Wednesday 15th November 5.00pm

It’s time to get back blogging.

The Flat season is done and dusted, well almost, just keeping an eye on those AW maidens especially runners from the Gosden, Haggas and Varian yards.

I decided this year that I would see the Flat season through until the end and start my National Hunt season with Clonmel Oils day and the Cheltenham November (Open) meeting when there may be some relevant form available. I am going to post this blog on simplesimonsays49.wordpress.com and on startracking.wordpress.com and then all my jumping blogs will be on the latter site.

Train of Thought

The upcoming three days at Cheltenham and two days at Punchestown signal the start of the “core” jumping season and I expect still to be writing more in my Notebook than on betting slips. Every race will be reviewed through the prism of the Cheltenham Festival. Many trainers will be looking to get their face on TV to raise their profile and spout on about their latest “live Festival chance” but obviously they will “take it one race at a time”! Here is my take on where the leading trainers are and what their targets are for this season.

Powerhouses

Willie Mullins Simple. He HAS to be Champion trainer in Ireland. His Closutton stables still have the greatest depth of serious all round talent. It’s Achilles heel may be the three mile chase division but I’m sure he’ll rectify that in the next couple of seasons. He will target four major meetings, Leopardstown at Christmas, the first weekend of February for the NH version of Irish Champions weekend plus the Cheltenham and Punchestown Festivals. How close the pesky Gordon Elliott is at the end of March will decide whether he goes to Aintree. Huge assets in Ruby Walsh and Paul Townend and the return of Faugheen and Douvan’s trip the major talking points.

Gordon Elliott A serious player where ever he turns up. With the support of the Gigginstown Mounted Cavalry he is very strong in the 3m+ chase division and the supply pipeline to get there, so bumpers, staying novice hurdles, novice chasers from 2m4f upwards with other stars including Apples Jade, Cause of Causes and Petit Mouchoir. He will target the same four meetings as Mullins plus the Irish Grand National is a big race for Gigginstown.

Nicky Henderson Traditional, orthodox, vastly experienced and often an iron fist in a velvet glove. He has a solid all round team with three big guns in Buveur D’Air, Altior and Might Bite.

Paul Nicholls The man is driven. I wouldn’t want to even play Scrabble against him, he is competitive with a capital ‘C’! This season he has a large squad of novice chasers as he searches for the “next big thing”. Has a formidable team of jockeys in Sam Twiston-Davies, 19yo Harry Cobden, Sam Bowen especially at 10st and claiming 7lbs, Bryony Frost.

 

Old School

Philip Hobbs 100 winners and a £1 million in prize money, regular as clockwork. This season will be spiced up by Defi du Seuil and possibly Gumball and Hobbs will want a Festival winner.

Alan King 100 winners and a £1 million in prize money but I just have a feeling Mr King has developed a taste for the Flat? Big handicaps and a Festival winner high up his targets.

Nigel Twiston-Davies Hardly ever out of form who just churns out winners all season. Would love to have a Saturday horse or two to back up Bristol de Mai. Healthy competition in the shape of Fergal O’Brien across the road!

 

Pretenders

Dan Skelton He isn’t hungry for winners, he is ravenous. A chunky chip off the Nicholls block. 100 winners and a £1 million in prize money was the target but he could do that by Christmas! He wants to be in amongst Henderson and Nicholls. Pressure to get a Festival winner. Busy yard, where most horses are ridden by the trainer’s brother, Harry, and the trainer’s girlfriend, Bridget Andrews!

Harry Fry All about quality this yard. Patience is the by word. Fry and Fehily are a perfect match. American and UnowhatImeanharry are the stables leading lights. Not afraid of a handicap or two.

 

On the Up

Neil Mulholland – Tom George – Ben Pauling – Fergal O’Brien

Solid, competent yards who are media savvy and I would expect all four to do better than they did last season. Quite willing to take on the Powerhouses, can think outside the box and place their horses well.

 

Shrewdies

Dr Richard Newland – Kim Bailey – Graeme McPherson

Make the most of what they have. Dangerous men when the money is down.

 

State of Flux

Colin Tizzard Last season he was on the verge of joining the Powerhouses but the recent deaths of leading owners Ann and Alan Potts will make this November Cheltenham meeting emotional as we wait for news of the top notch Potts horses. Cue Card has been a wonderful servant but is close to a final hurrah, Thistlecrack is on the way back from injury. As far as I am concerned the sooner Joe Tizzard takes over at the helm the better. Stable strength would be much reduced without the Potts aeroplanes.

