#startracking Wednesday August 17th 6pm

The Wagon Wheel’s victory will keep us rolling into Thursday as the gutsy filly rescued a disappointing punting day. 4th, 9th and 15th in the first, Lockheed had every chance at the furlong pole, Across The Stars looking to be hanging left all the way up the straight, Hawkbill was beaten before the race started (too fizzy!), Saved by the Bell led by 5L at halfway and finished in his own time and Life Less Ordinary looked promising but failed to stay.

The objective eye saw classy performances from a peerless Postponed and a staying Idaho. Sometimes I wonder if I try to be too clever with all six winners in the top four in the market. Self-searching later, onto Thursday!

Let’s start with some general observations.

GOING Simon Rowlands ‏@RowleyfileRRR  (Timeform) The going is definitely firmer than good judged on that first-race time at York. 61.77s for the opener at York is just 0.05s outside the course record for what is a little-used distance. That’s quick ground!

Tuesday blogWednesday and Thursday will be run on quick summer ground, officially Good to Firm (watered to maintain). There is a possibility of rain Friday afternoon and Saturday is forecast to be miserable and the ground could go very quickly.

Don’t be surprised if horses who really need Good to Firm ground suddenly bounce back to form having been hampered at Goodwood and a poor run at Royal Ascot on Good to Soft!

DRAW- So opening sprint handicap is 5,2,19,4,13. Draw or was it Robot Boy setting it up from stall 7? I’ll stick with the low numbers. 6,3,18,20,2 in the nursery, I will definitely stick with low on the straight course in the big fields.

Tuesday blogConfusing at best! Nothing is written in stone. I personally believe you want prominent racers but not necessarily leaders although the week’s hardest handicap, the 8F Clipper Logistics on Thursday, has been won by a horse who at the top of the home straight was in the final three!

From 10F upwards I would totally ignore the draw. It’s a short run to the bend from the 8F start and it’s easier to get a prominent position from a lower draw.

As for the straight course and the sprints there is conflicting evidence. Looking back over the past Ebor’s sprint races on Good to Firm double figure draws have held sway BUT in 2016 there have been eight sprint handicaps and the winners have come from stalls 5,4,2,2,3,9,4 and 5 and double figures are 0 from 68!!

 

THURSDAY AUGUST 18th

1.55 C2 6F 2yo Sales Race.

No idea?!? I will put up two against the field. Hemingway, Mr Hobbs.

HEMINGWAY – (Drawn 6) Looks a typical Kevin Ryan sprinter. Was professional when winning at Pontefract over 5F on Good to Firm ground. Made his debut in a C3 maiden here at York suggesting he was well thought of. I’m warming to Tom Eaves in the saddle. One star* win @ 10/1 general.

MR HOBBS – (Drawn 8) Squeezed home over 6F at Newbury on Good to Firm ground having been knocking on the door for his three previous starts. Frankie Dettori takes over in the saddle and Sylvester Kirk is having a solid season. One star* win @ 16/1 with Coral.

 

2.30 Lowther G2 2yo fillies 6F

Two words – FAIR EVA. Her dad, Frankel, lit up the Knavesmire and I fully expect his talented daughter to do the same. 2/1 on reflects her chance but that’s no bet for me.

FAIR EVA – Fair Eva worked well this morning and heads for the Lowther at York. George Baker rode her and was very happy. She won well at Ascot, in a good time and the Lowther sits well in the calendar. Roger Charlton Website 10th August 2016

Racing UK July 24th Roger Charlton said: “From the day she came here, we were very excited by her. She was always very professional and, as you saw yesterday, she is a wonderful mover.”

The only possible danger is her half-sister Queen Kindly from the Fahey yard.

Fahey’s assistant Robin O’Ryan told Racing UK: “Queen Kindly could now bid to emulate her dam Lady Of The Desert by winning the Lowther Stakes at York next month in the same colours of owner Jaber Abdullah. It will either be the Princess Margaret at Ascot or the Lowther,” O’Ryan added. “Going back up to six furlongs won’t be a problem – we think she needs it.”

 

3.05 Clipper Logistics C2 8F Handicap

You will need some luck to find the winner of this! It’s hard enough to get into, let alone win.

Three years ago David Bergin got his fractions spot on with Mont Ras and made every yard. However for the last two running’s Pat Smullen and George Baker have turned for home in the final three on winners Short Squeeze and Chil the Kite before finding a route to the winner’s enclosure.

ONE WORD MORE –               (7)        (Tim Easterby) OR100 Must be a nailed on each way shout. Course and trip are ideal, has made the frame when drawn 5 and 18, won’t mind the Good to Firm ground! Never had an inch of racing room at Goodwood last time behind Franklin D. Beware of improving fillies, beaten by Home Cummins and Always smile on last two starts at York! One star* win @ 8/1 general. (Well backed, Pricewise?)

