birthday! They are of course Majestic Myles and Majestic Moon.

That they are still Saturday horses aged six and eight speaks volumes for their class and durability. I wish them both the very best.

#startracking Saturday July 23rd 12.30pm

Diploma certainly graduated with flying colours. Let’s hope we can find a few more like her today and there are plenty to consider. We need to start off with the goings.

YORK – Good to Firm (watered)

NEWMARKET – Good to Firm Stalls stand side (low numbers favoured) (watered)

ASCOT – (watered)

Straight course – Good to Firm (stalls centre) but going stick suggests stand side is quicker, high numbers favoured.

Round course – Good to Firm (Good in places)

CHESTER – Good (Good to Soft in places)

SALISBURY – Good to Firm (Good in places) (watered)

 

Summary of todays #startracking bets

Ascot 2.10       Kocollada 20/1 ¼ 1,2,3 on offer with Coral and she is a one star* each way wager.

Ascot 3.20       Mustashry is a  two star** e/w selection @ 12/1 general

Ascot 3.20       El Hayem is a one star* win @ 12/1 with Ladbrokes/Betfred

Ascot 3.55       Mutawathea is a two star** e/w selection @ 12/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4,5 with Coral and Betfred.

Ascot 4.30       Dartmouth is a one star* win @ 4/1 general.

Ascot 5.00       Chiswick Bey is a one star* e/w @ 14/1 general ¼ 1,2,3,4.

York 3.00        Farlow is a one star* win @ 13/2

York 4.10        Ninjago is a one star* win @ 10/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4 with PP

Salisbury 8.20 Musdam is a two star** win @ 9/4.

 

#startrackingAscot3.55InternationalHandicap7FC2

The trends suggest you are looking for an in-form, 4 or 5 year old, run in the last 42 days, carrying 9st 1lb or less, has won over 7F and has big handicap experience. That brings in the likes of Librisa Breeze (although he steps down to 7F and is 8/1 Favourite,), Brazos (C&D winner, 7F specialist and currently below last winning mark and won 9 days ago to get in here), Suzi’s Connoisseur (just 1 win in 25 starts in last 2 years!), Nuno Tristan (Unexposed at 7F, yet to prove himself in C2 and ridden by Mr Marmite, Jamie Spencer) BUT none of those rock my boat with the exception of perhaps Brazos. I am just sticking to the best 7F handicap form so far in 2016 namely the Victoria Cup here at Ascot and the Bunbury Cup at Newmarket. Flash Fire and Mutawathea were in the first five in both and Heavens Guest beat the pair at Newmarket and chased home Jallota at York in another strong C2 handicap. I’ll pass on Flash Fire as the handicapper may now have him and he’s drawn 6 and I think the race will happen on the stands side. I’ll pass on Heavens Guest because I think he’s best with some cut in the ground and I’m not sure he’s improving as a 6yo. Mind you he’s bang in form, never gives less than 100%, love’s Ascot and MacNamara takes 7lbs off. I think it’s the turn of Mutawathea for an in-form Simon Crisford. I like his draw in 15 especially as he’s close to probable pacesetter Majestic Moon in stall 20 and I am also keen on the booking of stylish apprentice George Wood and the 7lbs he takes off. Mutawathea is a two star** e/w selection @ 12/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4,5 with Coral and Betfred.

#SuperStoute

Ascot 3.20                   EL HAYEM Hacked up on this ground in his maiden and was held by Sir Roderic on handicap debut at Sandown. More to come I’m sure and has to be supported. One star* win @ 12/1 with Ladbrokes/Betfred

Ascot 3.20                   MUSTASHRY Ground went against him at Royal Ascot in the Britannia and I am not going to desert him now back over C&D on quicker ground as I am convinced #SuperStoute thinks this horse is well handicapped. Two star** e/w selection @ 12/1 general.