David Pipe Just 80 horses at Pond House these days. Currently the yard is in good form but the Saturday winners have dried up. Moon Racer and Un Temps pour Tout are still in the yard but the Tinsdall money has not reaped the rewards! Stable jockey Tom Scudamore seems to be making new connections plus plenty of outside rides and is the writing on the wall?

Jonjo O’Neill My winter version of Mark Johnston!!! Can’t read him at all. Has just about the best facilities in Britain, a McManus conveyor belt of top horse flesh but seems to be in form for four days a year, maybe. I’m not Barry Geraghty’s biggest fan either. Anyone who could give me “Ten Jonjo horses to follow” is a friend for life!

 

Plateau-ed

Warren Greatrex – Charlie Longsdon – Donald McCain – Sue Smith

McCain is fighting his way back to the top table and I think best when sending his horses north from his Cheshire yard.

Longsdon was almost at top table four or five years back but just doesn’t have the owners. JJ Burke signing as stable jockey should be a positive. Whole set up lacks ‘X’ factor.

Warren Greatrex could have gone in the “On The Up” pigeon hole as well as the Shrewdies section and is surely just a couple of top horses from cracking it. The Worlds End? Any yard that has Tessa Greatrex/Highflyer buying for it, the McNeill family among the owners and Richard Johnson and Gavin Sheehan riding for it surely has to be taken seriously!

The Smiths are terrific with Danny Cook’s aggressive style in the saddle a good fit. They jump and they gallop but some would say they could benefit with a bit more time between races.

 

I will come back to this theme of Trainers targets, aims and ability. Yet to mention the “Taffia”, the Girls, the dual purpose boys and the resurgent North!

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#startracking Tuesday June 21st 1.30pm

Are you in the No-seda?

Sticking to the Royal Ascot theme, two of the most impressive handicap performances came from Outback Traveller, winner of the Wokingham, and Librisa Breeze, put up by Pricewise at 20/1 and returned at 8/1 second in the Hunt Cup. What do those two horses have in common?

Well they were both trained by Jeremy Noseda last season and current connections picked them up at last autumn’s Horses in Training sale. That begs a couple of questions?

What has happened to Jeremy Noseda in the last five seasons?

Wikipedia says Jeremy Noseda (born 17 September 1963) After six years working for John Dunlop, and five years as assistant to John Gosden, he joined Sheikh Mohammed’s Godolphin operation in late 1993, and played a significant role in training such horses as Lammtarra, Halling and Balanchine. He started training under his own name in January 1996, initially in California, then returning to Britain in late 1997. He is based at the Shalfleet stables in Newmarket formerly occupied by Paul Kelleway. He enjoyed his first Classic victory when Araafa won the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2006. His first triumph in an English Classic came the same year with Sixties Icon winning the St Leger at York.”

From 2003 to 2010 Jeremy Noseda was winning a Group 1 and a handful of Group races every season but he hasn’t won a Group race in Britain since September 2012 and a Group 1 since September 2010 when Sans Frontieres won the Irish St. Leger.

From 2012 -2015 his number of runners on turf has declined from 166 to 156 to 114 to 90 and his winners from 25 to 29 to 14 to 9! Throughout that period he has had 20 winners a year on the All Weather, indeed he seems to have one eye on the American prizes as his one current decent horse in Shalfleet Stables, Nemoralia, seems to indicate. He seems to be down to two principle owners, Mrs Susan Roy, wife of the ex-chairman of the BHA Paul (see notes below) and Marc Keller, who (if my research is correct) is an ex-Merrill banker, as is Mr Roy, and is involved with Wren House infrastructure Management.

Noseda no longer trains for the Arabs, or Cheveley Park or Sir Robert Ogden etc. etc. Why did it all go wrong?

Where there any other bargains snapped up last autumn or since?

Tattersalls Autumn Horses-in-Training Sale 2015 26-28 October 2015

Librisa Breeze,

GR, G, 3-y-o,  Mount Nelson — Bruxcalina (Linamix)  GNS 90,000 Stephen Hillen Bloodstock 

Top lot from the yards sale and has had two runs, winning a C3 handicap at Wolverhampton and second in the Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot stepping back in trip. Trained by Dean Ivory and owned by Tony Bloom (See notes below)

Form-21 Earnings-£39,866 Official Rating 92 97 ?

Entry- 9Jul16  5:10  (Early closer) at Newmarket (july), Bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Outback Traveller,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Bushranger — Blue Holly (Blues Traveller)  GNS 65,000 Thomas Morley/One Agency 

Previously seen as a seven furlong horse, on his third run for new connections lands the 6F Wokingham at Royal Ascot. Trained by Robert Cowell and owned by Lordship Stud and Mrs J Morley.