JAILAWI –                            (20)        (Ismael Mohammed) OR99 Jailawi – RP Aug.11th Strong gallop report with York target mentioned. Here is an interesting horse. Son of Iffraaj, didn’t race as a 2yo, promising 3yo winning twice, didn’t race as a 4yo, touched off in a strong C3 at Sandown and murdered in the final furlong behind Franklin D at Goodwood having done a lot of running from stall 22. Prominent racer should be suited to York, big strong type (similar to stables John Smiths winner, Educate), trainer is having a cracking season from limited resources, Silvestre de Sousa is an eye-catching booking. Two stars** each way @ 16/1 with WH ¼ 1,2,3,4. (5 places with SkyBet 14/1)

 

3.40 YORKSHIRE OAKS G1 12F fillies 3yo+

This is a tough race to call with plenty of G1 form about. From a betting point of view I suppose it’s all about whether 15/8 about Found represents value or is there something that’s better each way value? Found hasn’t done a lot wrong but she has finished second eight times in sixteen runs suggesting she’s vulnerable, but she beat Golden Horn in the Breeders Cup Turf! The ground should suit her. Her opposition includes:-

TURRET ROCKS – Bolger also had news on Darley Yorkshire Oaks entry Turret Rocks. “She’s a good-ground filly and hasn’t ever had conditions right for her this year. She can still be a serious filly when she gets everything right,” he said. Racing Post RICHARD FORRISTAL 7:10AM 12 AUG 2016

FIREGLOW – after winning Listed British Stallion Studs EBF Chalice Stakes at Newmarket. Racing UK “Jock Bennett, assistant trainer, said: “ It (Yorkshire Oaks) would certainly not be out of the question. She has been fourth in a Group One and second in a Musidora. It will be up to Mark Johnston and John Ferguson and they will discuss where she goes next, but it’s not out of the question.”

QUEENS TRUST – Sir Michael Stoute was delighted with Queen’s Trust and said: “She’s run a blinder and has been out of luck. She should have won at Newbury and was badly drawn in the Ribblesdale. She will now head for the Galtres (at York).” Chris Richardson, for owners Cheveley Park Stud, added: “She has a lot of ability and has been very unlucky, coming from a long way back at Royal Ascot”

KOORA                 (Luca Cumani)  4 b f Pivotal – Kithanga Winner of two of her 7 starts. Better effort this season when runner-up, beaten a length and a quarter to Beautiful Romance in the Group 2 Middleton Stakes at York (1m 2 1/2f) in May. Currently rated 109. “She ran very flat in Ireland last time having run well in the Middleton at York on her reappearance. She is in good form and we are thinking of the Yorkshire Oaks.” Cumani ATR stable tour

Koora – RP Aug.11th Strong gallop report with York target mentioned.

If Found is beaten it will be by a 3yo and I’ll put up two of the Classic generation to come out on top.

ENDLESS TIME – Get the trip, goes on the ground, improver. One star* win @ 6/1 Coral, Ladbrokes

QUEENS TRUST – Cracking run behind Minding at Goodwood and on the up. One star* win @ 7/1 general.

 4.20 Galtres Listed 12F 3yo fillies

ABINGDON – After her win at Ascot at the beginning of May I put on this blog, “A filly with a future in middle distance + events, probably at Group level, the likes of the Yorkshire Oaks”. Her trainer Sir Michael Stoute has put Queens Trust in the Yorkshire Oaks and runs Abingdon in the Listed event. I think the course, the ground and the trip will all be in her favour and I think she will outstay this field.

Abingdon is a three star*** win selection @ 5/2 general.

 

4.55 3yo Fillies handicap 3yo 7F 0-105

DAWAA               (7)          (Mark Johnston) OR94 Running style suits York and already C&D winner. 3rd in similar race at Newmarket last time. Two star** win @ 13/2 general.

 

Now I’ve written my piece let’s see what #FantasticMrFahey has said to sportinglife.com.

Frankel is also to the fore in the Sky Bet Lowther Stakes on Thursday. His daughter Fair Eva looked very, very impressive in the Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot the last day but we run another of his offspring, Queen Kindly. We’re very happy with our girl, six furlongs at York will suit her down to the ground, and she’s very well and in great form at home. I’m looking forward to running her.

Third Time Lucky had a great season last year but looks in the handicapper’s grip as a result. There aren’t many races to run a horse rated 100 in so he goes in the Clipper Logistics Stakes and we’ll see what happens.

If there’s ever such a thing as a soft race at this meeting then the eventmasters.co.uk EBF Fillies’ Stakes can sometimes be it. That said this year’s race looks competitive. My filly Mustique will have to raise her game here but I do think track and trip will suit her ideally.

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