Ascot 4.30                   DARTMOUTH I hang my head in shame regards this horse. He has done me so many favours but I deserted him in the G2 Hardwicke because I doubted he was that standard and like jockey Ryan Moore went for Exosphere! Is he a Group 1 horse? I don’t think he is. Could he win this race? Absolutely. Sub-standard edition but at 5/2 he didn’t appeal. However he’s now drifted to 4/1 and for a G2 C&D winner that’s fine. One star* win @ 4/1 general.

Newmarket 3.45        THETIS My notebook says “I’m not sure she is a Black Type filly and her handicap mark, OR102, flatters her. Beware.” Disappointed in a C3 Conditions race and has been dropped 5lbs to OR 97 and goes back sprinting over 6F with Uncle Ted doing the steering. 7/1 is tempting but too many doubts. Watching Brief.

York 4.45                    PLAYFUL SOUND Mixed messages from her maiden win on her only start to date. Newsells Stud home bred filly was held up and finished strongly despite running green and looking around. The fact that #SuperStoute puts her in a handicap straight away fascinates but Ralph Beckett’s top weight has impressed and the Gosden AW winner could be anything so it’s a  Watching Brief.

Salisbury 8.20             MUSDAM After his last run on the sand at Chelmsford I noted “Chelmsford AW C2 6F 0-100 3yo handicap. Pushed early, struggling to lay up, bit of progress off bend. Extra furlong? Turf with some cut? OR82 “..the task of coming from behind was insurmountable…”. So this is the extra furlong but on quick ground. Plenty of scope and the 9/4 general represents value so is a two star** win.

#startracking

York 3.00                    FREE CODE Now down to OR 88, 7F is fine but I’m just don’t think York suits a hold up horse and this is a trappy contest. Watching Brief.

York 4.10                    NINJAGO Ex Hannon and now with sprint king Paul Midgely and I thought he might play a big part in next Saturdays Stewards Cup at Goodwood so his presence here has my ears pricked. He’s a one star* each way at a tempting 10/1 ¼ 1,2,3,4 with PP.

#FantasticMrFahey

Most of today’s runners from Musley Bank are either Watching Brief’s or NotWithMyMoney but a few are of interest.

York 2.00                    GABRIALS KING  My notes say “Hasn’t won in last fourteen outings since November 2014 and I’m not convinced he genuinely stays a truly run two miles.” However there are a few positives here, namely it’s a C3 and Paul Hanagan rides. Indeed a case could be made for backing blind all four mounts Hanagan has for #FantasticMrFahey back at York (Farlow, Sirens Cove and Vona are the other three). Watching Brief.

York 3.00                    FARLOW Great run last time on this quick ground and despite being rated OR100 he could be about to deliver, July/August is his time of year. Hanagan rides and is worth a one star* win @ 13/2 general.

York 4.10                    TATLISU Regular readers of this blog know I think this horse will win the Great St Wilfred at Ripon, 6F C2, so I’m expecting a run on 6th here. Ground may be a bit quick. Watching Brief.

Ascot 2.45                         #FantasticMrFahey muddies the water by running two, KOCOLLADA and MARIE OF LYON, who are above standard northern 2yo fillies. I was impressed with how the former stayed on in the Princess Mary over 5F at Royal Ascot behind the mind blowing Lady Aurelia. I can’t resist the 20/1 ¼ 1,2,3 on offer with Coral and she is a one star* each way wager. Wouldn’t be surprised if Marie of Lyon finished in front!

Ascot 3.55                   NUNO TRISTAN Spencer, who I thinks rides Ascots straight course as well as anyone, is on this in form unexposed type and I look forward to see if he’s good enough to join #FantasticMrFahey’s Saturday team. Watching Brief.

Ascot 5.00                   CHISWICK BEY I think this old campaigner could nick a place here. No weight, Ms Bullock won at Pontefract recently, Chiswick Bey has C&D form, won off this mark and second in this race last year. One star* e/w @ 14/1 general ¼ 1,2,3,4.

 

Below is #FantasticMrFahey’s piece from sportinglife.com

Richard Fahey guides us through another huge Saturday team, with Tatlisu one to watch in the Sky Bet Dash.