Form-701 Earnings-£108,938 Official Rating 102 100 ?

Aussie Andre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  High Chaparral — Hana Dee (Cadeaux Genereux)  GNS 50,000 Vendor 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR87 See February Sale below!

Hope And Faith,

GR, F, 3-y-o,  Zebedee — Fuerta Ventura (Desert Sun)  GNS 42,000 Tally-Ho Stud 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR73. Bought by original breeder!

Firmament,

B, G, 3-y-o,  Cape Cross — Heaven Sent (Pivotal)  GNS 25,000 Jason Kelly / Nick Bradley 

Now trained by “king of the cast offs”, David O’Meara, although he is struggling to find top form at his new yard!

Trained by David O’Meara and owned by Gallop Racing.

Form-3212 Earnings-£14,452 Official Rating 83 82 85 89 ?

Smartie Artie,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Smart Strike — Green Room (Theatrical)  GNS 24,000 Emerald Bloodstock 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR82. Still an entire!

Overheard,

B, F, 3-y-o,  Lope De Vega — Gutter Press (Raise A Grand)  GNS 13,500 Nick Bradley / Jason Kelly 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR68. Ex-Cheveley Park.

Zeshov,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Acclamation — Fathoming (Gulch)  GNS 12,000 R Bastiman 

Now racing “Up North” but seems to be regressing. Last win was Newmarket on GF C5 7F off OR73 last July.

Form-007 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 73 71 68 66

Rain Wind And Fire,

CH, C, 3-y-o,  Eskendereya — Call Mariah (Dixie Union)  GNS 7,500 Ron Harris 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR77

Buonarotti Boy,

B, G, 3-y-o,  Galileo — Funsie (Saumarez)  GNS 5,000 Howson & Houldsworth Bloodstock 

Now with Gordon Elliott in Ireland and has gone hurdling!

Form-06960012 Earnings-£6892 Official Rating OR60 Turf OR 95 93 102 Hurdles

Yeager,

B, G, 5-y-o,  Medaglia D´oro — Lucky Flyer (Fusaichi Pegasus)                                    Withdrawn 

Not seen since H-i-T sale and no entries. OR86

Ian´s Memory,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Smart Strike — Rite Moment (Vicar)                                                                Withdrawn 

Still trained in yard for Nigel O’Sullivan. Decent AW horse, OR95, due to have only his second start on Turf at Yarmouth. Entry – 24Jun16  3:55  (Four Day) at Yarmouth, ASL Silver Anniversary Handicap

Wakea,B, G, 4-y-o,  Cape Cross — Imiloa (Kingmambo)                                                               Withdrawn 

Mister Brightside,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Lord Shanakill — Lamh Eile (Lend A Hand)                                                    Withdrawn 

Owned by Walter Swinburn and currently racing in the US in G1/G2 races

Mr Boomer, CH, G, 3-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)        Withdrawn 

Renounce, B, C, 3-y-o,  Elnadim — Relinquished (Royal Applause)                           Withdrawn

King Julien, B, C, 2-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)                          Withdrawn 

 

Tattersalls February Sale 2016 4th February 2016

Broadway Icon,

 B, C, 3-y-o,  Sixties Icon — Funny Girl (Darshaan)  GNS 21,000                    Hamad Aljehani 

Guess he’s off to the Middle East?

Wakea,

B, G, 5-y-o,  Cape Cross — Imiloa (Kingmambo)  GNS 16,500                       Harvey Bloodstock / Gary Ryan 

Had two more runs on the AW for Noseda and has now changed ownership and is in Ireland with Karl Thornton and has gone novice hurdling. Form-21 and one run on Flat over 16F Form-3 OR97 Earnings-£7192

Starlike,

B, F, 4-y-o,  Eskendereya — Mysterieuse Etoile (Quiet American)  GNS 10,000 A C Elliott, Agent 

Not in Racing Post database!

Renounce,

B, C, 4-y-o,  Elnadim — Relinquished (Royal Applause)  GNS 2,500             Charlie Wallis 

Three runs so far for the new yard. Cost £37K as a yearling!

Form-658 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 70 67 63

Aussie Andre,

B, G, 5-y-o,  High Chaparral — Hana Dee (Cadeaux Genereux)  GNS 2,000 K Tollick 

Unbelievable! Vendor paid £50K for him in October!

Certain Smile, B, G, 4-y-o,  Lope De Vega — Irish Flower (Zieten)  GNS 800

Not in Racing Post database!

