I see on sportinglife.com that not for the first time I am in agreement with Ben Linfoot. Will Mr Segal follow us in?
Ben Linfoot Last Updated: August 17 2016, 17:40 BST
Value Bet tipster Ben Linfoot seeks out the best bets on day two of the Welcome To Yorkshire Ebor Festival at York.
Value Bet Selections
1pt win Hemingway 1.55 York at 10/1 1pt win Queen’s Trust in 3.40 York at 7/1
Andrea Atzeni landed the feature race on Postponed on day one of York’s Ebor meeting and he could well scoop the main dish on day two as well as he’s picked up a plum spare ride on QUEEN’S TRUST in the Yorkshire Oaks. Sir Michael Stoute’s filly is improving at a rate of knots as her progressive official rating suggests; she was rated 96 heading into the Ribblesdale, where she was a slightly unlucky fourth, and she’s now considered 16lb better on 112 following her second-place finish behind Minding in the Nassau Stakes last time. Beaten just a length-and-a-quarter by Aidan O’Brien’s star three-year-old filly over a trip short of her best, Queen’s Trust can continue her upward curve now she’s stepped back up in trip to a mile-and-a-half. Her dam, Queen’s Best, was also trained by Stoute and she improved with racing and stepping up in trip, but Queen’s Trust already looks a better filly judging by her Nassau second. The ground at Glorious Goodwood proves that fast conditions hold no fears for the daughter of Dansili and she could be the one to sink Found, a classy filly who has tended to find one too good this season, receiving 10lb because of the weight-for-age allowance. O’Brien’s Found is one of four fillies in the race from Ballydoyle, with Irish Oaks winner Seventh Heaven the biggest danger following her Classic success last time. However, Queen’s Trust’s Nassau form looks on a par with that and I’m not sure she should be almost twice the price of the Curragh winner at 7/1 (general odds) here. With just five career starts under her belt there is plenty more to come from her and she looks a decent bet at 7/1 to give Stoute his tenth Yorkshire Oaks win. Stoute also has a fine chance earlier on the card when Mustashry bids for glory as the sole three-year-old in the Clipper Logistics Handicap at 3.05. His last-gasp win from Pirouette at Ascot last time looks all the better following that filly’s fine effort in Listed company subsequently and he’s the one up-and-coming horse in the field that could turn out to be better than his current mark. The one thing that puts me off him at prices around the 11/2 mark is the trip, as he needed every yard of the stiff mile at Ascot and he’s bred to get further.
Finally, back Kevin Ryan’s HEMINGWAY at the general 10/1 in the opening Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes at 1.55.
Ryan always targets this race and he won it back to back in 2011 and 2012 before finishing fourth (twice) and second in the last three years while William Haggas has dominated. Haggas isn’t represented this year and that could pave the way for Ryan to regain his winning streak with Hemingway, who sharpened up for this test with a win over five furlongs at Pontefract last time. He just prevailed that day but it wasn’t bad form as David O’Meara’s Windsor Castle second Savannah’s Dream was back in third and he did really well to get up after having plenty to do a furlong out. That should’ve put him spot on for this test and the return to six furlongs is bound to suit, while his low draw is no bad thing judging by Wednesday’s results on the straight track continuing this season’s theme.
Rusumaat and Rainbow Mist set the standard on form but it’s not much of a gap for Hemingway to bridge and at 10/1 he makes plenty of appeal.