On Saturday we’ve three in the opening Sky Bet Making Betting Better Median Auction Maiden Stakes. The same comments probably apply to both Come On Percy and Yorkshire Bounty in that their futures lie in handicaps and I’d surprised if they could win a race like this at this stage of their careers. Owner Phil Smith loves runners at York and we hope they go well for him. Rubiesnpearls needs to step up on her first to runs but is a filly who we do think is ok so she could do that.

Gabrial’s King really needs to bounce back in the Sky Bet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap. He disappointed here the last day but that was a messy race and things didn’t fall right for him and I’m happy with him at home still.

Farlow is my sole runner in the Read Richard Fahey’s Column At sportinglife.com Handicap. He surprised me with how well he ran in the Bunbury Cup last time as at halfway I thought he was dropping out to finish last. He’d prefer a bit more juice in the ground but if Paul Hanagan can get the best out of him he wouldn’t be without a chance and the smaller field here should suit.

We’ve three in the Sky Bet Dash Handicap. Tatlisu disappointed me at Hamilton last time but the ground was quite soft which didn’t suit and he never looked comfortable on it. It was a good run at Haydock the time before and could go well. I keep saying Arctic Feeling is badly handicapped and he keeps running well without winning so maybe I’m right. The hope here is they’ll go flat out as he’ll be coming back at them late. Patrick was a horse I felt would progress this year but he needs to find some form now. He disappointed at Ascot the last day but we go back up a furlong here which should help. He’s in good order.

Island Flame ran at Doncaster on Thursday so we’ll see how she goes there – and how she comes out of it – before we decided whether she runs in the Sky Bet Supporting New Beginnings EBF Fillies’ Handicap. Siren’s Cove is our other runner and we’re very happy with her. She was entitled to need the run here the other day when she finished fifth and she’s in good order. She could go well at a decent price.

Vona won a Listed race at the Dante meeting and while she’s had a busy enough time of it this year, she ran ok in a nursery here last time. She wouldn’t be without a chance providing there’s nothing progressive in against her in the Sky Bet Supporting Yorkshire Air Ambulance Nursery.

We’ve a nice team heading down to Ascot. Marie Of Lyon is a filly we like a lot and I hope she just got bogged down in the very testing ground at Newmarket last time. Paul Hanagan said she travelled very well but when he let her down she just swam around. She’s by Royal Applause so should be more at home on the surface at Ascot and while she needs to step up again to be competitive in the Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes, she might just do that.

Our other runner is Kocallada. She is a good, hardy filly, who won a Class 2 race earlier in the season and finished fourth in the Queen Mary. The step up to six furlongs will help her and she’d have a chance of being placed.

We’ve three in the Gigaset International Stakes. Heaven’s Guest won the race last year and loves the place. I’m a fraction worried he’s at his very best when there’s a bit of juice in the ground but he ran a cracker in the Bunbury Cup last time and must have a chance. Withernsea doesn’t need it soft – he’s fine on good ground – and has been running well so deserves a crack at a valuable prize. Nuno Tristan is in the form of his life right now. I just wonder whether he’s man enough at the moment for a test like this but he couldn’t be in better order heading down there.

Chiswick Bey is an absolute star and ran a blinder at an apprentice race here last time. Something like the Longines Handicap (For Lady Amateur Riders) could really suit him although seven furlongs here on fast ground might just be sharp enough.

Boundsy ran in the Super Sprint at Newbury last week. The ground there was very quick but he came out of the race so well he runs in the Stella Artois Nursery at Chester. He showed a lot of speed at Carlisle a couple of starts back and could go well.

Sunnua won at the track last time and while she’s probably at her very best with some juice in the ground, I couldn’t draw a line through her in the TMT Contractors Fillies’ Handicap.

Bell Heather has been a fraction disappointing but has a good draw in the Stella Artois Cidre Apprentice Handicap and is a filly who should be capable of winning races like this.