BR, C,

2-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Sentimental (Galileo)                                                     Withdrawn 

Le Notre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Champs Elysees — Millistar (Galileo)                                              Withdrawn 

Mr Boomer,

CH, G, 4-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)                    Withdrawn

Still with Noseda this 4yo has had one run when 4th of 7 in a an AW maiden. Same ownership as Ian’s Memory.

King Julien,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)                                     Withdrawn

Tattersalls Guineas H-in-T & Breeze-Up Sale 2016 29 Apr 2016

King Julien,

B, C, 3-y-o,  Canford Cliffs — Western Sky (Barathea)  GNS 13,000            John Ryan Racing 

Had one run in a maiden for Noseda and then two for new connections, got a rating of OR58 and promptly ran him in the Queens Vase at Royal Ascot! Shock! He beat one home, 17 of 18. Cost £65K as a foal, first crop of Canford Cliffs and the dam has produced mediocrity at best.

Free One,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Fast Company — Tatamagouche (Sadler´s Wells)  GNS 10,000 Jo Davis / J Marriott 

Now with the promising Ivan Furtado. No world beater this one despite costing 60K euros at the Goresbridge breeze-ups! Form-795 Earnings-£0 Official Rating 68 63

Mr Boomer,

CH, G, 4-y-o,  Giant´s Causeway — Element Of Truth (Atticus)  GNS 3,000 Mark Cuschieri 

No idea and probably not worth bothering about!

Ian´s Memory, B, H, 5-y-o,  Smart Strike — Rite Moment (Vicar)             Withdrawn 

Le Notre,

B, G, 4-y-o,  Champs Elysees — Millistar (Galileo)                                              Withdrawn 

Still in yard, OR73, and owned by the aforementioned Marc Keller.

 

Two Prominent Owners- Background Information

Paul Roy, a highly successful figure in investment banking, and owner of several top-class racehorses including St Leger winner Sixties Icon, Wilko and Dutch Art, has been appointed as Chairman-designate of the British Horseracing Authority (BHA), Racing’s new governing body.

Roy, 59, will lead BHA for a three-year term when it begins operation in early 2007. BHA will combine the British Horseracing Board’s (BHB) governance responsibilities and the regulatory functions of the Horseracing Regulatory Authority (HRA).

Over 30 years in the investment banking and securities industry, most recently as a founder, in 2003, of NewSmith Capital Partners, an independent investment management firm. Paul was previously Chief Executive of Smith New Court plc and following the merger in 1995 joined Merrill Lynch. Having been head of Merrill Lynch Global Equities division from 1999 to 2001, he subsequently became co-President of its Global Markets and Investment Banking Division, with responsibility for Merrill Lynch’s worldwide Investment Banking, Debt and Equity Markets businesses.

Current Directorships

Non-executive director, Benfield plc; Vice President Philip Leverhulme Equine Hospital

Racing Interests

  • Twelve horses in training, all but one with Jeremy Noseda. The other, Dutch Art, is with Peter Chapple-Hyam
  • All horses run in the name of wife Susan
  • The Roys have a small home breeding operation, with the first crop of two-year-olds racing in 2006
  • Interested in racing since childhood when his father, a butcher, moved the family to a house nr Tattenham Corner

Anthony Grant “Tony” Bloom (born 1970 in Brighton, ) is a football club chairman and successful poker player.

Poker and betting

Bloom has been a sports bettor and property investor, nicknamed The Lizard. Bloom appeared in the Late Night Poker television series and also has a final table appearance on the World Poker Tour. He also made back-to-back final table appearances in the first two Poker Million events. His first major win came in January 2004 when he won the Australasian Poker Championship in Melbourne, collecting a first prize of around A$420,000 ($320,000, £180,000). Bloom won the £5,000 No Limit Hold’em VC Poker Cup Final in London on 5 August 2005 and won the £200,000 ($351,401) first prize. He also had a fourth-place finish in the 2005 World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions. He was a member of the winning British team in the Poker Nations Cup. As of 2008, his total live tournament winnings exceed $1,500,000. Bloom won A$600,000 for his second-place finish in the High Rollers Challenge, event 8 of the Australian Poker Millions tournament held in Melbourne in Jan 2009. Bloom fell short of the million pound grand prize in the Poker Million IX event held in London on 10 December 2010. He finished second behind Gus Hansen.

Football chairman Since 2009 Bloom has been the chairman of Brighton & Hove Albion, currently in the Football League Championship, the second flight of English football. He succeeded Dick Knight after securing a 75% shareholding in the club and investing £93 million in the development of the club’s new ground, the American Express Community Stadium at Falmer.