We’ve three in the Sebastian Artois Handicap and I really wouldn’t want to split them. Powerallied is having a fantastic season and loves the track. The ground will suit him but I just worry when the handicapper is going to get him. Ballesteros is another who has been in terrific form and he ran a cracker here last time. He’s done alright with stall six and is another to consider. So is Lexi’s Hero although he’s out in 12 which isn’t ideal. His best hope is they go flat out up front as he’ll be running on and looking to pick up the pieces late.

Comedy King has his first run for us in the Stella Artois 4% Handicap. I’m happy with what I’ve seen at home, he hasn’t had a lot of racing, and his work would suggest he could go well. We also run Gabrial The Duke who just seems to have lost the plot at the moment, on the track at least. He’s not been showing much interest so we’ve removed all the headgear now to see if we spark him back into life.

We’re double handed in the Adnams Broadside Handicap at Newmarket. Mica Mika is coming back after a long lay-off and will need to be at his best as he looks badly handicapped. He probably wants softer ground too but seems in good order. Innocent Touch has produced to solid performances back-to-back. We’re pleased with him and he should go well again.

David’s Duchess is running from four pounds out of the handicap in the Adnams Ease Up IPA Handicap which isn’t ideal but she did go well at the track last time and has been in good form all season. Paddy Power has been extremely disappointing. He again worked exceptionally well this week, as he always does, but just needs to get his act together on the

Finally we have three runners at Newcastle. In My Place is a progressive type. Nothing went right for him at Ayr last time and we’re hoping he wins the Collingwood Fleet Insurance Handicap and picks up a penalty as the owner is very keen to get into a race at Glorious Goodwood.

Bayan Kasigra’s form has faded away a little but we’ll try again in the Collingwood Taxi Insurance/ebfstallions.com Fillies’ Handicap. The hope is the return to an all-weather surface will suit her. The Name’s Bond has his first run for us in the Collingwood Convicted Driver Insurance Apprentice Handicap. You can see why he’s been frustrating as he works better than an official rating of 45 would suggest but we’ll see what he does on the track.

 

 

#startracking Friday July 22nd 1pm

Today’s racing is like the Pakistan bowling attack, challenging, entertaining and there is a need to be somewhat circumspect!

#startrackingAscot

Ascot 3.30                   DELVE #SuperStoute saddles this daughter of Dansili and the Racing Post has it spot on, “Lightly raced potential improver; this harder and deserted by Moore”. Richard Kingscote takes the ride and the Official Handicapper thinks she would have to improve over a stone to be competitive. As she goes in search of Black Type has to be a Watching Brief. Could well blow a handy handicap mark OR87!

Ascot 4.05                   MASTERPAVER Just about a stone above his last winning mark. Steps back 2F and his consistency deserves a place in this C2 handicap. #FantasticMrFahey sets a real poser by booking young Mr Spencer and will he switch Masterpaver off out the back and do his running where it counts, in the home straight? Spencer is in cracking form, ten wins in the last fortnight and six in the last eleven rides! One star* win @ 5/1 general.

#startrackingThirsk

#FantasticMrFahey sends four to Thirsk.

Thirsk 2.30                  CHEERFUL CHARACTER 30K euros purchase, daughter of Tagula. Not a lot to shout about, Watching Brief.

Thirsk 3.05                  SPRINGFORTH Earlier in the season I blogged “Next win will probably be in a nursery.” It was! Won last time, C4 6F at Catterick. Too many here making their handicap mark for a bet! Watching Brief.

Thirsk 3.40                  STARLIGHT ROMANCE Drops down a grade to C4 and goes up a furlong to seven. Entitled to be competitive on her two runs to date and this daughter of Excelebration is worth a one star* win @ 3/1 general.

Thirsk 3.40                  TOMORROWCOMES Curious filly this! By Oasis Dream out of Yesterday, who won the Irish 1000 guineas and was second in the Epsom Oaks and is by Sadlers Wells. That is a strong Coolmore pedigree and this filly was led out of the Arqana sale ring unsold at 300K euros. How the hell does #FantasticMrFahey get to own it? Has to be an intriguing Watching Brief. Is she diminutive? Has she a limp?

Thirsk 4.15                  BAHAMIAN BIRD Beware of the home bred filly! Daughter of Bahamian Bounty in the colours of Lady Juliet Tadgill who always had horses with Chris Wall. Only positive I can see is that #FantasticMrFahey has put his “Go Racing in Yorkshire” Festival Charity bet on Bahamian Bird. Starts off on just OR60. Watching Brief.

#startracking York

#FantasticMrFahey sends four to York.

York 6.00                    BACK TO BOND An OnlyIf.. horse and the files say “Owned by PD Smith Holdings who are Property Developers based in Strensall just outside York and unsurprisingly Back to Bond, an eight race maiden has had five of those runs on the Knavesmire. His three thirds show he has talent but to win he probably needs to drop to C5 7F 0-75 handicap and they don’t run many of those at York.” Watching Brief.

York 7.00                    REINSTORM Looks nursery material. Watching Brief.

York 7.00                    HONOURABLE Cheveley Park homebred and I’m just not a fan of her sire, Rip van Winkle. Watching Brief.

York 8.00                    STARDRIFTER This horse reminds me of Lord Aeryn who had the same connections. Always consistent, always travelled like a winner but rarely got his head in front or his handicap down! Stardrifter has plenty going for him here in trip, ground, grade, draw but not at 5/1. Treble those odds he may have been an each way poke but has to be a Watching Brief.

#FantasticMrFahey told sportinglife.com We’ve runners on both days of the York Music Showcase fixture starting with Back To Bond in the Think As One Apprentice Handicap. He won at Wetherby in May but has disappointed the last twice, including at this track. He needs to bounce back. We run two in the Best One Median Auction Maiden Stakes. Reinstorm is probably a nursery type and I’d be surprised if he could win a York maiden. Honourable is quite a nice filly who we like. She makes her debut here and while one or two could be too good on this occasion, she will win her maiden. Stardrifter is drawn wider than ideal in ten for the Novus Handicap but is running okay at the moment, a little better than his finishing positions suggest. He’s not without a chance.”

York 7.30                    DIPLOMA  #SuperStoute sends the Queen’s classy filly to York for this 10F Listed event. The Notebook says 5th in the 3yo Fillies Listed 8F Sandringham Handicap I am not sure what to make of this race. The winner, Persuasive, was the best horse and Frankie Dettori had her in position ‘A’ and got first run with the next four to finish all coming from behind her. I am putting up the Queen’s Diploma for two main reasons, firstly I think she is a better horse at ten furlongs and secondly Ryan Moore didn’t exactly throw the kitchen sink at her to get third! She has an Official Rating of 100 which would be interesting if she chose to carry top weight in a 3yo fillies 10F handicap. The Listed 10F Lyric Stakes at York for 3yo+ fillies on Friday 22nd July could be a suitable race if she goes off in search of Black Type.” And here she is with Uncle Ted in the plate. Today’s best bet, three star*** win @ 11/4 general.

#startracking Chepstow/Newmarket

Chepstow 5.50           MEGAN LILY Just the one horse sent on the long haul to South Wales and 7lb claimer Natalie Hambling rides. Excellent debut but highly tried last twice for this daughter of Dragon Pulse for the shrewd Nick Bradley Racing. No idea, Watching Brief.

Newmarket 5.40        NORMANDY KNIGHT Goes on the ground, wins in C5, wants a stiff mile so why not? The 3yo’s don’t look world beaters. One star* each way @ 12/1 general.

Newmarket 6.40        CHAMPION HARBOUR I think the quicker ground could well bring improvement from this well weighted gelding and he could go close. One star* win @ 12/1 general.

 

#startrackingtwitterNews

Three-year-olds sold to HK from Europe so far: Defrocked, Primitivo, Chief Whip, Out And About. 1st and 4th in G2 Italian Derby Saent, Biz Heart. And plenty more to come! Andrew Hawkins ‏@AndrewNJHawkins  1pm Thursday

I had also read that Burnt Sugar had been sold to the Far East but it seems he has been acquired by Middleham Park (as have Grendisar and Naddir) and stays with Richard Hannon.